France host Belgium at Stade de France, Paris on 5 October 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. France's last five results: L L W W D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Belgium's last five: W L W L W (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 4 meetings, France have won 4, Belgium 0, with 0 draws.
France vs Belgium kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Monday 5 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Stade de France, Paris.
France vs Belgium is being played at Stade de France in Paris, the home ground of France.
France's last five results read L L W W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Belgium's last five results read W L W L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 4 meetings France have won 4, Belgium have won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Belgium 0-1 France on 28 September 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Kylian Mbappé leads France with 9 goals across their last 10 games.
Kevin De Bruyne leads Belgium with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
N. Walsh is the referee for France vs Belgium, averaging 25.5 fouls and 5.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for France and Belgium are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes France the favourite with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Belgium and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are France 2.1 - 1.0 Belgium.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a France win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Belgium vs France | 0-1 |
| 14 Oct 2024 | UEFA Nations League | Belgium vs France | 1-2 |
| 9 Sep 2024 | UEFA Nations League | France vs Belgium | 2-0 |
| 1 Jul 2024 | European Championship | France vs Belgium | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects France 2.1 - 1.0 Belgium in goals. It gives France a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Belgium 17%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 3-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | France win | 10% |
| 2-1 | France win | 10% |
| 1-0 | France win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 3-0 | France win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for France vs Belgium, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | France | Fouls committed | Belgium | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 12 | T. Castagne | 13 |
| 2 | M. Koné | 11 | N. Raskin | 13 |
| 3 | D. Upamecano | 9 | Y. Tielemans | 12 |
| 4 | L. Digne | 7 | B. Mechele | 11 |
| 5 | B. Barcola | 7 | T. Meunier | 10 |
| # | France | Shots | Belgium | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 39 | K. Bruyne | 34 |
| 2 | O. Dembélé | 26 | L. Trossard | 21 |
| 3 | M. Olise | 24 | Y. Tielemans | 17 |
| 4 | D. Doué | 21 | D. Lukébakio | 16 |
| 5 | A. Rabiot | 13 | M. Cuyper | 13 |
| # | France | Shots on target | Belgium | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 20 | K. Bruyne | 13 |
| 2 | O. Dembélé | 13 | C. Ketelaere | 9 |
| 3 | D. Doué | 11 | D. Lukébakio | 7 |
| 4 | M. Olise | 7 | M. Cuyper | 7 |
| 5 | B. Barcola | 5 | L. Trossard | 6 |
| # | France | Goals | Belgium | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 9 | R. Lukaku | 4 |
| 2 | O. Dembélé | 6 | C. Ketelaere | 4 |
| 3 | B. Barcola | 2 | K. Bruyne | 4 |
| 4 | M. Olise | 2 | L. Trossard | 3 |
| 5 | D. Doué | 1 | Y. Tielemans | 2 |
| # | France | Yellow cards | Belgium | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Koné | 2 | K. Bruyne | 3 |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 | R. Lukaku | 2 |
| 3 | M. Olise | 1 | Y. Tielemans | 2 |
| 4 | B. Barcola | 1 | D. Moreira | 2 |
| 5 | K. Mbappé | 1 | B. Mechele | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for France vs Belgium: Michael Olise 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.25); Youri Tielemans 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.40); Diego Moreira 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.29); Désiré Doué 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.29). Combined odds 2.91 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 32 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.3 | 2 of 54 |
| Shots | 16 | 14 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 6.3 | 9 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11 | 36 of 54 |
| Tackles | 17.3 | 9 of 54 |
| Passes | 685 | 1 of 54 |
| Corners | 5 | 14 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 22 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0.3 | 3 of 54 |
| Shots | 16 | 15 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 6.7 | 7 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 29 of 54 |
| Tackles | 15.7 | 19 of 54 |
| Passes | 449 | 33 of 54 |
| Corners | 4 | 31 of 54 |