Antigua & Barbuda Falcons vs Guyana Amazon Warriors Prediction, Projections & Preview

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons host Guyana Amazon Warriors at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium on Sunday for a Caribbean Premier League clash with significant playoff implications. First ball is at 23:00 IST (18:30 local) on 23 August 2026.

The Falcons sit 4th in the table on 4 points from 4 matches (W2 L2), while the Warriors have made a flying start at 2nd with 4 points from just 2 matches (W2 L0). This is a pivotal mid-season encounter – the Warriors are unbeaten and hunting a top-two finish, while the Falcons need momentum after a mixed start. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Antigua & Barbuda Falcons vs Guyana Amazon Warriors fixture page on Statz.

The Venue and Toss Prediction

Sir Vivian Richards Stadium has been a run-fest this season. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average match total is 320.8 with 15.5 sixes per game – a ground that rewards aggressive cricket. The average first-innings score stands at 167.6, suggesting batters will find the conditions favourable early on. Seam and spin bowlers have shared the workload equally, with seam taking 45.5% of wickets at an economy of 9.42 and spin at 45.5% with an economy of 6.9.

The pitch is tagged as bowler-friendly by Statz, yet the boundary percentage of 58.4% tells a different story – this is a ground where the ball travels. Home teams have won just 30% of matches here since 2021, suggesting the toss may not be decisive. The Warriors have won both their away matches at this venue without loss, indicating they are comfortable chasing or setting targets on this ground.

Form and Table Position

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons – 4th (P4 W2 L2, 4 pts)

The Falcons have been inconsistent. They beat St Kitts and Nevis Patriots by 3 wickets on 20 August with a chase of 191/7, but losses to Saint Lucia Kings on 14 August and 9 August have left them in the bottom half. Their most recent win shows they can hunt targets, but they have also lost to Jamaica Kingsmen (W) and Saint Lucia Kings (L) in their four matches. The net run rate of -0.008 reflects a side that is neither dominant nor struggling – they are right in the middle of the pack.

Guyana Amazon Warriors – 2nd (P2 W2 L0, 4 pts)

The Warriors have been exceptional. Two wins from two matches with a net run rate of 1.805 – the second-best in the league. They beat Jamaica Kingsmen by 6 wickets on 14 August (118/4 chasing 117/10) and Saint Lucia Kings by 6 wickets on 19 August (157/3 chasing 151/7). Both victories have come away from home, and both have been chases. The Warriors are a side in form, hunting the top spot, and they have yet to lose.

Head-to-Head and Recent History

Guyana hold a commanding 3-1 record over Antigua & Barbuda in their last four meetings. Most significantly, the Warriors thrashed the Falcons by 83 runs on 22 August 2025 at this very ground – the Falcons were bowled out for 128 in 15.2 overs while the Warriors posted 211/3. That is a stark reminder of the gulf in class on the day. The Falcons’ sole win in this fixture came in 2025, but the Warriors have dominated the recent head-to-head.

Statz Projections and Predicted Match Total

The Statz projections favour the Warriors across both scenarios.

If Antigua & Barbuda bat first: Projected first-innings total of 154.5, match total of 300.6. Win probability – Falcons 37%, Warriors 61%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 126 to 182.

If Guyana bat first: Projected first-innings total of 159, match total of 304.7. Win probability – Falcons 45.9%, Warriors 52.1%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 134 to 184.

The Warriors gain a 9-point swing by batting second (52.1% vs 45.9%), suggesting they are the stronger chasing side. Both projected match totals sit below the venue average of 320.8, indicating the model expects a tighter contest than the ground’s recent run-scoring trends would suggest. The projected first-innings totals of 154-159 are well below the venue average of 167.6 – expect tight bowling early.

Key Players

Shai Hope (Guyana Amazon Warriors)

The Warriors’ anchor. Hope has 73 runs from 2 matches at an average of 36.5 with a high score of 56. He has hit 8 sixes in those two innings – a strike rate that speaks to aggressive intent. In the H2H against Antigua & Barbuda, Hope has 164 runs from 4 matches at 41.0, with 8 sixes. He is the player the Falcons’ bowlers fear most.

Evin Lewis (Antigua & Barbuda Falcons)

The Falcons’ most consistent batter. Lewis has 103 runs from 4 matches at 25.75 with a high score of 48. He has hit 50 runs in his last three innings (48, 1, 48), showing he can both explode and go quiet. His 20+ run hit rate stands at 50% for the season – he is a player who needs to fire for the Falcons to compete.

Imran Tahir (Guyana Amazon Warriors)

The Warriors’ captain and spin spearhead. Tahir has taken 9 wickets from just 1 match in the H2H against Antigua & Barbuda – a devastating return that shows his potency against this opposition. He is projected for 1.56 wickets and 82.4 Dream11 points in this fixture. The Falcons’ batters will need to be wary of his leg-spin.

Shadab Khan (Antigua & Barbuda Falcons)

The Falcons’ all-rounder and a player who can change the game. Shadab is projected for 106.4 Dream11 points when the Falcons bat first – the highest projection in the fixture. His leg-spin and lower-order hitting provide balance, and he has been a key player in their recent wins.

Who Will Win Antigua & Barbuda vs Guyana?

Guyana Amazon Warriors are the pick at 56.6% win probability. The Warriors are unbeaten, they have a 3-1 head-to-head record, and the Statz projections favour them across both scenarios. The Falcons are inconsistent and have been outplayed by Guyana in their recent meeting. However, this is a lean – the Falcons are at home, they have shown they can chase, and Sir Vivian Richards Stadium is a ground where anything can happen.

Indicative odds from major bookmakers have Guyana at around 1.55-1.65 and Antigua & Barbuda at 2.20-2.40. The market agrees with the Statz lean towards the Warriors.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Shadab Khan (ABF) – projected 106.4 Dream11 points when the Falcons bat first. The all-rounder offers value across all three disciplines with projected runs of 18, nearly 1.34 wickets and regular catching contributions. His leg-spin is a genuine threat to the Warriors’ batters.

Vice Captain: Shai Hope (GAW) – projected 73 runs at an average of 36.5 with 8 sixes in 2 matches. Hope is the Warriors’ most important batter and has dominated the H2H against Antigua & Barbuda with 164 runs from 4 matches.

Also consider:

• Imran Tahir (GAW) – projected 82.4 Dream11 points, 9 wickets in the H2H
• Moeen Ali (ABF) – projected 73.5 Dream11 points, captain of the Falcons
• Dwaine Pretorius (GAW) – projected 69.6 Dream11 points, all-rounder with 7 wickets in 3 matches

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:

• Shai Hope 20+ runs – 100% hit rate in his last 2 matches, 164 runs in 4 H2H meetings. The most bankable batting line in this game.
• Imran Tahir 1+ wicket – 9 wickets in 1 H2H match. As reliable as it gets against this opposition.
• Evin Lewis 20+ runs – 50% season hit rate, but he has scored 48 runs in his last 3 innings. A player in form at home.
• Shadab Khan 1+ wicket – projected 1.34 wickets, the Falcons’ primary spinner against a Warriors side that likes to attack.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast with temperatures around 28 degrees Celsius. Humidity is moderate at 65%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 8 km/h from the east – conditions that should favour batting throughout the evening.

Prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Antigua & Barbuda vs Guyana?

A: Guyana Amazon Warriors are favoured at 56.6% win probability. They are unbeaten this season, hold a 3-1 head-to-head record, and the Statz projections support them across both batting scenarios. However, the Falcons are at home and have shown they can chase.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz model projects a match total of around 303 runs. This is below the Sir Vivian Richards Stadium average of 320.8, suggesting tight bowling early and a contest that will be decided by execution rather than a run-fest.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is not decisive at this venue – home teams have won just 30% of matches here since 2021. However, the Warriors have shown they are a stronger chasing side (52.1% win probability batting second vs 45.9% batting first), suggesting they may prefer to bowl first if they win the toss.

Q: Is Guyana a good bet?

A: Guyana are unbeaten and the Statz model favours them at 56.6%, but nothing is guaranteed in T20 cricket. The Warriors are indicatively priced at 1.55-1.65, which offers reasonable value for a side in form. The Falcons at 2.20-2.40 are worth considering if you believe the home advantage will tell.