Al Ahli have recorded 16 expected goals (xG) across 7 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, averaging 2.3 per match. I. Toney leads the squad with 9 expected goals (xG) - 1.31 per game. F. Trincão is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Al Ahli are averaging 2.3 expected goals (xG) per match - I. Toney leads that period with 9. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Al Ahli vs Al Fateh on 09.10.2026.
Al Ahli average 2.3 expected goals (xG) per Saudi Pro League game in 2026/2027, based on 7 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 2.3 per match.
I. Toney leads Al Ahli for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 9 in Saudi Pro League - an average of 1.31 per game. F. Trincão is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Al Ahli's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Al Ahli have taken 7.1 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +8.4 goals against their xG, and -0.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 38.61 | 47 | +8.39 | 20.87 | 21 | -0.13 | 35.92 | 43 | +7.08 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 20.38 | 25 | +4.62 | 13.37 | 12 | +1.37 | 16.75 | 21 | +4.25 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.89 | 11 | -1.89 | 7.89 | 10 | -2.11 | 8.52 | 6 | -2.52 |
| Home | 9 | 25.39 | 32 | +6.61 | 8.38 | 4 | +4.38 | 20.56 | 27 | +6.44 |
| Away | 11 | 13.22 | 15 | +1.78 | 12.49 | 17 | -4.51 | 15.36 | 16 | +0.64 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (H) | 3-1 | 5.50 | 1.95 | 2.37 | 3 | W |
| 8 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (A) | 3-2 | 1.24 | 1.87 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 4 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 5-0 | 3.33 | 0.94 | 2.56 | 3 | W |
| 1 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (A) | 3-0 | 1.35 | 2.06 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (A) | 3-1 | 1.47 | 1.07 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Abha (H) | 4-0 | 2.11 | 1.44 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 13 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (A) | 0-1 | 1.24 | 1.62 | 1.13 | 3 | L |
| 20 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 1-4 | 1.86 | 0.89 | 2.03 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (H) | 3-0 | 1.43 | 0.46 | 2.11 | 3 | W |
| 11 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 1-2 | 0.85 | 1.07 | 1.16 | 3 | L |
| 6 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 3-1 | 4.17 | 0.81 | 2.71 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (H) | 4-0 | 2.25 | 0.39 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 29 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (A) | 2-0 | 0.15 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0 | D |
| 8 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 1-1 | 1.45 | 1.09 | 1.62 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (H) | 3-0 | 1.46 | 0.61 | 2.01 | 3 | W |
| 13 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (A) | 3-2 | 1.36 | 0.81 | 1.77 | 0 | W |
| 6 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (H) | 3-1 | 1.69 | 1.17 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 26 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (A) | 0-1 | 1.55 | 0.79 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (A) | 0-1 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 1.46 | 3 | D |
| 19 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Najma (H) | 4-1 | 3.45 | 0.61 | 2.72 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Toney | attacker | 19 | 1686 | 18.77 | 23 | +4.24 | 1.00 |
| Valentin Atangana | midfielder | 17 | 1398 | 1.96 | 4 | +2.04 | 0.13 |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | attacker | 20 | 910 | 1.30 | 3 | +1.70 | 0.13 |
| Francisco Trincão | midfielder | 7 | 565 | 1.56 | 3 | +1.44 | 0.25 |
| Franck Kessié | midfielder | 10 | 773 | 1.58 | 3 | +1.42 | 0.18 |
| Roger Ibañez | defender | 18 | 1583 | 0.70 | 2 | +1.30 | 0.04 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | midfielder | 7 | 591 | 0.85 | 2 | +1.15 | 0.13 |
| Matheus Gonçalves | attacker | 8 | 481 | 1.31 | 2 | +0.69 | 0.24 |
| Rayan Hamed | defender | 19 | 1277 | 0.65 | 1 | +0.35 | 0.05 |
| Enzo Millot | midfielder | 8 | 706 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.08 |
| Ziyad Al-Johani | midfielder | 16 | 886 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.06 |
| Riyad Mahrez | attacker | 10 | 855 | 1.59 | 1 | -0.59 | 0.17 |
| Saleh Abu Al-Shamat | attacker | 17 | 605 | 2.22 | 1 | -1.22 | 0.33 |
| Merih Demiral | defender | 11 | 870 | 1.35 | 0 | -1.35 | 0.14 |
| Galeno | attacker | 14 | 1089 | 2.12 | 0 | -2.12 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 14.2 | 12 | 10.1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | +5 |
| 2 | NEOM SC | 7 | 11.2 | 13 | 8.9 | 6 | 11.2 | 15 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 6 | 8 | 13.7 | 16 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 7 | 23.1 | 23 | 8.1 | 5 | 16.3 | 18 | +1.7 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 7 | 11.6 | 16 | 4.9 | 7 | 14.4 | 16 | +1.6 |
| 6 | Al-Qadsiah | 7 | 14.4 | 16 | 6.5 | 8 | 14.5 | 16 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 7 | 9.8 | 11 | 9.2 | 11 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| 8 | Al-Fayha | 7 | 7.2 | 7 | 16.1 | 11 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 7 | 11.5 | 12 | 8.9 | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| 10 | Al Ahli | 7 | 16.2 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 7 | 7.9 | 7 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Al Draih | 7 | 9.7 | 7 | 7.7 | 5 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 4.6 | 3 | 8.8 | 10 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 5.9 | 5 | 12.6 | 13 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 8.5 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 16 | Al Shabab | 7 | 9.7 | 6 | 12.3 | 11 | 8.8 | 4 | -4.8 |
| 17 | Abha | 7 | 6.3 | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | 6.8 | 2 | -4.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 7 | 10.4 | 3 | 11.7 | 12 | 9.6 | 3 | -6.6 |