Updated 5 November 2026.
Midtjylland host Ajax at MCH Arena, Herning on 5 November 2026 at 17:45 in the Europa Conference League. Midtjylland's last five results: D W L W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Ajax's last five: L W W W W (4 wins and 1 loss).
Midtjylland vs Ajax kicks off at 17:45 UK time on Thursday 5 November 2026 in the Europa Conference League, at MCH Arena, Herning. MCH Arena holds 12,152 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 17:45.
Midtjylland vs Ajax is being played at MCH Arena in Herning on Thursday 5 November 2026, the home ground of Midtjylland, which holds 12,152 people. Kick-off is at 17:45 UK time, and the match is part of the Europa Conference League.
Midtjylland have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7, with results reading D W L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-2 win away to Nordsjælland in the Superliga on 1 November.
Ajax have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5, with results reading L W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win at home to AZ in the Eredivisie on 31 October.
Etim leads Midtjylland with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Midtjylland player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Midtjylland player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Tolu Arokodare leads Ajax with 6 goals across their last 10 games, 0.6 a game, the most of any Ajax player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ajax player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Paweł Raczkowski is the referee for Midtjylland vs Ajax, averaging 27.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game across 1 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Midtjylland vs Ajax with 11 starters a side: Midtjylland line up 3-1-4-2 and Ajax 4-3-3, ahead of the 17:45 UK time kick-off on Thursday 5 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Ajax the favourite with a 40% chance of winning, against 35% for Midtjylland and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Midtjylland 1.5 - 1.6 Ajax.
The most likely score in Midtjylland vs Ajax is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Midtjylland vs Ajax, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Midtjylland 1.5 - 1.6 Ajax in goals. It gives Midtjylland a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ajax 40%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 0-1 (7%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-2 | Ajax win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Midtjylland win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Ajax win | 7% |
| 1-0 | Midtjylland win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Midtjylland vs Ajax, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Midtjylland | Fouls committed | Ajax | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etim | 23 | J. Mokio | 14 |
| 2 | P. Billing | 10 | L. Rosa | 10 |
| 3 | G. Cho | 9 | T. Arokodare | 9 |
| 4 | J. Emefile | 9 | S. Amrabat | 7 |
| 5 | M. Sørensen | 9 | Y. Baas | 7 |
| # | Midtjylland | Shots | Ajax | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etim | 28 | T. Arokodare | 33 |
| 2 | G. Cho | 14 | O. Gloukh | 30 |
| 3 | K. Wätjen | 14 | J. Brandt | 22 |
| 4 | S. Johannesen | 9 | A. Ouazane | 22 |
| 5 | R. Kristensen | 9 | J. Mokio | 17 |
| # | Midtjylland | Shots on target | Ajax | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etim | 14 | O. Gloukh | 11 |
| 2 | K. Wätjen | 5 | J. Brandt | 10 |
| 3 | G. Cho | 5 | A. Ouazane | 9 |
| 4 | S. Johannesen | 4 | T. Arokodare | 9 |
| 5 | R. Kristensen | 4 | D. Klaassen | 7 |
| # | Midtjylland | Goals | Ajax | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etim | 5 | T. Arokodare | 6 |
| 2 | G. Cho | 3 | J. Brandt | 5 |
| 3 | P. Billing | 2 | D. Klaassen | 3 |
| 4 | R. Kristensen | 2 | A. Ouazane | 2 |
| 5 | D. Castillo | 2 | J. Mokio | 2 |
| # | Midtjylland | Yellow cards | Ajax | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Maxsø | 3 | A. Ouazane | 3 |
| 2 | R. Kristensen | 3 | L. Rosa | 2 |
| 3 | M. Sørensen | 2 | J. Mokio | 2 |
| 4 | A. Ndiaye | 1 | Y. Baas | 2 |
| 5 | S. Iheanacho | 1 | J. Brandt | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Midtjylland vs Ajax: Jorthy Mokio 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Philip Billing 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25); Rasmus Kristensen 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.40); Mads Bech Sørensen 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 2.83 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 2 of 12 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 3 of 12 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 8 of 12 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 3 of 12 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 6 of 12 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 5 of 12 |
| Passes | 398.8 | 11 of 12 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 6 of 12 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.7 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots | 21 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 7.1 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 577 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6 of 18 |