Trent Rockets vs London Spirit Preview – The Hundred 2026 | Statz

Trent Rockets take on London Spirit in the 8th match of The Hundred 2026 on Saturday, 26 July at 17:00 BST. Both sides are searching for their first win after opening-match defeats, making this a pivotal early-season clash.

Both Trent Rockets and London Spirit sit at the foot of the table on zero points after losing their opening fixtures. Rockets fell to Birmingham Phoenix by 10 runs (TR 204/7, BP 214/4), while Spirit went down to Manchester Super Giants by seven runs (LS 131/6, MSG 138/9). With eight teams competing for four knockout spots, an early win is essential. For full head-to-head records, live projections and squad updates, visit the Trent Rockets vs London Spirit fixture page on Statz.

Head-to-Head Record

Trent Rockets hold the edge in this fixture. In five meetings between these sides, Rockets have won three to Spirit’s two. The most recent clash came in 2025 when Rockets won, though Spirit have shown they can compete at this level. The record suggests Rockets are slight favourites on the basis of recent history.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections paint a tight contest with Rockets holding a narrow edge.

If Trent Rockets bat first: Projected first-innings total of 142.4, match total of 272.5. Win probability – TR 53.2%, LS 40.3%, no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 121 to 164.

If London Spirit bat first: Projected first-innings total of 136.8, match total of 267.2. Win probability – TR 53.5%, LS 40%, no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 112 to 161.

The model projects a match total around 270 runs – a par score for The Hundred format. Rockets gain a marginal advantage if they bowl first, with their win probability rising to 53.5%. Both projected first-innings totals sit in the 137-142 range, suggesting tight batting conditions or strong bowling attacks on the day.

Season Form and Table Position

Trent Rockets (7th, P1 W0 L1, 0 pts)

Rockets’ opening loss to Birmingham was competitive but ultimately costly. They posted 204/7 – a competitive total in The Hundred – but Phoenix’s 214/4 proved just enough. The margin of 10 runs suggests the batting unit can score runs, but the bowling may need tightening.

London Spirit (6th, P1 W0 L1, 0 pts)

Spirit’s defeat to Manchester was tighter still. They managed 131/6 from their 100 balls but MSG’s 138/9 edged them out by seven runs. The batting looked under-powered, with only Liam Livingstone (69 runs) providing a standout performance. That reliance on one player is a concern.

Key Players

Liam Livingstone (London Spirit)

The Spirit captain is the competition’s leading run-scorer after one match with 69 runs from 100 balls. His strike rate of 69% is measured but his quality is undeniable. The Statz projections show him averaging 26.3 runs per match with a strike rate of 148.9 – a dual threat with bat and leg-spin (0.45 wickets per match projected). Spirit’s entire batting strategy may hinge on Livingstone continuing this form.

Tom Banton (Trent Rockets)

Rockets’ opening batter struck 67 runs in the opening loss to Birmingham – the joint-highest individual score of the tournament so far. His aggressive approach (strike rate 150.7 projected) gives Rockets a flying start. If Banton gets going early, Rockets can build a platform.

Adam Zampa (London Spirit)

The Australian leg-spinner took 2 wickets in Spirit’s opening match and is projected to average 1.54 wickets per game at an economy of 8.61. His control and wicket-taking ability will be crucial if Spirit are to restrict Rockets’ scoring.

Sam Billings (Trent Rockets)

Rockets’ captain and wicketkeeper brings experience and composure to the middle order. His projected 25+ runs per match (strike rate 150.8) suggests he can accelerate in the death overs if needed.

Dream11 Captain Picks

Based on projected fantasy points from the Statz model:

Captain: Liam Livingstone (LS) – Projected 75.2 points. The competition’s leading run-scorer with dual batting and bowling value. His 69 runs in match one show he is in form, and his leg-spin adds bonus points.

Vice Captain: Adam Zampa (LS) – Projected 77 points. Two wickets in the opening match and a projected 1.54 per game make him a reliable fantasy asset. His economy of 8.61 is tight for The Hundred.

Also consider:

• Tom Banton (TR) – Projected 58.3 points – joint-highest individual score in the tournament (67 runs)
• David Willey (LS) – Projected 68.3 points – all-rounder with 10.1 runs and 1.02 wickets projected per match
• Matt Henry (TR) – Projected 87.5 points – fast bowler with 1.7 wickets and 6 runs projected per match

Predicted Lineups

Based on the most recent starting XIs from each side’s opening match:

Trent Rockets

1. Finn Allen
2. Ben Duckett
3. Tom Banton
4. Sam Billings (c, wk)
5. Tim David
6. Mitchell Santner
7. Lewis Gregory
8. Craig Overton
9. Calvin Harrison
10. Matt Henry
11. Mohammad Amir

London Spirit

1. Liam Livingstone (c)
2. Lhuan-dre Pretorius (wk)
3. Kiran Carlson
4. James Coles
5. Dewald Brevis
6. James Rew
7. David Willey
8. Jamie Overton
9. Adam Milne
10. Adam Zampa
11. Tymal Mills

These lineups are based on the most recent starting XI from each team’s opening match. Always check the fixture page on Statz for confirmed lineups on match day.

Verdict

This is a tight contest on paper, and the Statz projections reflect that. Trent Rockets hold a narrow edge – 53.4% win probability versus London Spirit’s 40.2% – but the margin is slim. Rockets’ head-to-head record (3-2) and the fact they posted 204 in their opener suggests a side capable of scoring runs. Spirit, meanwhile, are heavily reliant on Livingstone’s brilliance.

The projected match total of 270 runs is par for The Hundred. Both sides will need to bat first and post a strong total to give themselves the best chance.

I am leaning Trent Rockets here. Their opening performance was competitive despite the loss, and their bowling attack – led by Matt Henry and Mohammad Amir – has the quality to restrict Spirit’s batting. Livingstone is a world-class player, but Rockets have the depth to handle that threat. The bookmakers have Rockets at around 1.75 and Spirit at 2.05 (indicative odds).

Betting Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time odds and hit rates on this fixture:

• Liam Livingstone 20+ runs – The Spirit captain scored 69 in match one and is the competition’s leading run-scorer. A strong bet given his form and role as the side’s primary batter.
• Adam Zampa 1+ wicket – The leg-spinner took 2 wickets in the opening match and is projected to average 1.54 per game. A reliable wicket-taker in The Hundred format.
• Tom Banton 20+ runs – Joint-highest individual score in the tournament (67 runs) in match one. Rockets’ aggressive opener will look to repeat that performance.
• Match total over 265 – The Statz projection is 270 runs. Both sides showed they can score in their openers, and a total in the 265-275 range is likely.