Atlético-MG host Coritiba at Arena MRV on 17 October 2026 at 22:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Atlético-MG's last five results: D W D W W (3 wins and 2 draws). Coritiba's last five: L D L L D (2 draws and 3 losses). In their last 5 meetings, Atlético-MG have won 2, Coritiba 2, with 1 draw.
Atlético-MG vs Coritiba kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena MRV.
Atlético-MG vs Coritiba is being played at Arena MRV, the home ground of Atlético-MG.
Atlético-MG's last five results read D W D W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
Coritiba's last five results read L D L L D (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
Across the last 5 meetings Atlético-MG have won 2, Coritiba have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Coritiba 2-0 Atlético Mineiro on 19 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Alan Franco leads Atlético-MG with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Pedro Rocha leads Coritiba with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda is the referee for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético-MG and Coritiba are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Atlético-MG the favourite with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Coritiba and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Atlético-MG 1.9 - 0.9 Coritiba.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 50% likely and over 2.5 goals 52%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Atlético Mineiro | 2-0 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba | 1-2 |
| 20 May 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Atlético Mineiro | 1-2 |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba vs Atlético Mineiro | 0-1 |
| 24 Apr 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Atlético-MG 1.9 - 0.9 Coritiba in goals. It gives Atlético-MG a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coritiba 16%. Both teams to score is 50% likely, over 1.5 goals 77% and over 2.5 goals 52%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-0 | Atlético-MG win | 11% |
| 1-0 | Atlético-MG win | 11% |
| 2-1 | Atlético-MG win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Atlético-MG | Fouls committed | Coritiba | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fred | 11 | T. Santos | 17 |
| 2 | A. Preciado | 9 | S. Gómez | 12 |
| 3 | M. Cissé | 9 | P. Rocha | 11 |
| 4 | Bernard | 7 | T. Cóser | 10 |
| 5 | V. Hugo | 7 | J. Lavega | 10 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots | Coritiba | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 17 | P. Rocha | 21 |
| 2 | Bernard | 14 | Josué | 13 |
| 3 | R. Lodi | 9 | J. Lavega | 13 |
| 4 | V. Hugo | 9 | T. Cóser | 8 |
| 5 | Reinier | 8 | S. Gómez | 7 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Shots on target | Coritiba | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Cuello | 7 | P. Rocha | 10 |
| 2 | Bernard | 5 | T. Cóser | 5 |
| 3 | Reinier | 4 | Josué | 3 |
| 4 | Natanael | 4 | P. Roberto | 3 |
| 5 | R. Lodi | 3 | R. Moledo | 3 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Goals | Coritiba | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bernard | 3 | P. Rocha | 4 |
| 2 | Reinier | 3 | T. Cóser | 3 |
| 3 | T. Cuello | 3 | R. Moledo | 2 |
| 4 | V. Hugo | 2 | Fabinho | 1 |
| 5 | T. Borbas | 2 | P. Roberto | 1 |
| # | Atlético-MG | Yellow cards | Coritiba | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Franco | 3 | T. Santos | 4 |
| 2 | K. Castaño | 2 | T. Cóser | 3 |
| 3 | T. Cuello | 2 | B. Melo | 2 |
| 4 | A. Preciado | 2 | J. Chermont | 2 |
| 5 | M. Cissé | 2 | F. Bustos | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba: Joaquín Lavega 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Fabricio Bustos 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.80); Josué 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 1.66 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 18 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.7 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 433.8 | 9 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 12 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 17 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.3 | 18 of 20 |
| Passes | 326.2 | 20 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 20 of 20 |