Greece host Netherlands at Stadio Toumbas, ThessalonÃki on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Greece's last five results: D D L W W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Netherlands's last five: W W D D W (3 wins and 2 draws). In their last 2 meetings, Greece have won 0, Netherlands 2, with 0 draws.
Greece vs Netherlands kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 1 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadio Toumbas, ThessalonÃki.
Greece vs Netherlands is being played at Stadio Toumbas in ThessalonÃki, the home ground of Greece.
Greece's last five results read D D L W W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Netherlands's last five results read W W D D W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
Across the last 2 meetings Greece have won 0, Netherlands have won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Greece 0-1 Netherlands on 16 October 2023 in the Euro Qualification.
Christos Tzolis leads Greece with 10 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Cody Gakpo leads Netherlands with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Marco Guida is the referee for Greece vs Netherlands, averaging 23.3 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Greece and Netherlands are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Netherlands the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Greece and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Greece 1.2 - 1.5 Netherlands.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2023 | Euro Qualification | Greece vs Netherlands | 0-1 |
| 7 Sep 2023 | Euro Qualification | Netherlands vs Greece | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Greece 1.2 - 1.5 Netherlands in goals. It gives Greece a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Netherlands 43%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-1 | Netherlands win | 10% |
| 1-2 | Netherlands win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Greece win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Greece win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Greece vs Netherlands, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Greece | Fouls committed | Netherlands | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Kourbelis | 12 | D. Dumfries | 12 |
| 2 | C. Zafeiris | 12 | R. Gravenberch | 9 |
| 3 | C. Tzolis | 10 | V. Dijk | 8 |
| 4 | P. Retsos | 10 | M. Ven | 8 |
| 5 | G. Vagiannidis | 8 | B. Brobbey | 8 |
| # | Greece | Shots | Netherlands | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Tzolis | 29 | C. Gakpo | 23 |
| 2 | V. Pavlidis | 17 | T. Reijnders | 19 |
| 3 | K. Karetsas | 10 | D. Malen | 12 |
| 4 | A. Bakasetas | 9 | R. Gravenberch | 10 |
| 5 | K. Tsimikas | 8 | C. Summerville | 10 |
| # | Greece | Shots on target | Netherlands | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Tzolis | 10 | C. Gakpo | 13 |
| 2 | V. Pavlidis | 6 | T. Reijnders | 6 |
| 3 | K. Karetsas | 4 | D. Malen | 5 |
| 4 | K. Tsimikas | 4 | C. Summerville | 5 |
| 5 | A. Tetteh | 3 | M. Meerdink | 5 |
| # | Greece | Goals | Netherlands | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Tzolis | 3 | C. Gakpo | 6 |
| 2 | K. Tsimikas | 2 | B. Brobbey | 3 |
| 3 | A. Bakasetas | 1 | V. Dijk | 2 |
| 4 | K. Karetsas | 1 | C. Summerville | 2 |
| 5 | D. Kourbelis | 1 | M. Meerdink | 2 |
| # | Greece | Yellow cards | Netherlands | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Retsos | 3 | C. Summerville | 2 |
| 2 | C. Zafeiris | 3 | M. Depay | 1 |
| 3 | D. Kourbelis | 2 | M. Ven | 1 |
| 4 | F. Ioannidis | 2 | J. Timber | 1 |
| 5 | L. Rota | 2 | V. Dijk | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Greece vs Netherlands: Konstantinos Mavropanos 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); Konstantinos Karetsas 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Denzel Dumfries 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 3.63 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 18 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 16 of 54 |
| Shots | 17 | 7 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 17 of 54 |
| Fouls | 9 | 49 of 54 |
| Tackles | 18 | 8 of 54 |
| Passes | 408 | 39 of 54 |
| Corners | 4 | 26 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 22 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 20 of 54 |
| Shots | 23.5 | 1 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 9 | 2 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 39 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.5 | 33 of 54 |
| Passes | 521.5 | 18 of 54 |
| Corners | 8 | 1 of 54 |