Romania host Sweden at Arena Naţională, Bucharest on 5 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Romania's last five results: W L L L L (1 win and 4 losses). Sweden's last five: D L W W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 1 meetings, Romania have won 0, Sweden 1, with 0 draws.
Romania vs Sweden kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 5 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Arena Naţională, Bucharest.
Romania vs Sweden is being played at Arena Naţională in Bucharest, the home ground of Romania.
Romania's last five results read W L L L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Sweden's last five results read D L W W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 1 meetings Romania have won 0, Sweden have won 1 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Sweden 2-1 Romania on 25 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Florinel Coman leads Romania with 2 shots across their last 10 games.
Viktor Gyökeres leads Sweden with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Romania and Sweden are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Sweden the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 26% for Romania and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Romania 1.2 - 1.7 Sweden.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 55%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Sweden vs Romania | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Romania 1.2 - 1.7 Sweden in goals. It gives Romania a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sweden 50%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 55%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 0-1 | Sweden win | 10% |
| 1-2 | Sweden win | 10% |
| 0-2 | Sweden win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Romania win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Romania vs Sweden, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Romania | Fouls committed | Sweden | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Burcă | 2 | L. Bergvall | 13 |
| 2 | C. Cîrjan | 2 | Y. Ayari | 13 |
| 3 | F. Coman | 1 | V. Gyökeres | 8 |
| 4 | G. Gudmundsson | 8 | ||
| 5 | V. Lindelöf | 6 |
| # | Romania | Shots | Sweden | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Coman | 2 | V. Gyökeres | 22 |
| 2 | A. Isak | 14 | ||
| 3 | Y. Ayari | 12 | ||
| 4 | A. Elanga | 7 | ||
| 5 | A. Bernhardsson | 7 |
| # | Romania | Shots on target | Sweden | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Coman | 2 | V. Gyökeres | 13 |
| 2 | A. Isak | 8 | ||
| 3 | A. Elanga | 6 | ||
| 4 | Y. Ayari | 6 | ||
| 5 | A. Bernhardsson | 3 |
| # | Romania | Goals | Sweden | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Coman | 1 | V. Gyökeres | 6 |
| 2 | A. Elanga | 3 | ||
| 3 | A. Isak | 3 | ||
| 4 | Y. Ayari | 3 | ||
| 5 | G. Lagerbielke | 1 |
| # | Romania | Yellow cards | Sweden | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Burcă | 1 | L. Bergvall | 2 |
| 2 | J. Karlström | 1 | ||
| 3 | G. Gudmundsson | 1 | ||
| 4 | Y. Ayari | 1 | ||
| 5 | I. Hien | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Romania vs Sweden: Răzvan Marin 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Yasin Ayari 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Dennis Man 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30); Viktor Gyökeres 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 2.13 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 31 of 54 |
| Goals against | 4 | 53 of 54 |
| Shots | 11 | 34 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.7 | 45 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 10 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.3 | 35 of 54 |
| Passes | 441.3 | 35 of 54 |
| Corners | 1.7 | 50 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 11 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 27 of 54 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 39 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 21 of 54 |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 51 of 54 |
| Tackles | 11.7 | 44 of 54 |
| Passes | 524.7 | 16 of 54 |
| Corners | 2.3 | 46 of 54 |