Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants Prediction, Projections & Final Preview

Trent Rockets face Manchester Super Giants in the Final of The Hundred on Sunday 16 August at 17:00 BST. This is the showpiece match of English cricket’s shortest format – the winner lifts the trophy, the loser goes home empty-handed.

Trent Rockets topped the group stage with 6 wins from 8 matches (24 points, NRR +0.888), while Manchester Super Giants finished second with 5 wins from 8 (20 points, NRR +1.127). The two sides have met once already this season on 31 July, when Rockets won by 3 runs – Rockets 140/4 (87 balls), Super Giants 137/3 (100 balls). For full head-to-head records, projections and live squad updates, check the Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants fixture page on Statz.

The Final: Stakes and Story

This is knockout cricket at its most intense. One match decides everything. Trent Rockets arrive as group stage favourites, having won six of their eight matches and built genuine momentum – they have won three of their last four games. Manchester Super Giants, despite their superior net run rate, finished second and must overturn that deficit in a single match to claim their first Hundred title.

The Rockets’ consistency has been their hallmark. They have beaten everyone in the group stage except Southern Brave (10 Aug) and one other opponent. Super Giants, by contrast, have shown explosive potential – their NRR of +1.127 is the best in the competition – but inconsistency has cost them. They lost to MI London on 2 August and have had to chase their way back into contention.

Statz Projections and Win Probability

The Statz projections rate this as a genuine coin-flip, with Rockets holding a marginal edge.

If Trent Rockets bat first: Projected first-innings total of 142.8, match total of 273.9. Win probability – Rockets 51.4%, Super Giants 42.1%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 121 to 165.

If Manchester Super Giants bat first: Projected first-innings total of 138.3, match total of 269.7. Win probability – Rockets 52.0%, Super Giants 41.5%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 114 to 162.

Both projected match totals sit around 271, suggesting a tight, low-scoring final. The first-innings projections of 138-143 indicate the ball will be in the bowlers’ hands – expect early wickets and careful batting. Match total P10-P90 range: 249 to 295.

Head-to-Head Record

Trent Rockets hold a commanding 6-1 record against Manchester Super Giants across seven meetings. The Rockets have won their last three encounters, including the group stage clash on 31 July. Super Giants’ sole victory came earlier in the season, but they have struggled to replicate that success. The data suggests Rockets have the psychological edge heading into this decider.

Form and Table Position

Trent Rockets – 1st (P8 W6 L2, 24 pts, NRR +0.888)

Rockets have been the most consistent side in the competition. Their recent form shows:

• 10 Aug vs SB (A): L – TR 158/5, SB 159/4
• 08 Aug vs MIL (H): W – TR 148/4, MIL 147/7
• 05 Aug vs BP (H): W – TR 116/3, BP 111/6
• 02 Aug vs SL (H): W – TR 146/4, SL 141/4
• 31 Jul vs MSG (A): W – TR 140/4, MSG 137/3

Three wins from their last four matches, with the sole loss coming to Southern Brave in a tight encounter. Rockets have shown they can chase, defend, and adapt – the hallmarks of a championship side.

Manchester Super Giants – 2nd (P8 W5 L3, 20 pts, NRR +1.127)

Super Giants have been explosive but inconsistent. Their recent form reads:

• 14 Aug vs SL (A): W – MSG 186/4, SL 166/7
• 11 Aug vs SL (A): W – MSG 128/0 (67 balls), SL 127/10
• 08 Aug vs SB (H): W – MSG 149/8, SB 139/6
• 05 Aug vs WF (A): W – MSG 161/1 (69 balls), WF 155/4
• 02 Aug vs MIL (H): L – MSG 138/10, MIL 183/6

Four wins from their last five, with a dominant performance against Sunrisers Leeds on 11 August (chasing down 128 in just 67 balls). When Super Giants click, they are devastating – but they have also been vulnerable to quality bowling attacks.

Key Players

Ben Duckett (Trent Rockets)

The Rockets’ leading run-scorer with 305 runs at an average of 38.13 from 8 matches. Duckett has been the anchor of the Rockets’ innings, with a high score of 75. His last three scores of 22, 27 and 17 show consistent accumulation. The Statz projections have him at 28.3 runs when Rockets bat first – a genuine match-winner who sets the tone for the entire innings.

Jos Buttler (Manchester Super Giants)

Super Giants’ captain and one of the most dangerous batsmen in world cricket. Buttler has 311 runs at 34.56 from 9 matches with a high score of 90. He has hit 7 sixes this season and carries the explosive power to change a match in minutes. His 20+ run hit rate stands at 55.6% for the season – a player who can take the game away from any bowling attack.

Josh Tongue (Manchester Super Giants)

The competition’s second-highest wicket-taker with 13 wickets from 9 matches at an average of 1.44 per game. Tongue has taken 1+ wicket in 88.9% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 33.3% – a bowler who consistently finds ways to break partnerships. His last three matches have yielded 1, 1 and 4 wickets. In a low-scoring final, Tongue’s ability to strike early could prove decisive.

Craig Overton (Trent Rockets)

Rockets’ leading wicket-taker with 8 wickets from 8 matches. Overton has taken 1+ wicket in 62.5% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 25% – a reliable death bowler who has been crucial to Rockets’ success. The Statz projections have him at 1.35 wickets when Super Giants bat first, making him a genuine match-winner with the ball.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Craig Overton (TR) – Projected 59.3 points when Rockets bat first. The leading wicket-taker for Rockets with consistent returns and projected 1.35 wickets plus lower-order runs. A dual-threat all-rounder in a final where bowling could dominate.

Vice Captain: Ben Duckett (TR) – Projected 44.6 points when Rockets bat first. The Rockets’ leading run-scorer with 305 runs at 38.13. Duckett’s consistency and strike rate of 136.7 make him the safest batting option in this final.

Also consider:

• Josh Tongue (MSG) – Projected 58.4 points when Rockets bat first – 13 wickets this season, 88.9% hit rate for 1+ wicket
• Jos Buttler (MSG) – Projected 41.5 points when Rockets bat first – 311 runs, captain’s experience, explosive power
• Finn Allen (TR) – Projected 39.9 points when Rockets bat first – 202 runs at 25.25, strike rate 154.2

Predicted XIs

Trent Rockets (based on most recent XI)

1. Ben Duckett
2. Finn Allen
3. Aneurin Donald
4. Sam Billings (c, wk)
5. Tim David
6. Mitchell Santner
7. Lewis Gregory
8. Craig Overton
9. Calvin Harrison
10. Matt Henry
11. Ben Sanderson

Manchester Super Giants (based on most recent XI)

1. Tim Seifert
2. Paul Walter
3. Jos Buttler (c, wk)
4. Heinrich Klaasen
5. Michael Bracewell
6. Leus du Plooy
7. Liam Dawson
8. Gus Atkinson
9. Noor Ahmad
10. Josh Tongue
11. Sonny Baker

These lineups are based on the most recent matches for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this final:

• Ben Duckett 20+ runs – 75% season hit rate, 60% in his last 5. The Rockets’ leading run-scorer and most reliable batting option in a final.
• Josh Tongue 1+ wicket – 88.9% season hit rate. The competition’s second-highest wicket-taker has taken a wicket in nearly 9 of every 10 matches.
• Paul Walter 20+ runs – 100% season hit rate from 4 matches. An explosive all-rounder who has scored 20+ in every single match he has played.
• Craig Overton 1+ wicket – 62.5% season hit rate. Rockets’ leading wicket-taker with consistent returns in the death overs.

Who will win Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants?

Trent Rockets are the pick at 51.7% win probability, with Manchester Super Giants at 41.8%. This is a coin-flip final, but Rockets’ consistency throughout the group stage, superior head-to-head record (6-1), and home advantage in the group stage give them the marginal edge.

Super Giants have the firepower to win – their net run rate is the best in the competition and they have shown they can chase down any target. But Rockets have been the most balanced side all season. Their bowling attack, led by Craig Overton and supported by Matt Henry and Calvin Harrison, has been tight. Their batting, anchored by Ben Duckett and Finn Allen, has been reliable. In a final where margins are razor-thin, that consistency matters.

The Statz projections suggest a low-scoring match – around 271 total. In such contests, the team with the better bowling attack and fewer weaknesses wins. That is Trent Rockets.

Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants?

A: Trent Rockets are favoured at 51.7% win probability according to Statz projections, with Manchester Super Giants at 41.8%. Rockets have won 6 of 7 head-to-head meetings and topped the group stage. However, this is a final – nothing is guaranteed and Super Giants have the firepower to upset.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz projections suggest a match total of around 271-274 runs. This is a low-scoring final where the ball will be in the bowlers’ hands. First-innings totals are projected at 138-143, indicating early wickets and careful batting.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a genuine 50-50 proposition in this final. Both sides have shown they can bat first and chase. Rockets may prefer to bowl first given their bowling strength, but Super Giants’ explosive batting could favour chasing. The toss call will be crucial.

Q: Is Trent Rockets a good bet?

A: At 51.7% win probability, Rockets offer fair value as group stage winners with superior consistency and head-to-head record. However, the margin is tight and Super Giants’ explosive potential means this is a genuine coin-flip final. Bet with caution and consider the odds carefully.