Delhi Capitals host Gujarat Titans at Arun Jaitley Stadium on Wednesday needing to maintain the gap at the top of the table – while GT arrive having lost every single game this season. Five straight Ls. Something has to give.

Venue: Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi

The Kotla is a reliable run-scorer. Average first innings sits at 175, with an average match total of 334 across 78 recorded fixtures on Statz Cricket. Bat-first sides win just 44.3% of the time here – slightly below par – so chasing carries a slight edge. Spin economy (8.73) edges seam (8.92), meaning the team with the stronger spin attack has a modest advantage bowling second.

DC’s record at their home ground across all T20s is 26W-34L, so it’s not a fortress. GT have won 2 of their 3 visits here, though the sample is small. The last IPL game at this venue – DC vs MI on 4 April – produced 326 runs, with DC successfully chasing 163 in 18.1 overs.

Form and H2H

DC are 2-0 in IPL 2026, sitting 4th in the standings. Their wins over LSG (145/4 chasing 141) and MI (164/4 chasing 162) show a team that bats efficiently and doesn’t panic – though both were low-scoring games by this ground’s standards. Their last five in all T20 competitions reads: W W W L L.

Gujarat Titans are winless through two games – losses to PBKS and RR – and sit bottom on zero points. Their last five in all competitions is five straight defeats, including back-to-back heavy losses in IPL 2026. They were chasing 165 versus Punjab and 210 against Rajasthan. Neither close.

H2H over 7 matches, GT lead 4-3, but DC have won three of the last five including back-to-back victories in 2024. Their most recent meeting in May 2025 saw GT make 205/0 in 19 overs after DC posted 199/3 – a rare complete destruction. Before that, in April 2025, GT edged DC by one run. So it’s been tight. DC’s H2H top run-scorer is Axar Patel with 201, while for GT it’s Sai Sudharsan with 283 – a recurring thorn in DC’s side at this venue.

Statz Projections

Statz gives DC a 64% win probability. The model projects a match total of 400 runs – above the ground average of 382 – with a first innings of 203 and second of 197. DC are projected to hit 12 sixes and 20 fours; GT are projected 8.1 sixes and 17.6 fours.

The top Dream11 projection on the day is Sai Sudharsan (102.1 D11 pts) for GT, followed by Axar Patel (87.1) and Lokesh Rahul (85.8) for DC. Full projections at Statz Cricket.

Predicted Lineups

Delhi Capitals (last XI vs Mumbai Indians, 4 Apr): Lokesh Rahul (wk), Pathum Nissanka, Nitish Rana, Vipraj Nigam, Axar Patel (c), David Miller, Tristan Stubbs, Kuldeep Yadav, Lungi Ngidi, T Natarajan, Mukesh Kumar

Gujarat Titans (last XI vs Rajasthan Royals, 4 Apr): Kumar Kushagra (wk), Sai Sudharsan, Jos Buttler, Washington Sundar, Glenn Phillips, Rahul Tewatia, Rashid Khan (c), Mohammed Siraj, Ashok Sharma, Kagiso Rabada, Prasidh Krishna

Check the fixture page for any confirmed changes after the toss.

Key Players

Sai Sudharsan (GT): The standout performer in this H2H – 283 runs across 7 meetings, 235 of them at this venue, where he’s GT’s all-time top scorer. Statz projects him for 54 runs off 37 balls (SR 146). On a two-game losing streak himself this season, but consistently GT’s brightest light in the batting order.

Axar Patel (DC): DC’s captain brings genuine all-round value at this ground – 201 runs in H2H games and the key bowling figure for DC’s spin department. Statz projects 20.7 runs off 15 balls plus 1.1 wickets across 3.2 overs at an economy of 9.2. Consistent active streak: 2 consecutive games with fours (2+) and sixes (1+).

Kagiso Rabada (GT): GT’s most reliable wicket-taker on current form – two straight games with a wicket. At a venue where seam economy is 8.92, Rabada’s threat at the death becomes critical if GT are to post or defend a competitive score. On an active 2-game wickets streak per Statz.

Lokesh Rahul (DC): DC’s anchor. Projects for 45.8 runs off 36 balls – the highest batting projection for any DC player. With Statz giving him the highest D11 points among DC’s XI (85.8), he’s the man to build an innings around at Kotla.

Verdict

DC at home against a GT side who can’t buy a win. The Statz model agrees – 64% to DC – and the form gap is significant. GT have the individual talent in Sudharsan and Buttler to threaten, but this Titans unit looks fragmented right now. Back DC to win, chasing if they get the choice.

Bet Builder Angles

Build your own bet at Statz Cricket Bet Builder.

• Sai Sudharsan 30+ runs: Statz projects 54 runs – his best H2H venue in T20 cricket. Top D11 points pick for a reason.
• Lokesh Rahul 30+ runs: 45.8 projected, highest DC batting projection. Anchors the innings when DC are chasing or batting first.
• Kagiso Rabada 1+ wickets: Active 2-game wickets streak; GT’s go-to bowler with ball. At a venue where pacemen cost 8.92 economy, a wicket-taking performance is the value bet over economy.
• Axar Patel 1+ wickets: 1.1 wickets projected across 3.2 overs. Axar in home conditions is always worth backing – and spin takes slightly less punishment here than seam.