Ireland vs Afghanistan - Projections & Predictions · One Day Internationals
Ireland
L
-
L
-
W
3rd ODI
One Day Internationals · 3rd ODI · Civil Service Cricket Club
9:45 AM UTC
Mon, Aug 10 · Civil Service Cricket Club, Belfast · Civil Service Cricket Club
Afghanistan
W
-
L
L
L
AFG lead H2H 10–5
406 avg total here
46.2% boundary rate
Omarzai 3 straight runs (20+)
IREIreland
9:45 AM
AFGAfghanistan
One Day Internationals · 3rd ODI · Civil Service Cricket Club
Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
IRE
AFG
Projected totalTotal
ground avg 405.8
1st innings1st inn
ground avg 224.0
Match sixesSixes
ground avg 4.5
Match foursFours
ground avg 40.2
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
Model vs market
best available oddsWinner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Ireland
2.50
40%
-3.9%
Afghanistan
1.53
65.4%
-4.5%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
IRE projected boundaries
1.6 6s
19.8 4s
Ground 6s factor 0.44x
AFG projected boundaries
2.7 6s
21.8 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.04x
Player projections
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Ireland | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stirling | 37.5 | 43 | 86 | 3.7 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 41.6 | 70.7 |
| Andrew Balbirnie | 25.3 | 35 | 72 | 2.4 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | - | 30.3 | 47.9 |
| Cade Carmichael | 25.2 | 19 | 138 | 2.2 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | 25.2 | 45.5 |
| Harry Tector | 37.8 | 45 | 84 | 2.9 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 42.5 | 68.1 |
| Lorcan Tucker | 25.2 | 30 | 83 | 2.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 1.2 | - | 0.1 | 36.9 | 52.5 |
| George Dockrell | 18.9 | 21 | 89 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 24 | 6.4 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 32.5 | 59.5 |
| Andy McBrine | 14.8 | 22 | 67 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 36 | 4.4 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 38.0 | 78.7 |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 8.1 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.9 | 32.8 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (6 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Mark Adair | 14.0 | 14 | 99 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 47 | 5.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 53.8 | 103.7 |
| Curtis Campher | 23.5 | 32 | 74 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 21 | 5.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 42.1 | 76.5 |
| Gavin Hoey | 7.6 | 8 | 91 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 37 | 6.8 | 0.5 | - | - | 24.3 | 47.2 |
| Jai Moondra | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 8.1 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.9 | 36.6 |
| Byron McDonough | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 8.1 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.9 | 36.6 |
| Benjamin Calitz | 17.5 | 14 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 20.5 | 36.4 |
| Afghanistan | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmanullah Gurbaz | 34.3 | 36 | 94 | 3.1 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.3 | 38.8 | 69.2 |
| Ibrahim Zadran | 40.8 | 50 | 82 | 3.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 45.5 | 73.7 |
| Sediqullah Atal | 28.0 | 37 | 76 | 2.7 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 32.3 | 52.7 |
| Rahmat Shah | 31.3 | 42 | 74 | 2.7 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 33.0 | 52.5 |
| Hashmatullah Shahidi | 28.4 | 40 | 71 | 2.7 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 30.4 | 49.6 |
| Darwish Rasooli | 12.7 | 11 | 115 | 1.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | - | 17.6 | 28.5 |
| Mohammad Nabi | 22.2 | 22 | 99 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 31 | 4.6 | 0.6 | - | 0.0 | 43.6 | 80.3 |
| Azmatullah Omarzai | 27.9 | 28 | 99 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 27 | 5.2 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 55.4 | 102.3 |
| Rashid Khan | 12.8 | 12 | 107 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 36 | 4.1 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 46.1 | 95.6 |
| Fareed Ahmad | 7.9 | 14 | 55 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 37 | 5.4 | 0.1 | - | - | 37.0 | 73.1 |
| AM Ghazanfar | 6.6 | 7 | 101 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 28 | 4.2 | 0.1 | - | - | 30.2 | 66.5 |
| Ziaur Rahman Sharifi | 4.2 | 6 | 67 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 26 | 6.9 | 0.0 | - | - | 15.5 | 34.1 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (6 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Nangeyalia Kharote | 8.1 | 12 | 69 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 28 | 4.5 | 0.3 | - | 0.5 | 33.1 | 69.2 |
| Bilal Sami | 5.1 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 36 | 7.1 | 0.7 | - | - | 38.8 | 67.7 |
| Yamin Ahmadzai | 4.2 | 5 | 77 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 40 | 5.3 | 0.4 | - | - | 31.5 | 64.2 |
| Fazalhaq Farooqi | 1.2 | 4 | 32 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 39 | 5.4 | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | 28.6 | 62.2 |
| Mohammad Saleem | 5.3 | 7 | 71 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 36 | 7.4 | 0.3 | - | - | 17.9 | 37.6 |
| Ikram Alikhil | 15.4 | 21 | 73 | 1.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | 0.1 | 25.2 | 36.1 |
Mark Adair IRE
1.8 wkts
103.7 D11
53.8 PP
Azmatullah Omarzai AFG
27.9 runs
102.3 D11
55.4 PP
Rashid Khan AFG
1.5 wkts
95.6 D11
46.1 PP
Mohammad Nabi AFG
22.2 runs
80.3 D11
43.6 PP
Andy McBrine IRE
1.0 wkts
78.7 D11
38.0 PP
Curtis Campher IRE
23.5 runs
76.5 D11
42.1 PP
Ibrahim Zadran AFG
40.8 runs
73.7 D11
45.5 PP
Fareed Ahmad AFG
1.4 wkts
73.1 D11
37.0 PP
Track record
56.5% model win rate across 407 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v1 · 5 hours ago
Next: Dream11
These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.