Belgium host Turkey at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege on 2 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Belgium's last five results: W W L W L (3 wins and 2 losses). Turkey's last five: L L W L L (1 win and 4 losses).
Belgium vs Turkey kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege.
Belgium vs Turkey is being played at Stade Maurice Dufrasne in Liege, the home ground of Belgium.
Belgium's last five results read W W L W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Turkey's last five results read L L W L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Romelu Lukaku leads Belgium with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Barış Alper Yılmaz leads Turkey with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Belgium and Turkey are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Belgium the favourite with a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Turkey and 20% for the draw. Projected goals are Belgium 2.1 - 1.1 Turkey.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1, a Belgium win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 62%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Belgium 2.1 - 1.1 Turkey in goals. It gives Belgium a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Turkey 18%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 62%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%), 3-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Belgium win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Belgium win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 1-0 | Belgium win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Belgium win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Belgium vs Turkey, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Belgium | Fouls committed | Turkey | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Raskin | 15 | B. Yılmaz | 13 |
| 2 | B. Mechele | 12 | A. Güler | 12 |
| 3 | Y. Tielemans | 12 | İ. Yüksek | 11 |
| 4 | T. Castagne | 12 | S. Özcan | 8 |
| 5 | T. Meunier | 10 | Z. Çelik | 8 |
| # | Belgium | Shots | Turkey | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Bruyne | 31 | A. Güler | 28 |
| 2 | L. Trossard | 21 | H. Çalhanoğlu | 21 |
| 3 | Y. Tielemans | 18 | K. Yıldız | 18 |
| 4 | D. Lukébakio | 13 | B. Yılmaz | 14 |
| 5 | M. Cuyper | 12 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 11 |
| # | Belgium | Shots on target | Turkey | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Bruyne | 10 | A. Güler | 8 |
| 2 | C. Ketelaere | 8 | B. Yılmaz | 7 |
| 3 | L. Trossard | 6 | O. Kökçü | 4 |
| 4 | M. Cuyper | 6 | D. Gül | 3 |
| 5 | D. Lukébakio | 5 | K. Yıldız | 3 |
| # | Belgium | Goals | Turkey | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Lukaku | 4 | B. Yılmaz | 4 |
| 2 | C. Ketelaere | 4 | D. Gül | 2 |
| 3 | Y. Tielemans | 3 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 2 |
| 4 | L. Trossard | 3 | S. Özcan | 1 |
| 5 | K. Bruyne | 2 | F. Kadıoğlu | 1 |
| # | Belgium | Yellow cards | Turkey | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Bruyne | 2 | S. Özcan | 2 |
| 2 | R. Lukaku | 2 | K. Aktürkoğlu | 2 |
| 3 | D. Moreira | 2 | M. Demiral | 1 |
| 4 | B. Mechele | 1 | A. Bayındır | 1 |
| 5 | A. Witsel | 1 | D. Gül | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Belgium vs Turkey: Dodi Lukébakio 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.50); Charles De Ketelaere 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.40); Youri Tielemans 2+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.73); Kevin De Bruyne 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 5.89 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 34 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.5 | 9 of 54 |
| Shots | 15.5 | 15 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 18 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 36 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.5 | 26 of 54 |
| Passes | 413 | 37 of 54 |
| Corners | 5 | 16 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.5 | 42 of 54 |
| Goals against | 2.5 | 49 of 54 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 24 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 37 of 54 |
| Fouls | 13 | 26 of 54 |
| Tackles | 12 | 41 of 54 |
| Passes | 467.5 | 27 of 54 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 15 of 54 |