Minnesota host St. Louis at Allianz Field, Saint Paul on 17 October 2026 at 21:30 in the Major League Soccer. Minnesota's last five results: L L L D D (2 draws and 3 losses). St. Louis's last five: W W W W D (4 wins and 1 draw). In their last 6 meetings, Minnesota have won 4, St. Louis 2, with 0 draws.
Minnesota vs St. Louis kicks off at 21:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Major League Soccer, at Allianz Field, Saint Paul.
Minnesota vs St. Louis is being played at Allianz Field in Saint Paul, the home ground of Minnesota.
Minnesota's last five results read L L L D D (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
St. Louis's last five results read W W W W D (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 draw.
Across the last 6 meetings Minnesota have won 4, St. Louis have won 2 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was St. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United on 13 September 2026 in the Major League Soccer.
Kelvin Yeboah leads Minnesota with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Rafael Navarro leads St. Louis with 7 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Minnesota and St. Louis are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Minnesota the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 38% for St. Louis and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Minnesota 1.7 - 1.7 St. Louis.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 10%. Both teams to score is 69% likely and over 2.5 goals 67%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Major League Soccer | St. Louis City vs Minnesota United | 4-2 |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Major League Soccer | St. Louis City vs Minnesota United | 1-2 |
| 18 May 2025 | Major League Soccer | Minnesota United vs St. Louis City | 3-0 |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Major League Soccer | Minnesota United vs St. Louis City | 4-1 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Major League Soccer | St. Louis City vs Minnesota United | 1-3 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Major League Soccer | Minnesota United vs St. Louis City | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Minnesota 1.7 - 1.7 St. Louis in goals. It gives Minnesota a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Louis 38%. Both teams to score is 69% likely, over 1.5 goals 87% and over 2.5 goals 67%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 0-2 (5%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | St. Louis win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Minnesota win | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 0-2 | St. Louis win | 5% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Minnesota vs St. Louis, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Minnesota | Fouls committed | St. Louis | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Gene | 19 | C. Wallem | 20 |
| 2 | M. Boxall | 12 | S. Becher | 13 |
| 3 | J. DÃaz | 12 | J. Orozco | 13 |
| 4 | A. Jr. | 11 | R. Navarro | 13 |
| 5 | K. Duncan | 9 | F. Fall | 12 |
| # | Minnesota | Shots | St. Louis | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Yeboah | 30 | C. Holse | 22 |
| 2 | A. Jr. | 23 | R. Navarro | 16 |
| 3 | M. Caldeira | 17 | S. Becher | 15 |
| 4 | T. Chancalay | 12 | S. Jeong | 9 |
| 5 | J. Pereyra | 12 | D. Polvara | 8 |
| # | Minnesota | Shots on target | St. Louis | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Yeboah | 16 | S. Becher | 12 |
| 2 | M. Caldeira | 10 | C. Holse | 12 |
| 3 | A. Jr. | 9 | R. Navarro | 10 |
| 4 | J. Pereyra | 4 | S. Jeong | 4 |
| 5 | J. DÃaz | 3 | D. Polvara | 3 |
| # | Minnesota | Goals | St. Louis | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Yeboah | 8 | R. Navarro | 7 |
| 2 | M. Caldeira | 6 | C. Holse | 6 |
| 3 | A. Jr. | 4 | S. Becher | 5 |
| 4 | T. Chancalay | 2 | D. Edelman | 2 |
| 5 | M. Gonzalez | 1 | T. Totland | 2 |
| # | Minnesota | Yellow cards | St. Louis | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Boxall | 4 | C. Wallem | 4 |
| 2 | O. Gene | 4 | C. Durkin | 3 |
| 3 | J. DÃaz | 2 | F. Fall | 3 |
| 4 | T. Chancalay | 1 | T. Totland | 2 |
| 5 | J. Pereyra | 1 | A. Mățan | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Minnesota vs St. Louis: Carlo Holse 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.57); Rafael Navarro 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.36); Wil Trapp 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33); Marcus Caldeira 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20). Combined odds 3.41 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 17 of 30 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 21 of 30 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 12 of 30 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 18 of 30 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11 of 30 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 9 of 30 |
| Passes | 430.3 | 24 of 30 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 11 of 30 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 7 of 30 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 6 of 30 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 11 of 30 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 12 of 30 |
| Fouls | 14 | 4 of 30 |
| Tackles | 16 | 7 of 30 |
| Passes | 486.8 | 10 of 30 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 9 of 30 |