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Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London - Projections & Predictions · The Hundred

Birmingham Phoenix BP 5:30 PM MIL MI London
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Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios
BP
MIL
Total
ground avg 284.3
1st inn
ground avg 152.4
Sixes
ground avg 13.1
Fours
ground avg 23.4
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High

Model vs market

best available odds
Winner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Birmingham Phoenix Birmingham Phoenix
2.75
36.4%
+2.4%
MI London MI London
1.44
69.2%
-14.4%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
BP projected boundaries
7 6s
11.4 4s
Ground 6s factor 1.24x
MIL projected boundaries
8.6 6s
12.2 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.07x

Player projections

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
Birmingham Phoenix Runs Balls SR 4s 6s B Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Joe Clarke 27.9 20 141 2.7 1.3 - - - - 0.5 - 0.1 32.5 44.6
Joe Weatherley 12.3 12 105 1.0 0.3 - - - - 0.6 - - 18.3 23.0
Mitchell Owen 9.1 8 118 1.1 0.4 5 0.5 13 26.1 0.6 - 0.1 24.8 34.7
Laurie Evans 11.1 8 143 1.0 0.5 - - - - 0.5 - 0.0 16.4 21.6
Sean Dickson 19.1 14 140 1.4 1.1 - - - - 0.3 - - 21.7 29.8
Donovan Ferreira 18.3 11 169 1.0 1.7 - - - - 0.7 - 0.2 25.2 35.2
Rehan Ahmed 15.9 12 128 1.4 0.8 17 0.8 28 11.4 0.3 - 0.0 34.6 48.0
Jordan Thompson 9.3 7 133 0.6 0.5 16 1.1 27 11.6 0.3 - 0.1 33.8 48.7
Tom Helm 6.0 7 91 0.3 0.2 15 1.3 28 12.2 0.2 - - 34.5 49.9
Saqib Mahmood 2.0 2 81 0.0 0.0 18 1.1 31 12.0 0.1 - 0.1 24.4 37.4
Usman Tariq 3.5 4 80 0.2 0.1 19 0.8 27 8.6 0.0 - - 18.7 29.2
Full squad projections (8 more)
MI London Runs Balls SR 4s 6s B Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
James Vince 25.9 20 133 2.8 0.8 - - - - 0.5 - 0.0 30.6 40.9
Will Jacks 23.7 15 157 2.3 1.3 7 0.2 7 10.8 0.6 - 0.0 34.2 45.9
Ollie Pope 11.8 10 117 1.1 0.1 - - - - 0.3 - - 14.7 19.4
Nicholas Pooran 27.3 16 166 2.0 2.1 - - - - 1.0 - 0.4 37.0 51.7
Sherfane Rutherford 13.4 8 162 1.1 1.1 - - - - 0.5 - 0.2 18.1 26.3
Sikandar Raza 9.6 7 136 0.4 0.7 11 0.3 19 12.1 0.2 - - 17.8 25.5
Sam Curran 24.0 16 154 1.5 1.6 19 1.3 27 9.9 0.4 - 0.1 53.8 75.2
Tom Curran 10.9 7 162 0.9 0.6 18 1.3 30 11.3 0.2 - 0.1 38.4 56.0
Trent Boult 4.7 3 139 0.5 0.2 21 1.1 25 8.5 0.0 - 0.1 26.0 41.1
Nathan Sowter 3.1 3 122 0.4 0.0 14 0.7 24 10.8 0.6 - - 23.6 32.4
Richard Gleeson 2.5 3 72 0.2 0.0 20 1.5 32 11.6 0.1 - 0.0 34.4 52.5
Full squad projections (8 more)
Sam Curran MIL 24.0 runs 75.2 D11 53.8 PP
Ben Dwarshuis BP 1.6 wkts 63.0 D11 42.3 PP
Tom Curran MIL 1.3 wkts 56.0 D11 38.4 PP
Rashid Khan MIL 1.3 wkts 55.2 D11 39.1 PP
Richard Gleeson MIL 1.5 wkts 52.5 D11 34.4 PP
Nicholas Pooran MIL 27.3 runs 51.7 D11 37.0 PP
Tom Helm BP 1.3 wkts 49.9 D11 34.5 PP
Jordan Thompson BP 1.1 wkts 48.7 D11 33.8 PP
Track record
56.5% model win rate across 418 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v7 · 6 hours ago