Bahia host Flamengo at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador on 18 October 2026 at 22:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Bahia's last five results: W W L L W (3 wins and 2 losses). Flamengo's last five: D W D W D (2 wins and 3 draws). In their last 6 meetings, Bahia have won 1, Flamengo 5, with 0 draws.
Bahia vs Flamengo kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.
Bahia vs Flamengo is being played at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador, the home ground of Bahia.
Bahia's last five results read W W L L W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Flamengo's last five results read D W D W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 draws.
Across the last 6 meetings Bahia have won 1, Flamengo have won 5 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Flamengo 2-0 Bahia on 19 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Nicolás Acevedo leads Bahia with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Pedro leads Flamengo with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Wilton Pereira Sampaio is the referee for Bahia vs Flamengo, averaging 22.8 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bahia and Flamengo are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Flamengo the favourite with a 41% chance of winning, against 31% for Bahia and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Bahia 1.3 - 1.5 Flamengo.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Bahia | 2-0 |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Flamengo | 1-0 |
| 11 May 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Bahia | 1-0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Flamengo | 0-2 |
| 20 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Bahia | 2-1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Bahia | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Bahia 1.3 - 1.5 Flamengo in goals. It gives Bahia a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Flamengo 41%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-2 | Flamengo win | 9% |
| 0-1 | Flamengo win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Bahia win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bahia vs Flamengo, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bahia | Fouls committed | Flamengo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Acevedo | 16 | L. Paquetá | 12 |
| 2 | R. Nestor | 14 | E. Pulgar | 11 |
| 3 | A. Veliz | 12 | A. Sandro | 9 |
| 4 | R. Gómez | 12 | A. Lucas | 8 |
| 5 | J. Lucas | 11 | Pedro | 7 |
| # | Bahia | Shots | Flamengo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Veliz | 29 | S. Lino | 30 |
| 2 | R. Nestor | 21 | Pedro | 23 |
| 3 | E. Pulga | 19 | L. Paquetá | 22 |
| 4 | C. Olivera | 11 | J. Carrascal | 18 |
| 5 | L. Juba | 9 | G. Arrascaeta | 17 |
| # | Bahia | Shots on target | Flamengo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulga | 8 | Pedro | 12 |
| 2 | A. Veliz | 6 | S. Lino | 11 |
| 3 | R. Nestor | 5 | J. Carrascal | 10 |
| 4 | L. Juba | 5 | L. Paquetá | 9 |
| 5 | C. Olivera | 5 | G. Arrascaeta | 3 |
| # | Bahia | Goals | Flamengo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Juba | 3 | J. Carrascal | 4 |
| 2 | E. Pulga | 3 | Pedro | 4 |
| 3 | A. Veliz | 3 | S. Lino | 4 |
| 4 | J. Lucas | 2 | L. Paquetá | 3 |
| 5 | Erick | 2 | B. Henrique | 2 |
| # | Bahia | Yellow cards | Flamengo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Lucas | 3 | B. Henrique | 3 |
| 2 | N. Acevedo | 3 | E. Pulgar | 2 |
| 3 | E. Pulga | 3 | L. Paquetá | 2 |
| 4 | C. Olivera | 2 | Jorginho | 2 |
| 5 | K. Silva | 1 | S. ÑÃguez | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bahia vs Flamengo: Alex Sandro 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20); Marcos Victor 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.30); Rodrigo Nestor 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.22); Alejo Veliz 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.50). Combined odds 2.85 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 7 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 445 | 6 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.3 | 4 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12 | 17 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.2 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 555.9 | 1 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 11 of 20 |