Denmark host Wales at Parken, København on 27 September 2026 at 17:00 in the UEFA Nations League. Denmark's last five results: L W D D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Wales's last five: D D D L L (3 draws and 2 losses).
Denmark vs Wales kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 27 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Parken, København.
Denmark vs Wales is being played at Parken in København, the home ground of Denmark.
Denmark's last five results read L W D D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Wales's last five results read D D D L L (oldest to newest): 3 draws and 2 losses.
Rasmus Højlund leads Denmark with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Harry Wilson leads Wales with 17 shots across their last 10 games.
Willy Delajod is the referee for Denmark vs Wales, averaging 21.3 fouls and 3.7 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Denmark and Wales are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Denmark the favourite with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Wales and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Denmark 2.0 - 0.9 Wales.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Denmark win, at 11%. Both teams to score is 50% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Denmark 2.0 - 0.9 Wales in goals. It gives Denmark a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wales 16%. Both teams to score is 50% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Denmark win | 11% |
| 2-0 | Denmark win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Denmark win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Denmark win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Denmark vs Wales, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Denmark | Fouls committed | Wales | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Andersen | 9 | E. Ampadu | 11 |
| 2 | M. Hjulmand | 9 | N. Williams | 10 |
| 3 | R. Højlund | 9 | H. Wilson | 8 |
| 4 | R. Kristensen | 8 | D. Brooks | 8 |
| 5 | P. Dorgu | 6 | L. Koumas | 7 |
| # | Denmark | Shots | Wales | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 27 | H. Wilson | 17 |
| 2 | P. Højbjerg | 21 | D. James | 17 |
| 3 | G. Isaksen | 18 | D. Brooks | 13 |
| 4 | M. Damsgaard | 16 | L. Koumas | 11 |
| 5 | P. Dorgu | 13 | M. Harris | 8 |
| # | Denmark | Shots on target | Wales | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 11 | L. Koumas | 7 |
| 2 | G. Isaksen | 10 | D. James | 6 |
| 3 | M. Damsgaard | 8 | J. James | 5 |
| 4 | P. Højbjerg | 7 | D. Brooks | 5 |
| 5 | P. Dorgu | 5 | H. Wilson | 5 |
| # | Denmark | Goals | Wales | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 6 | H. Wilson | 3 |
| 2 | M. Damsgaard | 5 | N. Broadhead | 2 |
| 3 | G. Isaksen | 3 | D. Brooks | 2 |
| 4 | P. Dorgu | 2 | D. James | 2 |
| 5 | A. Dreyer | 2 | J. Rodon | 1 |
| # | Denmark | Yellow cards | Wales | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Andersen | 2 | D. Brooks | 2 |
| 2 | R. Kristensen | 2 | H. Wilson | 2 |
| 3 | J. Maehle | 1 | N. Williams | 1 |
| 4 | P. Højbjerg | 1 | R. Norrington-Davies | 1 |
| 5 | K. Schmeichel | 1 | C. Crew | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Denmark vs Wales: Brennan Johnson 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.14); Daniel James 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40); Joakim Maehle 2+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 3.23 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 5 of 54 |
| Goals against | 3 | 33 of 54 |
| Shots | 13 | 14 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 7 | 8 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10 | 24 of 54 |
| Tackles | 24 | 1 of 54 |
| Passes | 523 | 10 of 54 |
| Corners | 7 | 8 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0 | 27 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 20 of 54 |
| Shots | 5 | 29 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 1 | 30 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10 | 26 of 54 |
| Tackles | 7 | 32 of 54 |
| Passes | 393 | 23 of 54 |
| Corners | 2 | 23 of 54 |