Updated 31 October 2026.
Arouca host Nacional at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca on 1 November 2026 at 15:30 in Liga Portugal. Arouca's last five results: D L D W W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Nacional's last five: L L L L W (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 4 meetings, Arouca have won 4, Nacional 0, with 0 draws.
Arouca vs Nacional kicks off at 15:30 UK time on Sunday 1 November 2026 in Liga Portugal, at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca. Estádio Municipal de Arouca holds 5,600 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:30.
Arouca vs Nacional is being played at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca on Sunday 1 November 2026, the home ground of Arouca, which holds 5,600 people. Kick-off is at 15:30 UK time, and the match is part of Liga Portugal.
Arouca have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4, with results reading D L D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win away to Alverca in the Liga Portugal on 24 October.
Nacional have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12, with results reading L L L L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win at home to Braga in the Liga Portugal on 25 October.
Across the last 4 meetings Arouca have won 4, Nacional have won 0 and 0 were drawn, with Arouca scoring 8 goals to Nacional's 2. The most recent was Arouca 3-0 Nacional on 21 February 2026 in the Liga Portugal.
Iván Barbero leads Arouca with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Arouca player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Arouca player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Matheus Dias leads Nacional with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Nacional player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Nacional player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho is the referee for Arouca vs Nacional, averaging 22.7 fouls and 2.7 yellow cards per game across 3 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Arouca vs Nacional with 11 starters a side: Arouca line up 4-2-3-1 and Nacional 5-4-1, ahead of the 15:30 UK time kick-off on Sunday 1 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Arouca the favourite with a 54% chance of winning, against 20% for Nacional and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Arouca 1.7 - 1.0 Nacional.
The most likely score in Arouca vs Nacional is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 52% likely and over 2.5 goals 50%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Arouca vs Nacional, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Liga Portugal | Arouca vs Nacional | 3-0 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Liga Portugal | Nacional vs Arouca | 1-2 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Liga Portugal | Nacional vs Arouca | 1-2 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Liga Portugal | Arouca vs Nacional | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Arouca 1.7 - 1.0 Nacional in goals. It gives Arouca a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nacional 20%. Both teams to score is 52% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 50%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-0 | Arouca win | 11% |
| 2-0 | Arouca win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Arouca win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Arouca vs Nacional, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Arouca | Fouls committed | Nacional | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Ee | 15 | M. Dias | 14 |
| 2 | I. Barbero | 12 | Z. Vitor | 12 |
| 3 | O. Lebedenko | 11 | C. Labidi | 10 |
| 4 | T. Fukui | 10 | P. Ruan | 10 |
| 5 | T. Esgaio | 9 | Liziero | 8 |
| # | Arouca | Shots | Nacional | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 24 | P. Ruan | 12 |
| 2 | N. Djouahra | 19 | M. Baeza | 8 |
| 3 | A. Trezza | 14 | W. Gasolina | 8 |
| 4 | T. Fukui | 14 | Z. Vitor | 8 |
| 5 | D. NandÃn | 8 | S. Gavriel | 7 |
| # | Arouca | Shots on target | Nacional | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 10 | M. Baeza | 5 |
| 2 | T. Fukui | 6 | P. Ruan | 4 |
| 3 | D. NandÃn | 4 | S. Gavriel | 4 |
| 4 | N. Djouahra | 3 | M. Djaló | 3 |
| 5 | J. Fontán | 3 | Liziero | 2 |
| # | Arouca | Goals | Nacional | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Barbero | 5 | M. Baeza | 2 |
| 2 | T. Fukui | 2 | A. Njoya | 2 |
| 3 | J. Fontán | 2 | M. Djaló | 1 |
| 4 | D. NandÃn | 2 | W. Gasolina | 1 |
| 5 | H. Lee | 1 | P. Ruan | 1 |
| # | Arouca | Yellow cards | Nacional | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Sánchez | 3 | M. Dias | 3 |
| 2 | J. Fontán | 3 | F. Soares | 3 |
| 3 | P. Santos | 3 | W. Kokolo | 2 |
| 4 | H. Lee | 2 | J. Gomes | 1 |
| 5 | I. Barbero | 2 | S. Gavriel | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 7 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 11 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 9 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 17 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15.9 | 11 of 18 |
| Passes | 471.3 | 4 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 15 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 13 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.6 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.2 | 14 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 14 of 18 |
| Tackles | 17.4 | 5 of 18 |
| Passes | 386.9 | 11 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 10 of 18 |