São Paulo host Vasco at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo on 18 October 2026 at 01:00 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. São Paulo's last five results: D W L L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Vasco's last five: W W W D W (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 6 meetings, São Paulo have won 2, Vasco 3, with 1 draw.
São Paulo vs Vasco kicks off at 01:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo.
São Paulo vs Vasco is being played at Estádio Nicolau Alayon in São Paulo, the home ground of São Paulo.
São Paulo's last five results read D W L L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Vasco's last five results read W W W D W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 draw.
Across the last 6 meetings São Paulo have won 2, Vasco have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Vasco da Gama 2-1 São Paulo on 18 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Pablo Maia leads São Paulo with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Facundo Colidio leads Vasco with 12 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho is the referee for São Paulo vs Vasco.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for São Paulo and Vasco are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes São Paulo the favourite with a 42% chance of winning, against 29% for Vasco and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are São Paulo 1.5 - 1.2 Vasco.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 14%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo | 2-1 |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo | 0-2 |
| 13 Jun 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama | 1-3 |
| 17 Oct 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama | 3-0 |
| 23 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo | 4-1 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects São Paulo 1.5 - 1.2 Vasco in goals. It gives São Paulo a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Vasco 29%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%), 2-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-0 | São Paulo win | 9% |
| 2-1 | São Paulo win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-0 | São Paulo win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for São Paulo vs Vasco, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | São Paulo | Fouls committed | Vasco | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Maia | 16 | S. Sosa | 18 |
| 2 | J. Calleri | 13 | P. Henrique | 12 |
| 3 | Wendell | 11 | R. Renan | 10 |
| 4 | Djhordney | 11 | T. Tchê | 8 |
| 5 | M. Antônio | 10 | David | 8 |
| # | São Paulo | Shots | Vasco | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artur | 28 | F. Colidio | 32 |
| 2 | Luciano | 22 | T. Tchê | 14 |
| 3 | G. Santana | 14 | A. Gómez | 14 |
| 4 | P. Maia | 13 | T. Mendes | 13 |
| 5 | J. Calleri | 11 | David | 9 |
| # | São Paulo | Shots on target | Vasco | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artur | 9 | F. Colidio | 12 |
| 2 | G. Santana | 6 | T. Mendes | 6 |
| 3 | J. Calleri | 5 | T. Tchê | 5 |
| 4 | Luciano | 5 | A. Gómez | 5 |
| 5 | Iago | 4 | David | 4 |
| # | São Paulo | Goals | Vasco | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Calleri | 3 | F. Colidio | 3 |
| 2 | Luciano | 3 | David | 2 |
| 3 | Iago | 1 | A. Lescano | 2 |
| 4 | G. Santana | 1 | A. Gómez | 1 |
| 5 | P. Maia | 1 | B. Duarte | 1 |
| # | São Paulo | Yellow cards | Vasco | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luciano | 3 | A. Gómez | 3 |
| 2 | Djhordney | 2 | R. Renan | 3 |
| 3 | J. Calleri | 2 | Cuiabano | 2 |
| 4 | P. Maia | 2 | P. Henrique | 2 |
| 5 | A. Silva | 2 | T. Mendes | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 18 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.6 | 5 of 20 |
| Passes | 458.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 1 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.9 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.9 | 4 of 20 |
| Passes | 437 | 8 of 20 |
| Corners | 6 | 4 of 20 |