Germany host Serbia at Allianz Arena, Munich on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Germany's last five results: W L D D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Serbia's last five: W L L L L (1 win and 4 losses).
Germany vs Serbia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 1 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Allianz Arena, Munich.
Germany vs Serbia is being played at Allianz Arena in Munich, the home ground of Germany.
Germany's last five results read W L D D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Serbia's last five results read W L L L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Deniz Undav leads Germany with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Nemanja Radonjić leads Serbia with 2 shots across their last 10 games.
Espen Eskås is the referee for Germany vs Serbia, averaging 27.5 fouls and 5.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Germany and Serbia are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Germany the favourite with a 79% chance of winning, against 8% for Serbia and 13% for the draw. Projected goals are Germany 2.7 - 0.7 Serbia.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Germany win, at 12%. Both teams to score is 49% likely and over 2.5 goals 68%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Germany 2.7 - 0.7 Serbia in goals. It gives Germany a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Serbia 8%. Both teams to score is 49% likely, over 1.5 goals 86% and over 2.5 goals 68%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Germany win | 12% |
| 3-0 | Germany win | 11% |
| 2-1 | Germany win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Germany win | 8% |
| 3-1 | Germany win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Germany vs Serbia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Germany | Fouls committed | Serbia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Pavlovic | 16 | S. Lukić | 9 |
| 2 | J. Tah | 13 | S. Pavlović | 6 |
| 3 | J. Musiala | 9 | A. Mitrović | 5 |
| 4 | N. Schlotterbeck | 8 | F. Kostić | 5 |
| 5 | F. Nmecha | 8 | N. Gudelj | 4 |
| # | Germany | Shots | Serbia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Wirtz | 19 | N. Radonjić | 2 |
| 2 | K. Havertz | 15 | ||
| 3 | F. Nmecha | 14 | ||
| 4 | D. Undav | 12 | ||
| 5 | L. Sané | 11 |
| # | Germany | Shots on target | Serbia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Havertz | 9 | N. Radonjić | 2 |
| 2 | D. Undav | 9 | ||
| 3 | F. Nmecha | 6 | ||
| 4 | J. Musiala | 4 | ||
| 5 | F. Wirtz | 4 |
| # | Germany | Goals | Serbia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Undav | 6 | A. Mitrović | 2 |
| 2 | K. Havertz | 5 | D. Vlahović | 1 |
| 3 | L. Sané | 2 | A. Stanković | 1 |
| 4 | J. Musiala | 2 | C. Chambian | 1 |
| 5 | F. Nmecha | 2 | S. Pavlović | 1 |
| # | Germany | Yellow cards | Serbia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Havertz | 1 | F. Kostić | 2 |
| 2 | J. Musiala | 1 | V. Dragojevic | 2 |
| 3 | A. Pavlovic | 1 | S. Erakovic | 1 |
| 4 | N. Schlotterbeck | 1 | S. Lukić | 1 |
| 5 | Y. Bisseck | 1 | D. Tadić | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Germany vs Serbia: Andrija Zivkovic 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.80); Strahinja Pavlović 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.33); David Raum 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.53); Aleksa Terzic 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.67). Combined odds 6.12 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.5 | 41 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 19 of 54 |
| Shots | 13 | 25 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 34 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 16 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 32 of 54 |
| Passes | 550 | 13 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 22 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 38 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2 | 46 of 54 |
| Shots | 10 | 39 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 19 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9 | 51 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17 | 14 of 54 |
| Passes | 340.5 | 48 of 54 |
| Corners | 2.5 | 42 of 54 |