Grêmio host Cruzeiro at Arena do Grêmio, Rio on 18 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Grêmio's last five results: L L D D D (3 draws and 2 losses). Cruzeiro's last five: W L W W L (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Grêmio have won 1, Cruzeiro 4, with 1 draw.
Grêmio vs Cruzeiro kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena do Grêmio, Rio.
Grêmio vs Cruzeiro is being played at Arena do Grêmio in Rio, the home ground of Grêmio.
Grêmio's last five results read L L D D D (oldest to newest): 3 draws and 2 losses.
Cruzeiro's last five results read W L W W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Grêmio have won 1, Cruzeiro have won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Cruzeiro 2-0 Grêmio on 19 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Erick Noriega leads Grêmio with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Matheus Pereira leads Cruzeiro with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
João Vitor Gobi is the referee for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Grêmio and Cruzeiro are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Cruzeiro the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 28% for Grêmio and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Grêmio 1.2 - 1.6 Cruzeiro.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 57% likely and over 2.5 goals 53%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Grêmio | 2-0 |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Cruzeiro | 0-1 |
| 13 Jul 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Grêmio | 4-1 |
| 28 Nov 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro vs Grêmio | 1-1 |
| 10 Jul 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Cruzeiro | 0-2 |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Grêmio 1.2 - 1.6 Cruzeiro in goals. It gives Grêmio a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cruzeiro 45%. Both teams to score is 57% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 53%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 0-2 (8%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-2 | Cruzeiro win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Cruzeiro win | 8% |
| 0-2 | Cruzeiro win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Grêmio | Fouls committed | Cruzeiro | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Noriega | 16 | G. Rojas | 12 |
| 2 | Wallace | 16 | F. Morais | 12 |
| 3 | M. Villasanti | 13 | Gerson | 11 |
| 4 | D. Caito | 11 | M. Pereira | 10 |
| 5 | P. Gabriel | 8 | William | 10 |
| # | Grêmio | Shots | Cruzeiro | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Krovinovic | 13 | M. Pereira | 30 |
| 2 | C. Pavón | 11 | K. Arroyo | 26 |
| 3 | D. Caito | 11 | K. Jorge | 19 |
| 4 | C. Vinícius | 10 | F. Morais | 17 |
| 5 | Tetê | 9 | Gerson | 9 |
| # | Grêmio | Shots on target | Cruzeiro | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Pavón | 5 | M. Pereira | 12 |
| 2 | G. Martins | 5 | K. Jorge | 9 |
| 3 | C. Vinícius | 4 | K. Arroyo | 7 |
| 4 | D. Caito | 4 | F. Morais | 7 |
| 5 | Tetê | 3 | J. Costa | 4 |
| # | Grêmio | Goals | Cruzeiro | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Martins | 3 | M. Pereira | 5 |
| 2 | Wallace | 2 | K. Jorge | 3 |
| 3 | C. Pavón | 2 | Z. Lucas | 2 |
| 4 | W. Kannemann | 1 | K. Arroyo | 2 |
| 5 | M. Villasanti | 1 | M. Henrique | 1 |
| # | Grêmio | Yellow cards | Cruzeiro | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Gabriel | 4 | F. Morais | 3 |
| 2 | W. Kannemann | 3 | F. Bruno | 3 |
| 3 | M. Villasanti | 3 | J. Marcelo | 3 |
| 4 | C. Pavón | 3 | G. Rojas | 2 |
| 5 | E. Noriega | 3 | Gerson | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro: Gustavo Martins 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.36); Diego Caito 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.30); Walter Kannemann 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.33); Jonathan Jesus 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 2.82 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 13 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.5 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 18 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.1 | 15 of 20 |
| Passes | 425 | 12 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 18 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 5 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 5 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 3 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.3 | 9 of 20 |
| Passes | 454.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 9 of 20 |