Updated 2 November 2026.
Flamengo host Grêmio at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro on 4 November 2026 at 22:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Flamengo's last five results: D W D W W (3 wins and 2 draws). Grêmio's last five: D D L W W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Flamengo have won 3, Grêmio 2, with 1 draw.
Flamengo vs Grêmio kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Wednesday 4 November 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro. Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho holds 78,838 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 22:30.
Flamengo vs Grêmio is being played at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Rio de Janeiro on Wednesday 4 November 2026, the home ground of Flamengo, which holds 78,838 people. Kick-off is at 22:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Flamengo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5, with results reading D W W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 4-1 win away to Vasco in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 29 October.
Grêmio have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6, with results reading D D L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win at home to Athletico PR in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 30 October.
Across the last 6 meetings Flamengo have won 3, Grêmio have won 2 and 1 was drawn, with Flamengo scoring 10 goals to Grêmio's 8. The most recent was Grêmio 0-1 Flamengo on 10 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Samuel Lino leads Flamengo with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Flamengo player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Flamengo player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Erick Noriega leads Grêmio with 21 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 2.1 a game, the most of any Grêmio player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Grêmio player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli is the referee for Flamengo vs Grêmio in the Campeonato Brasileiro on Wednesday 4 November 2026. Their record this season appears on the referee card once they have taken charge of a game.
Statz predicts Flamengo vs Grêmio with 11 starters a side: Flamengo line up 4-2-3-1 and Grêmio 3-4-3, ahead of the 22:30 UK time kick-off on Wednesday 4 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Flamengo the favourite with a 79% chance of winning, against 6% for Grêmio and 15% for the draw. Projected goals are Flamengo 2.6 - 0.6 Grêmio.
The most likely score in Flamengo vs Grêmio is 2-0, a Flamengo win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 45% likely and over 2.5 goals 64%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Flamengo vs Grêmio, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Flamengo | 0-1 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Grêmio | 1-1 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Flamengo | 0-2 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Flamengo | 3-2 |
| 13 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo vs Grêmio | 2-1 |
| 26 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio vs Flamengo | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Flamengo 2.6 - 0.6 Grêmio in goals. It gives Flamengo a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Grêmio 6%. Both teams to score is 45% likely, over 1.5 goals 85% and over 2.5 goals 64%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Flamengo win | 13% |
| 3-0 | Flamengo win | 12% |
| 1-0 | Flamengo win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Flamengo win | 8% |
| 4-0 | Flamengo win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Flamengo vs Grêmio, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Flamengo | Fouls committed | Grêmio | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulgar | 14 | E. Noriega | 21 |
| 2 | E. Royal | 11 | M. Villasanti | 16 |
| 3 | L. Paquetá | 11 | Wallace | 15 |
| 4 | J. Carrascal | 9 | W. Kannemann | 10 |
| 5 | A. Sandro | 9 | C. Vinícius | 9 |
| # | Flamengo | Shots | Grêmio | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lino | 31 | C. Vinícius | 17 |
| 2 | Pedro | 25 | C. Pavón | 14 |
| 3 | G. Arrascaeta | 22 | F. Amuzu | 13 |
| 4 | L. Paquetá | 22 | F. Krovinovic | 12 |
| 5 | J. Carrascal | 16 | J. Enamorado | 11 |
| # | Flamengo | Shots on target | Grêmio | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lino | 14 | C. Pavón | 8 |
| 2 | Pedro | 13 | G. Martins | 5 |
| 3 | J. Carrascal | 11 | C. Vinícius | 5 |
| 4 | L. Paquetá | 9 | D. Caito | 4 |
| 5 | G. Plata | 6 | F. Amuzu | 4 |
| # | Flamengo | Goals | Grêmio | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lino | 5 | G. Martins | 3 |
| 2 | J. Carrascal | 4 | C. Pavón | 2 |
| 3 | L. Paquetá | 4 | F. Balbuena | 1 |
| 4 | Pedro | 3 | Marlon | 1 |
| 5 | G. Plata | 2 | M. Braithwaite | 1 |
| # | Flamengo | Yellow cards | Grêmio | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulgar | 3 | E. Noriega | 3 |
| 2 | S. Lino | 2 | P. Gabriel | 3 |
| 3 | L. Pereira | 2 | W. Kannemann | 2 |
| 4 | J. Carrascal | 2 | G. Martins | 2 |
| 5 | L. Paquetá | 2 | C. Pavón | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Flamengo vs Grêmio: Francis Amuzu 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Ayrton Lucas 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.18); João Pedro 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.40); Erick Noriega 2+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.67). Combined odds 3.37 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 1 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 18 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 561.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.1 | 18 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 18 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 8 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.8 | 16 of 20 |
| Passes | 416.4 | 12 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 17 of 20 |