Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons Prediction, Projections & Preview

Guyana Amazon Warriors host Antigua & Barbuda Falcons at Kensington Oval in Bridgetown on 17 September 2026 for a Caribbean Premier League clash. First ball at 00:00 UTC. The Warriors sit top of the table on 16 points from 10 matches, while the Falcons occupy second place on 13 points with one no-result. This is a heavyweight fixture between the league’s two strongest sides.

The Venue – Kensington Oval

Kensington Oval is a batsman’s playground in this CPL season. Across 10 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 297.6 runs with an average first-innings score of 138.7. Boundaries dominate – 54.2% of runs come from fours and sixes, with an average of 14.7 sixes per match. The pitch is tagged as Balanced, but the run-scoring environment is decidedly favourable to aggressive batting.

Seam bowlers have taken 46.2% of wickets at an economy of 8.1, while spinners account for 47.7% of dismissals at a tighter 7.09. The venue has seen 6.1 seam wickets and 6.3 spin wickets per match on average. Guyana have won 2 of 4 home matches here (50%), while Antigua & Barbuda are 1-1 away at this ground.

Form and Table Position

Guyana Amazon Warriors – 1st (P10 W8 L2, 16 pts)

The Warriors are the standout team in this CPL season. With 8 wins from 10 matches and a net run rate of +0.615, they have been ruthless. Their recent form shows a loss to Barbados Royals on 13 September, but before that they strung together three consecutive wins. Shai Hope leads the batting with 276 runs at 27.6 average, while Imran Tahir has been the standout bowler with 14 wickets in 10 matches.

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons – 2nd (P10 W6 L3 NR1, 13 pts)

The Falcons have been the second-best side this season. Six wins from 10 matches, though one no-result has cost them points. They beat Guyana by 65 runs on 8 September (ABF 182/5, GAW 117/10), showing they have the firepower to trouble even the league leaders. Hasan Nawaz leads their run-scoring with 173 runs at 24.71 average, while Alzarri Joseph has taken 14 wickets in 8 matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Guyana hold a 4-2 advantage in the six meetings between these sides in Statz data. However, Antigua & Barbuda’s recent form in the fixture is strong – they won their last encounter on 8 September by 65 runs, with Moeen Ali (ABF captain) scoring 56 runs. The Falcons have shown they know how to beat the Warriors, and momentum matters in T20 cricket. For full H2H stats and projections, visit Statz.

Statz Projections – Who Will Win?

The Statz projections favour Guyana Amazon Warriors with a 55.8% win probability against Antigua & Barbuda’s 42.2%. The projected match total is 242 runs – well below the Kensington Oval average of 297.6, suggesting both bowling attacks will have an impact.

If Guyana bat first: Projected first-innings total of 128.6, match total of 245. Win probability – GAW 52.5%, ABF 45.5%.

If Antigua & Barbuda bat first: Projected first-innings total of 123.4, match total of 239.7. Win probability – GAW 59.1%, ABF 38.9%. Guyana gain a significant edge if they bowl first, suggesting the toss could be decisive. Bowling first at Kensington Oval appears to be the preferred option.

Dream11 Captain Picks

Based on projected fantasy points from the Statz model:

Captain: Shadab Khan (ABF) – Projected 103 points when Antigua bat first, 101.1 when Guyana bat first. The Pakistan all-rounder has 132 season runs at 18.86 average plus consistent wicket-taking. His dual-threat status makes him the safest captain choice in this fixture.

Vice Captain: Imran Tahir (GAW) – Projected 80.4 points. The Afghan leg-spinner has taken 14 wickets in 10 matches this season (1.4 per match average) and has taken a wicket in 80% of his appearances. Reliable and consistent.

Other premium picks: Moeen Ali (ABF captain, 64.3 pts) – 148 season runs plus wicket-taking ability; Shai Hope (GAW, 60+ pts) – 276 season runs, 60% hit rate for 30+ runs; Alzarri Joseph (ABF, 70.2 pts) – 14 wickets in 8 matches, 66.7% hit rate for 1+ wicket.

Key Players

Shai Hope (Guyana Amazon Warriors)

The Warriors’ batting anchor with 276 runs at 27.6 average this season. Hope has scored 30+ runs in 50% of matches and hit 13 sixes – he is a consistent run-maker who can accelerate when needed. His experience and reliability make him crucial to Guyana’s top-order stability.

Moeen Ali (Antigua & Barbuda Falcons)

The Falcons captain has 148 season runs at 18.5 average plus 5 wickets as a left-arm spinner. His all-round contribution – batting at 5, bowling 2-3 overs – makes him a match-winner. He scored 56 runs in the Falcons’ last win over Guyana and is in form.

Imran Tahir (Guyana Amazon Warriors)

The competition’s joint third-highest wicket-taker with 14 wickets in 10 matches. Tahir has taken a wicket in 80% of his matches this season and has taken 2+ wickets in 30% of appearances. His leg-spin is a constant threat on the Kensington Oval surface.

Alzarri Joseph (Antigua & Barbuda Falcons)

The Falcons’ pace spearhead with 14 wickets in 8 matches (1.56 average per match). Joseph has taken 1+ wicket in 66.7% of matches and 2+ wickets in 44.4% – a genuine match-winner with the ball who can also contribute with the bat.

Predicted Lineups

Guyana Amazon Warriors (based on most recent XI)

1. Glenn Phillips (wk)
2. Mavendra Dindyal
3. Shai Hope
4. Shimron Hetmyer
5. Mehidy Hasan Miraz
6. Dwaine Pretorius
7. Quentin Sampson
8. Romario Shepherd
9. Ronaldo Alimohamed
10. Imran Tahir (c)
11. Veerasammy Permaul

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (based on most recent XI)

1. Karima Gore
2. Evin Lewis
3. Amir Jangoo (wk)
4. Hasan Nawaz
5. Moeen Ali (c)
6. Shadab Khan
7. Fabian Allen
8. Joshua James
9. Sufiyan Muqeem
10. Jayden Seales
11. Alzarri Joseph

These lineups are based on the most recent matches. Always check the fixture page on Statz for confirmed XIs on match day.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for live odds on player performance markets:

• Shai Hope 30+ runs – 50% season hit rate, 60% in last 5 matches. Guyana’s most reliable accumulator.
• Imran Tahir 1+ wicket – 80% season hit rate. The Warriors’ strike bowler has taken a wicket in 8 of 10 matches.
• Moeen Ali 20+ runs – 42.9% season hit rate for 30+ runs, but 18.5 average suggests 20+ is highly achievable at 60%+ hit rate.
• Alzarri Joseph 1+ wicket – 66.7% season hit rate. The Falcons’ pace spearhead is a consistent wicket-taker.

Who Will Win Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons?

Guyana Amazon Warriors are favoured at 55.8% win probability according to Statz projections. The Warriors’ league-leading position, superior net run rate and home advantage at Kensington Oval all point to a Guyana victory. However, Antigua & Barbuda’s recent form – including a 65-run win over Guyana just nine days ago – means this is far from settled. The Falcons have the bowling attack (Alzarri Joseph, Joshua James) and batting depth (Moeen Ali, Shadab Khan) to trouble any opponent. The toss will matter significantly; Guyana’s win probability jumps to 59.1% if they bowl first, suggesting the captain who elects to bowl will have the edge.

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons Prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Guyana vs Antigua & Barbuda?

A: Guyana Amazon Warriors are favoured at 55.8% win probability according to Statz projections, with Antigua & Barbuda at 42.2%. However, the Falcons beat Guyana by 65 runs on 8 September, so the outcome is far from settled. Home advantage and league position favour Guyana, but the Falcons have the quality to win.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz model projects a match total of 242 runs, well below the Kensington Oval average of 297.6. This suggests both bowling attacks will be effective. If Guyana bat first, expect around 245; if Antigua & Barbuda bat first, around 239.7.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a 50-50 proposition, but the captain who wins it should bowl first. Guyana’s win probability rises to 59.1% if they bowl first, compared to 52.5% if they bat first. This suggests bowling first is the preferred option at Kensington Oval in this matchup.

Q: Is Guyana a good bet at current odds?

A: Guyana’s 55.8% win probability makes them a slight favourite, but odds should reflect this. At indicative odds around 1.80-1.90, Guyana offers reasonable value for a league-leading side at home. Antigua & Barbuda at 2.0+ offers value given their recent form and quality bowling attack, but Guyana’s consistency edges it.