Sweden host Poland at Strawberry Arena, Solna on 28 September 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Sweden's last five results: W L D L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Poland's last five: W L L D D (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Sweden have won 1, Poland 0, with 0 draws.
Sweden vs Poland kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 28 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Strawberry Arena, Solna.
Sweden vs Poland is being played at Strawberry Arena in Solna, the home ground of Sweden.
Sweden's last five results read W L D L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Poland's last five results read W L L D D (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Across the last 1 meetings Sweden have won 1, Poland have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Sweden 3-2 Poland on 31 March 2026 in the WC Qualification Europe.
Viktor Gyökeres leads Sweden with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Robert Lewandowski leads Poland with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Sweden vs Poland appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Sweden the favourite with a 52% chance of winning, against 25% for Poland and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Sweden 1.9 - 1.3 Poland.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 61%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | WC Qualification Europe | Sweden vs Poland | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Sweden 1.9 - 1.3 Poland in goals. It gives Sweden a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Poland 25%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 61%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%), 2-0 (8%), 1-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Sweden win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Sweden win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Sweden win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Poland win | 6% |
| # | Sweden | Fouls committed | Poland | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Krafth | 1 | K. Piatek | 4 |
| # | Sweden | Shots | Poland | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Gyökeres | 19 | K. Piatek | 3 |
| 2 | A. Isak | 14 | ||
| 3 | Y. Ayari | 10 | ||
| 4 | A. Elanga | 7 | ||
| 5 | M. Svanberg | 6 |
| # | Sweden | Shots on target | Poland | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Gyökeres | 13 | K. Piatek | 1 |
| 2 | A. Isak | 8 | ||
| 3 | A. Elanga | 6 | ||
| 4 | Y. Ayari | 4 | ||
| 5 | A. Bernhardsson | 3 |
| # | Sweden | Goals | Poland | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Gyökeres | 7 | R. Lewandowski | 4 |
| 2 | A. Elanga | 3 | P. Zieliński | 3 |
| 3 | A. Isak | 3 | J. Kamiński | 2 |
| 4 | Y. Ayari | 2 | K. Świderski | 2 |
| 5 | G. Lundgren | 1 | M. Cash | 1 |
| # | Sweden | Yellow cards | Poland | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Bergvall | 2 | K. Piatek | 2 |
| 2 | H. Johansson | 1 | ||
| 3 | B. Zeneli | 1 | ||
| 4 | K. Nordfeldt | 1 | ||
| 5 | J. Karlström | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Sweden vs Poland: Besfort Zeneli 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Yasin Ayari 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Przemyslaw Frankowski 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.33); Alexander Isak 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 2.47 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 3 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 15 of 54 |
| Shots | 11 | 20 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 15 of 54 |
| Fouls | 6 | 31 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12 | 21 of 54 |
| Passes | 587 | 6 of 54 |
| Corners | 3 | 15 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals against | 0 | 3 of 54 |
| Shots | 14 | 12 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 19 of 54 |
| Fouls | 18 | 3 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 9 of 54 |
| Passes | 436 | 19 of 54 |
| Corners | 3 | 18 of 54 |