Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons Prediction, Projections & Preview
Guyana Amazon Warriors host Antigua & Barbuda Falcons at Providence Stadium on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 for a Caribbean Premier League clash. First ball is at 23:00 IST (13:30 local time). The Warriors sit top of the table on 12 points from six matches, while the Falcons are second on 11 points from nine games – a tight contest between the league’s two strongest sides.
For full head-to-head records, live projections and lineups, head to the Statz fixture page.
The Venue and Toss Prediction
Providence Stadium is a bowler-friendly ground that has hosted 10 T20 matches in the available data. The average match total stands at 299 runs, with the first innings averaging 154.4 and the second 142.1. Spin has been the dominant force here – spinners account for 51.5% of wickets at an economy of 7.05, while seamers take 43.4% at 8.47. The ground has produced 13.9 sixes per match on average, with boundaries accounting for 55.2% of runs.
The pitch is tagged as bowler-friendly by Statz, which should favour the side with the stronger spin attack. Guyana’s Imran Tahir and Mohammad Nabi form a formidable spin pairing, while Antigua’s attack is more seam-heavy. If Guyana win the toss, batting first makes sense to post a total on a surface that will deteriorate for the second innings. Antigua would likely bowl first if they win, hoping to restrict the Warriors and chase a modest target.
Form and Table Position
Guyana Amazon Warriors – 1st (P6 W6 L0, 12 pts)
The Warriors are unbeaten this season and have won their last five matches with clinical efficiency. They chased down 128 against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots on 6 September in just 18.3 overs, and dismantled Jamaica Kingsmen by 8 wickets on 4 September. Their batting lineup has been prolific – Shimron Hetmyer has 218 runs at 36.33 with 14 sixes, while Shai Hope has 213 runs at 35.5. Their bowling is equally sharp, with Mohammad Nabi taking 12 wickets and Shamar Joseph 10 wickets this season.
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons – 2nd (P9 W5 L3 NR1, 11 pts)
The Falcons have been solid but inconsistent. They sit second on 11 points but have played three more matches than Guyana, meaning the Warriors have a game in hand. Antigua’s form shows three wins from their last five, including a 30-run victory over Barbados Royals on 25 August. However, they suffered a no-result against St Kitts on 30 August and a loss to the Warriors themselves on 23 August (Guyana won by 7 wickets). Evin Lewis leads their run-scoring with 137 runs at 19.57, while Hasan Nawaz has 137 runs at 22.83.
Head-to-Head Record
Guyana hold a commanding 4-1 record over Antigua in their last five meetings. Most significantly, they beat the Falcons by 7 wickets on 23 August this season – chasing down 116 in just 9.5 overs. That demolition underlines Guyana’s current dominance. The Falcons’ sole win in this sequence came earlier in the competition, but Guyana’s recent form and home advantage make them heavy favourites in the rematch.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections favour Guyana decisively across both scenarios.
If Guyana bat first: Projected first-innings total of 141.8, match total of 268.1. Win probability – Guyana 59%, Antigua 39%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 120 to 165.
If Antigua bat first: Projected first-innings total of 133, match total of 259.2. Win probability – Guyana 60.7%, Antigua 37.3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 101 to 161.
Both projected totals sit below the Providence Stadium average of 299, reflecting the bowler-friendly nature of the pitch and the quality of both bowling attacks. Guyana’s win probability remains above 59% regardless of who bats first – a strong lean towards the Warriors.
Predicted Lineups
Guyana Amazon Warriors (based on XI vs St Kitts, 6 Sep 2026)
- Rahmanullah Gurbaz (wk)
- Mavendra Dindyal
- Shai Hope
- Shimron Hetmyer
- Mohammad Nabi
- Quentin Sampson
- Romario Shepherd
- Dwaine Pretorius
- Khary Pierre
- Shamar Joseph
- Imran Tahir (c)
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons (based on XI vs Trinbago, 2 Sep 2026)
- Evin Lewis
- Rahkeem Cornwall
- Amir Jangoo (wk)
- Hasan Nawaz
- Moeen Ali (c)
- Shadab Khan
- Fabian Allen
- Joshua James
- Sufiyan Muqeem
- Jayden Seales
- Shamar Springer
These lineups are based on the most recent starting XI for each team. Always check the Statz fixture page for confirmed lineups and toss updates on match day.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Captain: Shadab Khan (ABF) – projected 106.6 fantasy points. The Pakistan all-rounder is Antigua’s most valuable asset, projected for 17.5 runs at a strike rate of 162.3 plus 1.51 wickets. His dual-threat nature makes him the safest captain choice for this fixture.
Vice Captain: Sufiyan Muqeem (ABF) – projected 87.4 fantasy points. The bowler is projected for 1.71 wickets per match at an economy of 6.99, making him one of the most reliable wicket-takers in this matchup.
Also consider:
- Mohammad Nabi (GAW) – projected 82.8 pts – 12 wickets this season, 50% hit rate for 2+ wickets
- Shimron Hetmyer (GAW) – projected 66+ pts – 218 season runs, 80% hit rate for 20+ runs in last 5 matches
- Moeen Ali (ABF) – projected 64.8 pts – 130 season runs plus 8 wickets, genuine all-rounder value
Key Players
Shimron Hetmyer (Guyana Amazon Warriors)
The left-hander has been Guyana’s standout batter this season with 218 runs at 36.33, including 14 sixes. His last three scores of 111, 30 and 1 show volatility, but his 80% hit rate for 20+ runs in his last five matches is exceptional. Hetmyer’s aggressive approach on a bowler-friendly pitch will be crucial – if he gets going, Guyana’s total becomes formidable.
Shai Hope (Guyana Amazon Warriors)
The Guyanese wicketkeeper-batter has 213 runs at 35.5 with 12 sixes this season. His 66.7% hit rate for 20+ runs makes him a consistent fantasy asset. Hope’s experience and ability to anchor an innings or accelerate makes him vital to Guyana’s chase if Antigua post a total.
Imran Tahir (Guyana Amazon Warriors)
The veteran leg-spinner is Guyana’s captain and their most dangerous bowler on a pitch that favours spin. Tahir’s economy of 7.05 on this ground and his ability to take wickets in clusters make him a match-winner. His 66.7% hit rate for 1+ wicket this season is rock-solid.
Moeen Ali (Antigua & Barbuda Falcons)
The England all-rounder brings balance to Antigua’s XI with 130 season runs and 8 wickets. His projected 64.8 fantasy points reflect his dual value. Moeen’s left-arm spin will be tested against Guyana’s aggressive batters, but his experience in T20 cricket makes him a key threat.
Conditions
Conditions at Providence are expected to be warm and humid, typical for Guyana in September. No rain is forecast, so a full match is likely. The pitch is bowler-friendly, which should keep scoring in check and favour the side with the stronger spin attack – a clear advantage to Guyana.
Who will win Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons?
Guyana Amazon Warriors are favoured to win at 59.9% probability, according to the Statz model. The Warriors’ unbeaten record, superior form, home advantage and stronger spin attack all point to a Guyana victory. Antigua are capable – they sit second in the table and have quality all-rounders in Moeen Ali and Shadab Khan – but Guyana’s recent dominance, including a 7-wicket win over these exact opponents on 23 August, makes the Warriors the clear pick.
The indicative odds reflect this lean. Guyana are favoured at around 1.60-1.70 across the major books, while Antigua sit at 2.10-2.20. The Statz projections show Guyana winning 59-60.7% of the time regardless of who bats first – a strong, consistent edge.
Best Bets and Bet Builder Angles
The Statz bet builder highlights one standout market:
- Guyana Amazon Warriors most match sixes – Indicative odds 2.0 (Ladbrokes and Coral). Guyana are projected for 6.7 sixes versus Antigua’s 4.4. With Hetmyer and Hope in form and the Warriors’ aggressive approach, this represents value at even money.
Additional angles to explore on the bet builder:
- Shimron Hetmyer 20+ runs – 80% hit rate in last 5 matches, 66.7% for the season
- Imran Tahir 1+ wicket – 66.7% season hit rate, captain of Guyana and their premier spinner
- Shadab Khan 15+ runs – Antigua’s most consistent batter, projected 17.5 runs in this matchup
- Mohammad Nabi 2+ wickets – 50% hit rate for 2+ wickets this season, 12 wickets total
Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons prediction FAQ
Q: Who will win Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua & Barbuda Falcons?
A: Guyana Amazon Warriors are favoured at 59.9% win probability according to Statz. They are unbeaten this season, hold a 4-1 head-to-head record over Antigua, and have home advantage at Providence Stadium. Antigua are capable but face an uphill task.
Q: What is the projected match total?
A: The Statz model projects a match total of 264 runs, with first-innings totals around 141.8 (Guyana bat first) or 133 (Antigua bat first). Both figures sit below the Providence Stadium average of 299, reflecting the bowler-friendly pitch and quality bowling attacks.
Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?
A: The toss is a 50-50 proposition, but the side that wins it should bat first. Providence is a bowler-friendly ground where the pitch deteriorates, making it advantageous to post a total and bowl second. Guyana’s superior spin attack gives them an edge if they bat first.
Q: Is Guyana Amazon Warriors a good bet?
A: Yes. At indicative odds of 1.60-1.70, Guyana represent value given their 59.9% win probability. Their unbeaten record, form, home advantage and head-to-head dominance justify backing them as the favourite.