Estonia Key Passes Stats 2026

Estonia Key Passes Stats 2026 - season overview

Estonia are averaging 3.6 key passes per game in 2026, with matches involving them seeing 11.4 total key passes on average. That puts them 49th of 54 for chances created per match among UEFA Nations League teams on their 2026 record across all competitions. Below you'll find every Estonia player's key-pass rate and create-shots hit percentage, the upcoming fixture against Iceland, and a full match-by-match log.

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as a created shot in the Player to Create Shots market?

A key pass or an assist. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who attempts a shot without scoring; if that teammate scores, the pass is recorded as an assist instead. Bookmakers settle create-shots lines on Opta data as the sum of both, so every chance created counts once.

Does this table include assists in the key pass numbers?

No - the table shows key passes only. Because a create-shots line settles on key passes plus assists, a Estonia player's true market number is equal to or higher than what you see here. The hit rates are a conservative floor for the create-shots market.

Which bookmakers offer the create shots market?

Bet365 lists it as Player To Create Shots in its bet builder, and Sky Bet and Paddy Power carry the same market family in theirs. Lines and player coverage vary by fixture - creative midfielders and attacking full-backs are priced most often.

How does Super Sub affect create shots settlement?

At Sky Bet and Paddy Power, if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line and the substitute's chances created count towards your bet. Bet365 instead runs Sub On Play On - a player who enters as a substitute has his own bet stand, with his output counting from the moment he comes on.

Which Estonia players create the most shots?

Michael Schjönning-Larsen leads with 5 key passes across 10 qualifying appearances (0.5/g, 30% hit rate). The table ranks every Estonia player by key passes per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes) with hit rates at the 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines and six-game form.

Where do these key passes stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 10 Estonia fixtures in the active window for 2026. Bookmakers settle the create-shots market on Opta's count, which can differ by the odd marginal touch, so always treat the bookmaker's feed as final for settlement.

What is the create shots market?

Player to Create Shots is a bet builder market where you back a player to set up a number of shots for his teammates - typically 1+, 2+ or 3+ across the 90 minutes. Bookmakers settle it on Opta data as the cumulative total of a player's key passes plus his assists. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who then attempts a shot without scoring; if the teammate scores, that pass upgrades from a key pass to an assist. Both count towards a create-shots line, so the market is effectively a bet on chances created. One honest note on this table: it shows key passes only. A player's create-shots number at the bookmaker is his key passes PLUS his assists, so for Estonia players who register assists the table slightly understates the market line. Treat the hit rates here as a conservative floor - a player hitting 2+ key passes regularly clears a 2+ create-shots line at least as often.

Bet365 player to create shots

Bet365 lists the market as Player To Create Shots inside its bet builder, usually at 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines for the creative midfielders and full-backs in each side. Bet365's player markets run Sub On Play On rules: if your player comes on as a substitute, his bet stands and his output from the moment he enters counts in full. Use the Lineup only toggle above the table to focus the Estonia numbers on players expected to start.

Sky Bet create shots

Sky Bet carries create shots selections in its bet builder and applies its Super Sub rule to player markets: if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line, and the substitute's key passes and assists count towards your bet. That makes team-level creativity - how many chances Estonia generate as a side - matter as much as the individual you pick, because the line survives a substitution.

Paddy Power create shots

Paddy Power offers the same create-shots market family in its bet builder, also with Super Sub settlement - a replaced starter's line is continued by the player who comes on for him. As with any player market, settlement follows the bookmaker's official data feed (Opta), so a marginal touch that our data logs as a key pass will almost always match, but the bookmaker's count is the one that settles the bet.

How to use this table for create shots bets

Start with the hit percentage at your line: step the table between 1+, 2+ and 3+ key passes and read how often each Estonia player has cleared that number per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes). The Match grid view shows the raw counts game by game - green cells mark matches where the player hit the active line - and the form dots track his last six. The Super Sub toggle folds substitutes' key passes into each starter's fixture cells, mirroring how Sky Bet and Paddy Power settle. It also points at a structural edge: books price a starter's line on his per-90 output, while Super Sub rules quietly add his replacement's output on top - so at those books, lines on players in high-rotation positions are slightly better than they look. Pair the hit rates with the chances created per game number and the over/under dials below before building the leg.

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Estonia player key passes rates

Player	Position	Apps	Key passes	Per game	1+ hit rate
Mihkel Ainsalu	midfielder	1	1	1	100%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy	defender	4	2	0.5	50%
Markus Poom	midfielder	4	4	1	50%
Kevor Palumets	midfielder	9	4	0.44	44%
Robi Saarma	attacker	6	2	0.33	33%
Mattias Käit	midfielder	6	3	0.5	33%
Michael Schjönning-Larsen	defender	10	5	0.5	30%
Patrik Kristal	midfielder	7	3	0.43	29%
Rauno Sappinen	attacker	7	3	0.43	29%
Mattias Männilaan	attacker	4	1	0.25	25%
Rocco Shein	midfielder	5	1	0.2	20%
Markus Soomets	midfielder	5	1	0.2	20%
Maksim Paskotsi	defender	5	1	0.2	20%
Rasmus Peetson	defender	6	2	0.33	17%
Karol Mets	defender	6	1	0.17	17%
Karl Hein	goalkeeper	7	0	0	0%
Märten Kuusk	defender	6	0	0	0%
Erko Tougjas	defender	4	0	0	0%
Karel Mustmaa	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Ioan Yakovlev	attacker	3	0	0	0%
Joseph Saliste	defender	2	0	0	0%
Martin Miller	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Kristo Hussar	defender	2	0	0	0%
Tanel Tammik	defender	2	0	0	0%
Marten-Chris Paalberg	attacker	1	0	0	0%

Estonia key passes match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team key passes	Opposition key passes	Match total	Top player
3 Oct 2026	UEFA Nations League	Luxembourg	Home	1-0	11	6	17	Michael Schjönning-Larsen (3)
29 Sep 2026	UEFA Nations League	Bulgaria	Away	0-0	4	12	16	Kevor Palumets (1)
26 Sep 2026	UEFA Nations League	Iceland	Away	1-1	5	17	22	Rasmus Peetson (2)
30 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Rwanda	Away	2-0	0	0	0
27 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Kenya	Away	1-1	0	0	0
18 Nov 2025	Friendly International	Cyprus	Away	2-4	0	0	0
13 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Norway	Away	4-1	5	13	18	Robi Saarma (1)
14 Oct 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Moldova	Home	1-1	10	13	23	Mattias Käit (2)
11 Oct 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Italy	Home	1-3	1	17	18	Robi Saarma (1)
9 Sep 2025	Friendly International	Andorra	Home	0-0	0	0	0

Estonia key passes 2026: last 10 games

Key passes for per game: 6
Key passes against per game: 13
Match total key passes per game: 19
Games: 6
League rank for match key passes: 29 of 53

Estonia Key passes for 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 10.5 %	Over 12.5 %	Over 14.5 %
Home	3	7.33	67%	67%	33%	0%	0%
Away	3	4.67	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	6	6	33%	33%	17%	0%	0%

Estonia Key passes against 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 10.5 %	Over 12.5 %	Over 14.5 %
Home	3	12	67%	67%	67%	67%	33%
Away	3	14	100%	100%	100%	67%	33%
Overall	6	13	83%	83%	83%	67%	33%

Estonia Match total 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 14.5 %	Over 16.5 %	Over 18.5 %	Over 20.5 %	Over 22.5 %
Home	3	19.33	100%	100%	33%	33%	33%
Away	3	18.67	100%	67%	33%	33%	0%
Overall	6	19	100%	83%	33%	33%	17%

Estonia Team key passes 2026: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team key passes	Overall	Home	Away
Key passes / match	6	7.33	4.67
Key passes over 6.5	33%	67%	0%
Key passes over 8.5	33%	67%	0%
Key passes over 10.5	17%	33%	0%
Key passes over 12.5	0%	0%	0%
Key passes over 14.5	0%	0%	0%

Estonia Key passes against 2026: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Key passes against	Overall	Home	Away
Key passes against / match	13	12	14
Key passes against over 6.5	83%	67%	100%
Key passes against over 8.5	83%	67%	100%
Key passes against over 10.5	83%	67%	100%
Key passes against over 12.5	67%	67%	67%
Key passes against over 14.5	33%	33%	33%

Estonia Match key passes 2026: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match key passes	Overall	Home	Away
Match key passes / match	19	19.33	18.67
Match key passes over 14.5	100%	100%	100%
Match key passes over 16.5	83%	100%	67%
Match key passes over 18.5	33%	33%	33%
Match key passes over 20.5	33%	33%	33%
Match key passes over 22.5	17%	33%	0%

Estonia key passes match by match 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Key passes for	Key passes against	Match total	1st-half total
3 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Luxembourg (H)	1-0	11	6	17	-
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Bulgaria (A)	0-0	4	12	16	-
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Iceland (A)	1-1	5	17	22	-
13 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Norway (A)	4-1	5	13	18	-
14 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Moldova (H)	1-1	10	13	23	-
11 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Italy (H)	1-3	1	17	18	-

UEFA Nations League key passes table 2026: every team's key passes per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
1	Italy	8	11.25	12.5	23.75	88%
2	Serbia	7	7.29	16.14	23.43	57%
3	Belgium	14	12.57	10.57	23.14	71%
4	Turkey	11	13.73	8.55	22.27	73%
5	Denmark	6	14.17	7.5	21.67	67%
6	Cyprus	4	11.25	10.25	21.5	75%
7	Romania	6	9	12.5	21.5	67%
8	Wales	8	9.13	12.25	21.38	63%
9	Germany	12	14.92	6.25	21.17	83%
10	Kazakhstan	4	7.75	12.75	20.5	75%
11	England	15	12.93	7.53	20.47	67%
12	France	16	13.38	7.06	20.44	63%
13	Scotland	9	10.11	10.33	20.44	56%
14	Netherlands	12	12.08	8.25	20.33	67%
15	Slovakia	4	13.75	6.5	20.25	75%
16	Georgia	4	7.75	12	19.75	25%
17	Moldova	3	9.33	10.33	19.67	67%
18	Portugal	13	10.54	9	19.54	54%
19	Greece	7	8.57	10.57	19.14	57%
20	Montenegro	4	10.5	8.5	19	75%
21	Faroe Islands	3	9	10	19	67%
22	Hungary	8	12	6.88	18.88	50%
23	Poland	6	12.83	6	18.83	50%
24	Switzerland	12	10.42	8.42	18.83	33%
25	Croatia	11	9.55	9.18	18.73	55%
26	Slovenia	5	7.4	11.2	18.6	20%
27	Sweden	12	8.25	10.25	18.5	50%
28	Norway	14	8.79	9.64	18.43	50%
29	Estonia	3	6.67	11.67	18.33	33%
30	Czech Republic	8	5.38	12.88	18.25	38%
31	Albania	5	10.4	7.8	18.2	40%
32	Israel	5	7	11.2	18.2	60%
33	Finland	7	8.43	9.57	18	57%
34	Latvia	6	7.83	10.17	18	50%
35	Bosnia and Herzegovina	10	8.7	9.1	17.8	40%
36	San Marino	3	4.33	13.33	17.67	33%
37	Azerbaijan	3	12	5.33	17.33	33%
38	Belarus	3	7.33	10	17.33	33%
39	Malta	5	9.4	7.8	17.2	40%
40	North Macedonia	6	3.17	14	17.17	33%
41	Luxembourg	6	7.17	9.83	17	17%
42	Spain	14	12.43	4.5	16.93	21%
43	Republic of Ireland	9	8.89	8	16.89	11%
44	Northern Ireland	8	6.75	10.13	16.88	25%
45	Armenia	4	10	6.75	16.75	25%
46	Kosovo	6	7.5	9.17	16.67	33%
47	Lithuania	3	9.33	7	16.33	33%
48	Bulgaria	3	9	7.33	16.33	0%
49	Andorra	3	8	8.33	16.33	67%
50	Ukraine	5	7.2	8.4	15.6	20%
51	Iceland	6	7.83	7.67	15.5	17%
52	Austria	11	7.18	7	14.18	18%
53	Gibraltar	4	4.25	8.75	13	0%

Estonia key passes against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
Vs top six	8	5.25	14.75	20	50%
Vs top half	8	5.25	14.75	20	50%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Estonia key passes per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
UEFA Nations League	2026/2027	3	6.67	11.67	18.33	33%
WC Qualification Europe	2026	8	4.75	16.38	21.13	63%

Estonia next three opponents: key passes per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their key passes for	Their key passes against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Tue 6 Oct 18:45	Iceland (home)	17.67	12.33	5.33	15	11	4
Fri 13 Nov 19:45	Luxembourg (away)	16.33	6.33	10	15	4	11
Mon 16 Nov 17:00	Bulgaria (home)	16.33	9	7.33	16	7	9

Estonia players with the most games of 1+ key passes 2026

#	Player	Position	Games with 1+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Kevor Palumets	midfielder	3	5	60%
2	Markus Poom	midfielder	2	4	50%
3	Frank Liivak	defender	1	1	100%
4	Mihkel Ainsalu	midfielder	1	2	50%
5	Rasmus Peetson	defender	1	2	50%

Estonia players with the most games of 2+ key passes 2026

#	Player	Position	Games with 2+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Rasmus Peetson	defender	1	2	50%
2	Markus Poom	midfielder	1	4	25%
3	Michael Schjönning-Larsen	defender	1	5	20%
4	Patrik Kristal	midfielder	1	5	20%

Estonia players with the most games of 3+ key passes 2026

#	Player	Position	Games with 3+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Markus Poom	midfielder	1	4	25%
2	Michael Schjönning-Larsen	defender	1	5	20%

Iceland key passes match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Key passes for	Key passes against	Match total	1st-half total
3 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Bulgaria (H)	3-0	9	7	16	-
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Luxembourg (A)	0-3	11	4	15	-
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Estonia (H)	1-1	17	5	22	-
10 Jun	Friendly International	Argentina (A)	3-0	5	8	13	-
31 May	Friendly International	Japan (A)	1-0	3	13	16	-
28 Mar	Friendly International	Canada (A)	2-2	2	9	11	-
16 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Ukraine (A)	2-0	9	12	21	-
13 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Azerbaijan (A)	0-2	14	5	19	-