Denmark host Portugal at Parken, København on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Denmark's last five results: W D D L W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Portugal's last five: D W L W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 2 meetings, Denmark have won 1, Portugal 1, with 0 draws.
Denmark vs Portugal kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 1 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Parken, København.
Denmark vs Portugal is being played at Parken in København, the home ground of Denmark.
Denmark's last five results read W D D L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Portugal's last five results read D W L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 2 meetings Denmark have won 1, Portugal have won 1 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Portugal 5-2 Denmark on 23 March 2025 in the UEFA Nations League.
Rasmus Højlund leads Denmark with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Cristiano Ronaldo leads Portugal with 12 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Nikolai Balakin is the referee for Denmark vs Portugal, averaging 21.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Denmark and Portugal are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Portugal the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Denmark and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Denmark 1.3 - 1.5 Portugal.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 52%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2025 | UEFA Nations League | Portugal vs Denmark | 5-2 |
| 20 Mar 2025 | UEFA Nations League | Denmark vs Portugal | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Denmark 1.3 - 1.5 Portugal in goals. It gives Denmark a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portugal 43%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 52%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 1-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-1 | Portugal win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Portugal win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Denmark win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Denmark win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Denmark vs Portugal, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Denmark | Fouls committed | Portugal | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 10 | J. Cancelo | 11 |
| 2 | J. Andersen | 7 | R. Veiga | 11 |
| 3 | G. Isaksen | 7 | P. Neto | 8 |
| 4 | P. Dorgu | 7 | F. Conceição | 7 |
| 5 | M. Hjulmand | 7 | R. Dias | 7 |
| # | Denmark | Shots | Portugal | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 28 | C. Ronaldo | 32 |
| 2 | G. Isaksen | 21 | J. Félix | 18 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 19 | B. Fernandes | 14 |
| 4 | M. Damsgaard | 17 | F. Conceição | 7 |
| 5 | C. Eriksen | 11 | P. Neto | 7 |
| # | Denmark | Shots on target | Portugal | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Isaksen | 11 | C. Ronaldo | 12 |
| 2 | R. Højlund | 10 | J. Félix | 8 |
| 3 | M. Damsgaard | 7 | B. Fernandes | 6 |
| 4 | P. Dorgu | 5 | G. Ramos | 3 |
| 5 | P. Højbjerg | 5 | F. Trincão | 2 |
| # | Denmark | Goals | Portugal | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Højlund | 5 | C. Ronaldo | 3 |
| 2 | M. Damsgaard | 4 | J. Félix | 3 |
| 3 | G. Isaksen | 4 | G. Ramos | 2 |
| 4 | P. Dorgu | 2 | R. Leão | 1 |
| 5 | A. Dreyer | 2 | N. Mendes | 1 |
| # | Denmark | Yellow cards | Portugal | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Andersen | 2 | B. Silva | 3 |
| 2 | R. Kristensen | 2 | R. Veiga | 3 |
| 3 | P. Højbjerg | 1 | R. Dias | 2 |
| 4 | K. Schmeichel | 1 | J. Cancelo | 2 |
| 5 | V. Nelsson | 1 | N. Semedo | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Denmark vs Portugal: João Félix 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.40); Pedro Neto 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); João Neves 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Gonçalo Ramos 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.44). Combined odds 3.35 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 10 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 33 of 54 |
| Shots | 16.5 | 10 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 11 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10 | 41 of 54 |
| Tackles | 18.5 | 7 of 54 |
| Passes | 552.5 | 11 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 18 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 23 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 10 of 54 |
| Shots | 17.5 | 6 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 24 of 54 |
| Fouls | 12 | 31 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.5 | 25 of 54 |
| Passes | 492.5 | 21 of 54 |
| Corners | 6 | 8 of 54 |