Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Saint Lucia Kings Prediction, Projections & Preview

Dan Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Saint Lucia Kings Prediction, Projections & Preview

Guyana Amazon Warriors host Saint Lucia Kings at Providence Stadium on Wednesday for a Caribbean Premier League clash with major playoff implications. First ball is at 23:00 IST (13:30 BST) on 9 September 2026.

The Warriors are flying at the top of the table with six wins from six matches, while the Kings sit fourth on 4 wins from 9 games – a 2.5-point gap that could widen significantly with a home loss. For full head-to-head records, live projections and detailed player stats, check the fixture page on Statz.

The Venue and Toss Prediction

Providence Stadium is a bowler’s paradise in T20 cricket. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average first-innings score stands at 154.4 with an average match total of 299. Spin bowlers have dominated, taking 51.5% of wickets at an economy rate of 7.05, while seamers account for 43.4% of dismissals at 8.47 per over. The pitch is tagged as bowler-friendly by Statz – a significant advantage for both sides’ bowling units.

Teams batting first have won exactly 50% of matches at this ground since 2021. The toss carries no obvious lean, though the bowler-friendly nature suggests batting second may offer a slight edge. Expect the ball to grip early and reward disciplined bowling throughout the innings.

Form and Table Position

Guyana Amazon Warriors – 1st (P6 W6 L0, 12 pts)

The Warriors are the standout side in this tournament. Six consecutive wins, a net run rate of +1.977, and a clinical blend of batting and bowling have them clear at the summit. Their last three matches tell the story: wins over St Kitts (by 7 wickets with 9 balls remaining), Jamaica (by 8 wickets with 16 balls remaining), and Trinbago (by 13 runs). They are ruthless in both chases and when defending totals.

Saint Lucia Kings – 4th (P9 W4 L5, 8 pts)

The Kings have won 4 of their last 9 games but sit 2.5 points adrift of the top four. Their recent form is mixed – a loss to Barbados (by 2 wickets), a heavy defeat to St Kitts (by 137 runs), but a win over Trinbago (by 36 runs). They need to string wins together quickly to secure a playoff spot.

Head-to-Head

Guyana hold a commanding record in this fixture. From 22 meetings, the Warriors have won 13 to the Kings’ 8, with one no-result. In their last five encounters, Guyana have won three – including a 6-run victory on 19 August 2026 when the Warriors made 157/3 and restricted the Kings to 151/7. Full H2H stats and projections on Statz show this is a fixture the Warriors dominate at home.

Statz Projections and Predicted Match Total

The Statz projections favour Guyana decisively.

If Guyana bat first: Projected first-innings total of 142.8, match total of 271.6. Win probability – Guyana 57%, Kings 41%, no-result 2%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 120 to 165.

If Saint Lucia bat first: Projected first-innings total of 136, match total of 264.8. Win probability – Guyana 57.5%, Kings 40.5%, no-result 2%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 109 to 162.

Both projected match totals (265-272) sit well below the Providence average of 299, reflecting the bowler-friendly conditions and the quality of both bowling attacks. The projected first-innings totals of 136-143 are also below the venue average of 154.4 – expect a low-scoring affair.

Predicted Lineups

Guyana Amazon Warriors (based on XI vs St Kitts, 6 Sep 2026)

Saint Lucia Kings (based on XI vs Barbados, 6 Sep 2026)

These lineups are based on the most recent matches for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Mohammad Nabi (GAW) – projected 87.9 fantasy points. The Afghan all-rounder is the standout captain pick with 12 wickets in 6 matches this season plus consistent batting contributions. Projected for 14.9 runs and 1.2 wickets, he offers dual-threat value in a low-scoring match.

Vice Captain: Roston Chase (SLK) – projected 87.2 fantasy points. The Saint Lucia captain has 412 runs and 12 wickets across the tournament. Projected for 18.4 runs and 1.04 wickets, he is the Kings’ most reliable performer with the bat and ball.

Also consider:

Imran Tahir (GAW) – projected 83.5 pts – 22 wickets in 4 matches this season, 66.7% hit rate for 1+ wicket
Shamar Joseph (GAW) – projected 77.1 pts – 83.3% hit rate for 1+ wicket, 66.7% for 2+ wickets
Shimron Hetmyer (GAW) – projected 68 pts – 218 season runs, 66.7% hit rate for 20+ runs
Matthew Forde (SLK) – projected 63.8 pts – 15 wickets in 9 matches, 77.8% hit rate for 1+ wicket

Key Players

Shimron Hetmyer (Guyana Amazon Warriors)

The left-hander has been the Warriors’ batting backbone this season. With 218 runs at an average of 36.33 and a high score of 111, Hetmyer has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of his matches and 30+ runs in 50% of games. His last three scores of 111, 30 and 1 show the explosive nature of his batting – when he gets in, he makes it count. Against a Kings bowling attack that has conceded runs, Hetmyer is a genuine match-winner.

Imran Tahir (Guyana Amazon Warriors)

The Warriors’ captain and spin spearhead has been extraordinary. With 22 wickets in just 4 matches this season, Tahir is taking 5.5 wickets per game on average. On a bowler-friendly Providence pitch that favours spin, he will be the key to restricting the Kings’ batting. His economy rate of 7.05 at this ground is exceptional for T20 cricket.

Roston Chase (Saint Lucia Kings)

The Kings’ captain and leading run-scorer has 412 runs and 12 wickets across the tournament. Projected for 18.4 runs and 1.04 wickets in this match, Chase is the only Saint Lucia player with genuine match-winning potential. His 20+ run hit rate stands at 57.1% for the season – he needs to fire for the Kings to have any chance.

Matthew Forde (Saint Lucia Kings)

The Kings’ leading wicket-taker with 15 from 9 matches. Forde has taken 1+ wicket in 77.8% of his games this season – a remarkably consistent performer. On a pitch that will reward bowling, he is the most likely Saint Lucia bowler to make an impact against the Warriors’ batting lineup.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Providence with temperatures around 28 degrees and humidity at 72%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 8 km/h from the east – conditions that should remain stable throughout the evening.

Who will win Guyana vs Saint Lucia?

Guyana Amazon Warriors are strong favourites at 57.3% win probability, and rightly so. The Warriors are unbeaten, they dominate this fixture, and the bowler-friendly Providence pitch suits their spin-heavy attack perfectly. Use the Statz bet builder to explore player-specific angles, but the verdict is clear: this is Guyana’s to lose.

The Kings have the individual quality – Roston Chase, Kamil Pooran and Matthew Forde are all capable of big performances – but they lack the consistency and momentum of the Warriors. A 57.3% lean to Guyana reflects a team in complete control of this tournament.

Best Bets and Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time odds and hit rates on this fixture:

Shimron Hetmyer 20+ runs – 66.7% season hit rate, 80% in his last 5 matches. The Warriors’ most bankable batting line.
Imran Tahir 1+ wicket – 66.7% season hit rate. The Warriors’ captain has taken a wicket in every match this season on a bowler-friendly pitch.
Shamar Joseph 1+ wicket – 83.3% season hit rate. The young pacer is on fire and will thrive in these conditions.
Roston Chase 20+ runs – 57.1% season hit rate. The Kings’ captain must deliver for his side to stay in the playoff race.
Matthew Forde 1+ wicket – 77.8% season hit rate. The Kings’ leading wicket-taker is a reliable performer in any match.

Guyana vs Saint Lucia prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Guyana vs Saint Lucia?

A: Guyana Amazon Warriors are favourites at 57.3% win probability. The Warriors are unbeaten this season, sit top of the table, and have won 13 of 22 head-to-head meetings. Saint Lucia Kings are at 40.8%, needing a strong performance to stay in playoff contention.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz model projects a match total of 268 runs, well below the Providence average of 299. The bowler-friendly pitch and quality bowling attacks suggest a low-scoring contest – expect first-innings totals around 136-143.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss carries no clear lean at Providence, with teams batting first winning exactly 50% of matches here. However, the bowler-friendly conditions may slightly favour the side bowling first, allowing them to exploit early movement.

Q: Is Guyana a good bet?

A: Guyana at 57.3% win probability represents indicative value given their unbeaten record, home advantage, and dominance in this fixture. However, nothing is guaranteed in T20 cricket – the Kings have individual match-winners who could upset the odds on any given day.