Al Raed xG 2024/2025

Al Raed expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 33.51
Goals scored: 41
Goals minus xG: +7.49
Expected goals against (xGA): 60.51
Goals conceded: 66
xGA minus goals conceded: -5.49
Expected points (xPts): 31.67
Points: 21
Points minus xPts: -10.67
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Al Raed overperforming their expected goals?

Al Raed have taken 10.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: +7.5 goals against their xG, and -5.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Al Raed results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	34	33.51	41	+7.49	60.51	66	-5.49	31.67	21	-10.67
Last 10	10	12.87	14	+1.13	16.35	23	-6.65	11.69	3	-8.69
Last 5	5	6.25	5	-1.25	7.33	12	-4.67	6.42	0	-6.42
Home	17	14.61	17	+2.39	28.04	33	-4.96	14.40	8	-6.40
Away	17	18.90	24	+5.10	32.47	33	-0.53	17.27	13	-4.27

Al Raed expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
26 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Kholood (H)	1-2	1.46	1.72	1.22	0	L
22 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Akhdoud (A)	1-0	1.29	0.61	1.89	0	W
15 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Ittihad (H)	1-3	0.78	2.55	0.43	0	L
11 May	Saudi Pro League	Damac FC (A)	1-0	0.89	0.97	1.27	0	L
7 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Hilal (H)	3-5	1.83	1.48	1.61	0	W
24 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Taawoun (A)	4-3	2.54	2.25	1.56	0	W
19 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Orubah (A)	0-4	1.87	1.31	1.74	3	W
11 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Ahli (H)	0-2	0.47	1.80	0.48	0	L
6 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Khaleej (H)	1-2	1.12	2.11	0.79	0	L
13 Mar	Saudi Pro League	Al Fateh (A)	3-1	0.62	1.55	0.70	0	L
6 Mar	Saudi Pro League	Al-Wehda (A)	3-1	1.01	2.33	0.63	0	L
2 Mar	Saudi Pro League	Al Ettifaq (H)	1-1	0.39	0.94	0.81	1	L
25 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al Shabab (H)	1-2	0.72	2.42	0.44	0	L
20 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al Riyadh (A)	1-3	1.66	1.31	1.61	3	W
15 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al-Fayha (H)	0-2	0.26	1.67	0.37	0	L
6 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al-Qadsiah (A)	2-0	0.14	2.52	0.14	0	L
30 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Nassr (H)	1-2	0.49	2.36	0.33	0	L
25 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Kholood (A)	2-1	0.79	1.39	0.92	0	L
20 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Akhdoud (H)	0-2	1.17	1.82	0.96	0	L
16 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Ittihad (A)	4-1	1.26	1.81	1.03	0	L
10 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Damac FC (H)	0-2	0.86	1.30	1.03	0	L
7 Dec	Saudi Pro League	Al Hilal (A)	3-2	0.67	5.28	0.05	0	L
30 Nov	Saudi Pro League	Al Taawoun (H)	0-1	0.36	1.19	0.65	0	L
23 Nov	Saudi Pro League	Al Orubah (H)	3-1	0.64	0.39	1.52	3	D
8 Nov	Saudi Pro League	Al Ahli (A)	2-0	0.59	2.87	0.26	0	L
1 Nov	Saudi Pro League	Al Khaleej (A)	4-0	0.56	2.65	0.30	0	L
26 Oct	Saudi Pro League	Al Fateh (H)	2-1	2.46	1.28	2.08	3	W
19 Oct	Saudi Pro League	Al-Wehda (H)	2-2	0.89	2.00	0.69	1	L
3 Oct	Saudi Pro League	Al Ettifaq (A)	0-1	1.22	1.40	1.24	3	L
29 Sep	Saudi Pro League	Al Shabab (A)	2-1	0.62	1.48	0.73	0	L

Al Raed players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Karim El Berkaoui	attacker	22	1622	6.22	11	+4.78	0.35
Amir Sayoud	midfielder	26	2111	5.93	8	+2.07	0.25
Oumar Gonzalez	defender	27	2271	1.00	3	+2.00	0.04
Saleh Mohammed Fares Al Jaman	attacker	33	2707	5.27	6	+0.73	0.18
Ayoub Qasmi	defender	27	2225	0.45	1	+0.55	0.02
Nawaf Sahli	attacker	14	276	0.49	1	+0.51	0.16
Naif Hazazi	midfielder	20	942	0.52	1	+0.48	0.05
Yahya Sunbul	defender	20	630	0.53	1	+0.47	0.08
Mathias Antonsen Normann	midfielder	22	1775	0.56	1	+0.44	0.03
Mohamed Fouzair	attacker	6	540	1.74	2	+0.26	0.29
Mehdi Abeid	midfielder	30	2472	2.78	2	-0.78	0.10
Thamer Al-Khaibri	attacker	19	493	0.82	0	-0.82	0.15
Mobarak Al-Rajeh	defender	26	1950	0.85	0	-0.85	0.04
Zakaria Hawsawi	defender	21	1612	1.07	0	-1.07	0.06
Yousri Bouzok	attacker	20	1714	2.84	1	-1.84	0.15

Saudi Pro League 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Al Ittihad	34	64.2	79	38.1	35	62.9	83	+20.1
2	Al Hilal	34	78.1	95	34.8	41	69	75	+6
3	Al Taawoun	34	39.4	40	50.5	39	40	45	+5
4	Al-Qadsiah	34	65.8	53	34.8	31	63.4	68	+4.6
5	Al Ettifaq	34	43.4	44	45.4	45	45.8	50	+4.2
6	Al Riyadh	34	31.4	37	56.8	52	33.9	38	+4.1
7	Al Shabab	34	57.1	65	41.5	41	56.1	60	+3.9
8	Al Nassr	34	71.7	80	35.2	38	67.4	70	+2.6
9	Al Ahli	34	67.9	69	34.5	36	64.8	67	+2.2
10	Al-Wehda	34	33.4	42	58.3	67	32.7	33	+0.3
11	Al Kholood	34	44.2	42	55.6	64	41.5	40	-1.5
12	Al Khaleej	34	41	40	56.4	57	38.7	37	-1.7
13	Al Orubah	34	34.1	31	61.9	74	31.9	30	-1.9
14	Al Fateh	34	49.5	47	61	61	42.2	39	-3.2
15	Al-Fayha	34	36	27	47	49	39.4	36	-3.4
16	Damac FC	34	37.2	37	49.4	50	40.3	35	-5.3
17	Al Raed	34	33.5	41	60.5	66	31.6	21	-10.6
18	Al Akhdoud	34	39	33	45.1	56	46.1	34	-12.1