Cricket Player Props

The share of our simulated innings in which he clears the line. The model plays the match out from both sides batting first and blends the two until the toss is known. Runs are kept in 5-run bins, so a line like 40.5 takes the bins above it whole and a tenth of the 40-44 bin.

For an over/under, each book's over price is set against its under price to take the margin out, and the books at the main line are averaged. For a top batter or bowler, each price is set against the book's whole field for that side. Midnite prices its ladders one way only, so those keep the margin in and are marked with an asterisk.

Top batter and top bowler: our model simulates each player on his own, so it can't yet say how often one outscores all his team-mates. That needs the whole XI simulated together. A match more than three days away: our projections run three days ahead, so until then the sheet carries prices and hit rates only.

His last five and ten innings in the match's format against the line on show: innings he batted for runs, fours and sixes, innings he bowled for wickets, matches he played for the top batter and bowler.

Player prices come from Coral, Ladbrokes, BoyleSports and Midnite; bet365 adds the top team batter and bowler. The sheet shows the best price each side and names the book; the odds grid shows every book's.