Al Najma have taken 9.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: +3.3 goals against their xG, and -8.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/26 | 34 | 28.73 | 32 | +3.27 | 67.29 | 76 | -8.71 | 25.44 | 16 | -9.44 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.17 | 10 | +1.83 | 20.94 | 22 | -1.06 | 7.49 | 8 | +0.51 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.27 | 4 | -1.27 | 8.72 | 7 | +1.72 | 4.84 | 5 | +0.16 |
| Home | 17 | 15.76 | 21 | +5.24 | 28.44 | 36 | -7.56 | 15.86 | 13 | -2.86 |
| Away | 17 | 12.97 | 11 | -1.97 | 38.85 | 40 | -1.15 | 9.58 | 3 | -6.58 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 1-0 | 1.69 | 0.58 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 14 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (A) | 2-0 | 0.63 | 1.84 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (H) | 2-2 | 0.56 | 1.64 | 0.61 | 1 | L |
| 4 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (A) | 0-0 | 1.14 | 2.14 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 3-1 | 1.25 | 2.52 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| 23 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 1-2 | 0.87 | 0.81 | 1.38 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (H) | 2-1 | 0.62 | 2.45 | 0.37 | 3 | L |
| 3 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (A) | 5-2 | 0.62 | 4.30 | 0.10 | 0 | L |
| 12 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (H) | 1-3 | 0.77 | 1.69 | 0.74 | 0 | L |
| 6 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (A) | 4-0 | 0.02 | 2.97 | 0.06 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (H) | 1-3 | 1.82 | 2.42 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 25 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (H) | 0-5 | 0.18 | 2.43 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 19 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (A) | 4-1 | 0.61 | 3.45 | 0.18 | 0 | L |
| 14 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (H) | 2-1 | 0.96 | 3.05 | 0.38 | 3 | L |
| 5 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 3-0 | 0.46 | 1.98 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 1 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 1-0 | 0.68 | 1.24 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 28 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 1-1 | 1.74 | 0.47 | 2.28 | 1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (H) | 1-3 | 0.89 | 1.64 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 20 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (A) | 0-0 | 0.50 | 1.53 | 0.61 | 1 | L |
| 16 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 1-1 | 1.40 | 1.03 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| 12 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (A) | 3-2 | 0.81 | 2.72 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 8 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 3-4 | 1.64 | 2.18 | 1.08 | 0 | L |
| 2 Jan | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (H) | 2-2 | 0.90 | 2.40 | 0.54 | 1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 1-0 | 1.20 | 2.55 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 25 Dec | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 2-1 | 1.31 | 1.74 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| 22 Nov | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (A) | 0-0 | 0.99 | 1.43 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 7 Nov | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (H) | 2-4 | 0.32 | 2.07 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 31 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (A) | 2-1 | 0.59 | 1.88 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| 23 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 0-1 | 0.19 | 1.34 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 17 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (A) | 5-1 | 1.06 | 2.70 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakan Al-Tulayhi | midfielder | 32 | 1521 | 1.56 | 4 | +2.44 | 0.09 |
| Samir Caetano | defender | 30 | 2633 | 0.84 | 3 | +2.16 | 0.03 |
| Mohammed Al Aqal | attacker | 5 | 161 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.18 |
| Ali Jasim | attacker | 24 | 1621 | 3.37 | 4 | +0.63 | 0.19 |
| Felippe Cardoso | attacker | 14 | 1228 | 3.66 | 4 | +0.34 | 0.27 |
| Lázaro | attacker | 25 | 2021 | 6.69 | 7 | +0.31 | 0.30 |
| Nasser Al-Haleel | defender | 25 | 1828 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.04 |
| Bilal Boutobba | attacker | 28 | 2067 | 2.83 | 3 | +0.17 | 0.12 |
| David Tijanic | midfielder | 24 | 1829 | 2.18 | 2 | -0.18 | 0.11 |
| Hisham Al-Dubais | attacker | 18 | 399 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.13 |
| Mohammed Al-Fatil | defender | 11 | 771 | 0.61 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.07 |
| Romell Quioto | attacker | 9 | 569 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahli | 34 | 60.4 | 71 | 26.8 | 25 | 65.7 | 81 | +15.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 34 | 68 | 83 | 38.5 | 34 | 64.3 | 77 | +12.7 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 77.6 | 91 | 27.9 | 28 | 74.3 | 86 | +11.7 |
| 4 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 42.5 | 51 | 61.3 | 55 | 39.6 | 50 | +10.4 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 34 | 81.7 | 85 | 25.3 | 27 | 76.4 | 84 | +7.6 |
| 6 | Al Taawoun | 34 | 48.5 | 59 | 49.2 | 46 | 46.9 | 53 | +6.1 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 54.8 | 55 | 46.3 | 48 | 51.4 | 55 | +3.6 |
| 8 | Al Hazm | 34 | 43.6 | 38 | 49.8 | 57 | 42.8 | 42 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Al-Fayha | 34 | 36.4 | 41 | 47.1 | 54 | 40.6 | 38 | -2.6 |
| 10 | Al Kholood | 34 | 34.8 | 39 | 56 | 61 | 35.7 | 33 | -2.7 |
| 11 | NEOM SC | 34 | 47.5 | 43 | 44.1 | 48 | 50 | 45 | -5 |
| 12 | Damac FC | 34 | 31 | 32 | 50.5 | 55 | 35.3 | 29 | -6.3 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 34 | 47.7 | 41 | 52.6 | 55 | 43.9 | 37 | -6.9 |
| 14 | Al Akhdoud | 34 | 28.5 | 27 | 66.9 | 70 | 27.4 | 20 | -7.4 |
| 15 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 47.4 | 54 | 48 | 62 | 45.9 | 37 | -8.9 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 43.2 | 35 | 58.5 | 63 | 38.9 | 30 | -8.9 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 34 | 50.7 | 44 | 56.9 | 57 | 44.2 | 35 | -9.2 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 28.7 | 32 | 67.3 | 76 | 25.4 | 16 | -9.4 |