Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London Prediction, Projections & Preview

Birmingham Phoenix host MI London at Edgbaston on Wednesday for a The Hundred clash in the 32nd match of the tournament. First ball is at 17:30 BST on 12 August 2026.

Birmingham sit eighth in the table on 4 points from 7 matches, having won just one game so far. MI London are third on 16 points with a 4-3 record, level with Manchester Super Giants and Welsh Fire. This is a must-win for Birmingham if they harbour any hopes of reaching the knockout stages, while MI London will be looking to consolidate their position in the top four. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Edgbaston is a balanced pitch that has produced consistent run-scoring across The Hundred. Over the last 22 matches at this ground, the average match total stands at 299.4, with the average first-innings score of 153.9. Seam bowlers have dominated, taking 73.9% of wickets at an economy of 10.98, while spinners account for 18% of dismissals at 11.98. The ground has seen openers score most frequently, with the top scorer position accounting for 8 of the last 10 highest individual innings.

Birmingham’s home record at Edgbaston reads W10 L8 NR1 since 2021, averaging 16.5 runs per match. MI London have visited just twice, losing both matches and averaging 13.7 runs per match – a small sample but a concerning one for the visitors. The most recent match here saw Birmingham beat Trent Rockets by 10 runs on 24 July 2026 (BP 214/4, TR 204/7).

Form and Table

Birmingham Phoenix – 8th (P7 W1 L6, 4 pts)

Birmingham have endured a torrid campaign. With just one win from seven matches, they sit bottom of the table and are running out of time to salvage their tournament. Their last five results tell a grim story of consecutive defeats:

• 09 Aug vs London Spirit (H): L – BP 162/4, LS 166/3 (82 balls)
• 07 Aug vs Sunrisers Leeds (H): L – BP 124/8, SL 169/7
• 05 Aug vs Trent Rockets (H): L – BP 111/6, TR 116/3 (83 balls)
• 01 Aug vs Welsh Fire (H): L – BP 137/9, WF 138/3 (96 balls)
• 30 Jul vs Southern Brave (H): L – BP 116/9, SB 128/8

MI London – 3rd (P7 W4 L3, 16 pts)

MI London have been the standout performers in the tournament so far. With four wins from seven matches and a net run rate of +0.831, they sit comfortably in the top four. Their recent form shows a side capable of both chasing and setting targets:

• 08 Aug vs Trent Rockets (A): L – MIL 147/7, TR 148/4 (90 balls)
• 06 Aug vs Sunrisers Leeds (A): W – MIL 164/6 (94 balls), SL 160/5
• 02 Aug vs Manchester Super Giants (A): W – MIL 183/6, MSG 138/10 (95 balls)
• 29 Jul vs Sunrisers Leeds (A): L – MIL 164/5, SL 165/3 (89 balls)
• 27 Jul vs Southern Brave (A): W – MIL 130/7, SB 129/9

Standings Snapshot

Pos	Team	P	W	L	Pts	NRR
1	Trent Rockets	7	6	1	24	+1.068
2	Sunrisers Leeds	7	5	2	20	+1.000
3	MI London	7	4	3	16	+0.831
4	Manchester Super Giants	7	4	3	16	+0.574
5	Welsh Fire	7	4	3	16	-1.201
6	Southern Brave	7	2	5	8	+0.165
7	London Spirit	7	2	5	8	-0.463
8	Birmingham Phoenix	7	1	6	4	-2.024

Birmingham have five matches remaining and must win this fixture to keep their knockout hopes alive. MI London, meanwhile, are well-positioned to secure a top-four spot with two more group matches to come.

Head-to-Head

MI London hold a commanding record over Birmingham in The Hundred. In five meetings, MI London have won four to Birmingham’s one. The most recent clash came on 06 August 2026 at the Kia Oval, where MI London chased down 160 with 6 wickets in hand (MIL 164/6 from 94 balls). Birmingham’s sole victory in this fixture came earlier in the tournament.

At Edgbaston, the picture is even more stark. MI London have never won here, losing both their visits to the ground. However, those are small sample sizes – both matches came in the early stages of the tournament, and MI London’s form has improved markedly since then.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections favour MI London, but the margin is tighter than the table suggests.

If Birmingham bat first: Projected first-innings total of 145.5, match total of 283.4. Win probability – BP 37.5%, MIL 56%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 118 to 172.

If MI London bat first: Projected first-innings total of 150.8, match total of 288.4. Win probability – BP 40.6%, MIL 52.9%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 128 to 174.

Both projected match totals (283-288) sit well below the Edgbaston average of 299.4, suggesting the model rates both bowling attacks as strong. The projected first-innings totals of around 146-151 are also below the venue average of 153.9. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player	Team	Runs	Matches
Mitchell Marsh	Sunrisers Leeds	374	7
Joe Clarke	Birmingham Phoenix	290	7
Ben Duckett	Trent Rockets	288	7
Jos Buttler	Manchester Super Giants	278	7
Ryan Rickelton	Sunrisers Leeds	274	7

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player	Team	Wickets	Matches
Richard Gleeson	MI London	12	7
Brydon Carse	Sunrisers Leeds	11	7
Adil Rashid	Southern Brave	10	7
Nathan Ellis	Sunrisers Leeds	10	7
Marcus Stoinis	Southern Brave	9	6

Birmingham Phoenix Season Leaders

Runs: Joe Clarke – 290 runs, avg 41.43, HS 73 | Sean Dickson – 135 runs, avg 19.29, HS 51 | Will Smeed – 114 runs, avg 19, HS 51

Wickets: Usman Tariq – 6 wickets, best 2 | Rehan Ahmed – 5 wickets, best 3 | Ben Dwarshuis – 5 wickets, best 2

MI London Season Leaders

Runs: Will Jacks – 252 runs, avg 36, HS 65 | Sam Curran – 218 runs, avg 36.33, HS 72 | Nicholas Pooran – 172 runs, avg 24.57, HS 58

Wickets: Richard Gleeson – 12 wickets, best 4 | Trent Boult – 8 wickets, best 2 | Rashid Khan – 7 wickets, best 5

Predicted XIs

Birmingham Phoenix (based on XI vs London Spirit, 09 Aug 2026)

1. Mitchell Owen
2. Joe Clarke (wk)
3. Joe Weatherley
4. Laurie Evans
5. Sean Dickson
6. Donovan Ferreira (c)
7. Jordan Thompson
8. Rehan Ahmed
9. Tom Helm
10. Saqib Mahmood
11. Usman Tariq

MI London (based on XI vs Trent Rockets, 08 Aug 2026)

1. Will Jacks
2. James Vince
3. Nicholas Pooran (wk)
4. Sam Curran (c)
5. Sherfane Rutherford
6. Sikandar Raza
7. Tom Curran
8. Ollie Pope
9. Trent Boult
10. Richard Gleeson
11. Nathan Sowter

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Sam Curran (MI London) – projected 76.6 pts when MI London bat second. The all-rounder is in outstanding form with 218 runs at 36.33 this season plus 7 wickets. His projected 25.1 runs and 1.27 wickets make him the most bankable captain choice.

Vice Captain: Will Jacks (MI London) – projected 47.4 pts when MI London bat second. The opening batter has 252 runs at 36 average this season with a high score of 65. His 80% hit rate for 30+ runs in his last five matches is exceptional.

Also consider:

• Nicholas Pooran (MI London) – projected 53.4 pts – 172 season runs, 40% hit rate for 30+ runs in last five
• Richard Gleeson (MI London) – projected 52.6 pts – 12 wickets this season, 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket
• Joe Clarke (Birmingham) – projected 45.7 pts – 290 season runs, 80% hit rate for 20+ runs in last five

Key Players

Sam Curran (MI London)

The England all-rounder has been MI London’s standout performer this season. With 218 runs at an average of 36.33 and 7 wickets, Curran provides genuine value across all three disciplines. His last three scores of 23, 33 and 72 show a player hitting form at exactly the right time. The Statz bet builder shows Curran has hit 20+ runs in 85.7% of his matches this season and 30+ runs in 66.7% – elite consistency for a middle-order batter.

Will Jacks (MI London)

MI London’s opening batter has been their most prolific run-scorer with 252 runs at 36 average. Jacks has hit 30+ runs in 57.1% of his matches this season, with a high score of 65. His ability to take on the new ball and accelerate in the powerplay makes him a key player in any chase or when setting a target.

Richard Gleeson (MI London)

The competition’s leading wicket-taker with 12 wickets from 7 matches. Gleeson has taken at least one wicket in every single match this season – a 100% hit rate that is nothing short of remarkable. His ability to bowl tight lines and take wickets in the powerplay and death overs makes him invaluable to MI London’s bowling attack.

Joe Clarke (Birmingham Phoenix)

Birmingham’s sole bright spot this season. Clarke has 290 runs at 41.43 average with a high score of 73. He has hit 20+ runs in 85.7% of his matches and 30+ runs in 57.1% – but even his brilliance has not been enough to drag Birmingham out of the doldrums. His performance here will be crucial to any Birmingham fightback.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Edgbaston with temperatures around 21 degrees Celsius. Humidity will sit at 56% with a light westerly breeze of 4.8 km/h. No rain is expected during the match, suggesting a full 100-ball contest for both sides.

Who will win Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London?

MI London are the clear favourites here. The Statz projections give MI London a 54.5% win probability to Birmingham’s 39.1%, and that lean is well-founded. MI London sit third in the table with a 4-3 record and a positive net run rate, while Birmingham are bottom with just one win from seven matches. MI London’s bowling attack, spearheaded by Richard Gleeson, is the best in the competition. Birmingham’s batting has been brittle – they have failed to post 140 in three of their last five matches.

The head-to-head record also favours MI London (4-1 in five meetings), and while MI London have lost both their visits to Edgbaston, those defeats came earlier in the tournament when their form was less settled. This is a different MI London side now.

Back MI London at the indicative odds.

Best Bets

The Statz best bets model identifies one standout value play:

• Birmingham Phoenix to win at 2.75 – The model rates Birmingham’s true win probability at 37.7%, making the 36.4% implied probability at 2.75 a small edge. This is a contrarian play for a side in desperate form, but the odds offer marginal value.

For more granular betting angles, head to the Statz bet builder to explore player-specific markets:

• Sam Curran 20+ runs – 83.3% season hit rate, 80% in his last five
• Richard Gleeson 1+ wicket – 100% season hit rate, has taken a wicket in every match
• Will Jacks 30+ runs – 57.1% season hit rate, 80% in his last five
• Joe Clarke 20+ runs – 85.7% season hit rate, 80% in his last five

Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London?

A: MI London are favoured at 54.5% win probability according to Statz projections, compared to Birmingham’s 39.1%. MI London sit third in the table with a 4-3 record, while Birmingham are bottom with just one win from seven matches. MI London’s form and bowling attack make them the clear choice.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz projections suggest a match total of around 286 runs. If Birmingham bat first, the projected total is 283.4; if MI London bat first, it rises to 288.4. Both figures sit below the Edgbaston average of 299.4, suggesting a tighter contest than the venue average.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a 50-50 proposition. However, the projections suggest MI London gain a marginal advantage if they bowl first (52.9% win probability) versus batting first (52.9% win probability). The difference is negligible.

Q: Is MI London a good bet?

A: MI London offer value at current odds. With a 54.5% win probability and indicative odds around 1.80-1.90, they represent a solid backing. However, nothing is guaranteed in T20 cricket – Birmingham are capable of a shock result if their batting clicks and MI London’s bowling misfires.