Wyndham Championship 2026 Power Rankings - Top 10 Contenders at Sedgefield

The PGA Tour's regular season ends at the Wyndham Championship, four rounds over Donald Ross's Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro from 6 to 9 August for an $8,500,000 purse: 161 players, a par-70 of 7,131 yards, Bermuda tee to green, historic winning score 20 under. These are our Power Rankings, deliberately not the projections model's order. The model is the paid product; this list uses only public Statz surfaces, so the two come out differently by design.

The Statz Power Index blends four inputs: the Statz Rankings index for the field, a venue skill match that multiplies Sedgefield's course demand profile by each player's last-24-round strokes-gained splits, raw last-24-round SG total, and venue pedigree from the last two editions here. The demand profile is lopsided: approach play accounts for 40% of what separates this field and putting another 33%, with driving at 18% and the short game 9%. Top-10 finishers here average +1.08 strokes gained on approach and +0.88 putting. Iron play first, flat stick second. Countdown from ten.

10. Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Christiaan Bezuidenhout is the Index's structural fit. Over his last 24 rounds he gains +0.80 on approach, 11th on the entire PGA Tour and the most valuable skill on this card, plus +0.25 putting. He is losing strokes off the tee (-0.30, 202nd), fatal at most venues, but driving is the least-weighted skill here. He was 22nd at Sedgefield in 2024 at 10 under, and his summer reads 20th at the 3M Open and 12th at the John Deere. A profile this course forgives.

9. Davis Thompson

Davis Thompson is the most reliable Sedgefield finisher outside the winners: 11th here last year at 12 under and 12th in 2024, the only man in this ten with a top-15 in both recent editions. The numbers back it up: +1.00 SG total over his last 24 rounds (28th on Tour), +0.51 on approach (38th), 11th in this field on last-16-round form at +1.52 a round. He arrives off 8th at the Rocket Classic and 7th at the 3M Open. No hole in it.

8. Mac Meissner

Mac Meissner is here on pedigree, and we will say so plainly. He was runner-up here last year at 16 under and 12th in 2024, the strongest two-year venue record of anyone bar the champions. The ball-striking does not match: his last-24 SG total is +0.40 (78th) and his approach number is negative (-0.07, 152nd), the weakest venue skill match in this ten. The counterweights are a 6th at the John Deere and a putter gaining +0.32 a round.

7. Ryan Gerard

Ryan Gerard owns the second-best putter on the PGA Tour over the last 24 rounds at +1.11, at a venue that hands a third of the separation to the greens. He is seventh in this field on both the Statz Rankings and last-16-round form (+1.70), with a season that reads runner-up at the Memorial, 9th at The Open and 8th at the Rocket Classic. The gap is the one Sedgefield asks about first, his approach play at +0.28 (78th), and he missed the cut here in 2025.

6. Blades Brown

Blades Brown is the hottest player in the field on public data. He leads all 161 entrants on last-16-round form at +2.05 a round, is fifth on the entire PGA Tour in last-24 SG total at +1.75, and his approach play is second on Tour at +0.98, exactly what this course demands. His card reads 11th at Corales, 12th at the John Deere and 9th at Myrtle Beach. He did not feature in either of the last two editions here, so pedigree scores him zero; on the other three inputs he would be top three.

5. Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki Matsuyama arrives in the best form of anyone near the top of this list: 5th at the Rocket Classic at 13 under, 3rd at the 3M Open at 20 under, 14th at The Open. He is 19th in the Statz World Rankings, fourth in this field, gains +1.49 strokes a round over his last 24 (11th on Tour) and is third on Tour around the greens at +0.70. Sedgefield tempers him only slightly: his approach number (+0.30, 75th) is modest by his standards, and 19th here last year is his recent venue record in full.

4. Ben Griffin

Ben Griffin is 18th in the Statz World Rankings, third in this field, and holds the ninth-best putter on Tour over his last 24 rounds at +0.74. With 7th in 2024 and 11th in 2025 banked here, that is what the Index looks for. The caveat is the iron play: +0.03 on approach (129th) is thin where the venue leans hardest, and his last start was a missed cut at the Rocket Classic, after 10th at the Travelers and 3rd at the Charles Schwab.

3. Aaron Rai

Aaron Rai is the widest gap between this list and the model, and it is all about Sedgefield. He won here in 2024 at 18 under and finished 5th last year at 14 under, the only man in the field with a win and a top-five in the last two editions, and he won the PGA Championship in May at 9 under. His approach game (+0.62, 24th on Tour) suits the examination. The warning light is recent: missed cuts at The Open and the Scottish are the last two lines on his card, and he is 20th in this field on last-16 form.

2. Cameron Young

Cameron Young is the defending champion, and his 22 under is the lowest winning score in the four editions we have analysed. He tops the field on the Statz Rankings, fifth in the world by our index, and arrives off runner-up at The Open. So why not first? His venue skill match is the weakest in this top five: he is losing strokes on the greens over his last 24 rounds (-0.09, 157th) and his approach number is mid-pack (+0.34, 66th), an awkward pairing where those two skills are 73% of the separation. His driving (+0.63, 14th on Tour) is his best club the week the course cares about it least.

1. Jackson Koivun

Jackson Koivun is the Power Index's number one and it is not close. He is second on the entire PGA Tour in last-24 SG total at +2.30 a round, fourth on approach at +0.97 - the skill this venue demands most - and 17th off the tee at +0.60, with the putter positive at +0.54. He is ninth in the Statz World Rankings and second in this field. He won the 3M Open two starts ago at 25 under and already has Sedgefield in the bank: 5th here in 2025 at 14 under. Best skill match, second-best raw form, real venue pedigree: no one else scores on all four inputs at once.

The name that's missing

One player the Power Index leaves outside its top ten while the model treats him as a headline contender: Justin Thomas. He is no outsider on public data, 25th in the Statz World Rankings and fifth in this field, gaining +1.39 a round over his last 24 (13th on Tour) with the second-best short game on Tour at +0.72. Two things drop him to 17th: his approach play is negative over that window (-0.08, 153rd) at a course putting 40% of its weight there, and he did not feature in either of the last two Wyndhams, so pedigree scores zero.

The model reads him very differently, and that disagreement shapes our Wyndham Championship betting preview and its four bigger-priced each-way selections. When the public numbers and the model pull apart this openly, the gap is the story. Win, top-five, top-ten and make-cut probabilities for the field are on the Golf Projections pages, and the week's movers are on Trending.