Cricket Projections
Australia vs England Match Simulator
One Day Internationals, Perth Stadium. Friday 13 November 2026, 03:30 GMT.
Australia play England in the One Day Internationals at Perth Stadium, Perth, Western Australia on Friday 13 November 2026. The simulator plays the match out ball by ball 6,000 times from our projection model, once with each side batting first, and shows who wins, the par score, the winning margins and the chance of every runs line. First innings at Perth Stadium have averaged 184.
Australia vs England, played 6,000 times
Ball by ball, with each side batting first.
This match's simulation is Cricket Pro
- Who wins with each side batting first, and the par score
- Winning margins in runs and wickets
- The chance of every runs line: the match, each side, the powerplay and the opening stand
Who wins
What wins it
| First innings | |
|---|---|
The chasing side's chance from every first-innings score, and the par score that wins half the time.
The simulation for this match is not ready yet. It runs with the next projection, twice a day.
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Drawing 6,000 results from the simulation. The model's figures: 6,000 ball-by-ball simulations of the match with each side batting first, weighed with the sides' head to head, the ground's record and the market. This run's own count, drawn from the simulation: run it again and the luck changes.
Runs lines
Pick a market and a line: the chance it goes over or under, from the simulation.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
Result and winning margin
How each side wins, and by how much.
Match Simulator FAQs
How does the match simulator work?
Each time our projections run, the model plays Australia vs England out ball by ball 6,000 times, once with each side batting first. Every ball is drawn from what has happened in that phase of the innings, with that many wickets down, against pace or spin, at that ground and in that competition, then tilted by the strength of the batting side against the bowling side. Each simulated innings ends when the overs run out, the tenth wicket falls or the chase is done.
Why does the toss matter?
Batting first and chasing are different games, so the simulator plays both. Before the toss the page weighs the two equally, and the switch lets you play either one. Once the toss is made it plays the match as it will be: the side that won the toss batting or bowling as it chose.
What is the par score?
The first-innings score the chasing side wins from exactly half the time, read off the simulation. Post more than par and the side batting first is the favourite; post less and the chase is.
Why does the replay finish on the model figures?
The replay draws 6,000 results in your browser from the simulation, so its count lands within a point or so of the model and then shows the model's figures. Run it again and the luck changes; the model does not. The model's win chances also take in the sides' head to head, the ground's record batting first and the market price, so the margins and the par score are scaled to agree with them.
Which matches can I simulate?
Every upcoming T20 match we project, franchise leagues and T20 internationals, and ODIs and The Hundred while their projections are live. Test and first-class matches are not on it: four innings and the draw need a different model.
Is the match simulator free?
One upcoming match is open to everyone, the next one to start. Every other match's simulation is part of Cricket Pro.
How accurate is the Australia vs England simulation?
The simulation is exact for the model's inputs and only as good as them: recent form, the ground, the sides' strength and the expected XIs. A changed XI, a rain-shortened match or a pitch that plays unlike the ground's history can move the real chances by several points, so treat it as a strong baseline rather than a certainty.