Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire - Projections & Predictions · The Hundred
Sunrisers Leeds
W
W
L
W
W
27th Match
The Hundred · 27th Match · Headingley
1:30 PM UTC
Sun, Aug 9 · Headingley, Leeds · Headingley
Welsh Fire
L
W
W
L
W
H2H tied 2–2
320 avg total here
63.5% boundary rate
21°C, cloudy
Marsh 6 straight runs (20+)
SLSunrisers Leeds
1:30 PM
WFWelsh Fire
The Hundred · 27th Match · Headingley
Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
SL
WF
Projected totalTotal
ground avg 319.5
1st innings1st inn
ground avg 167.8
Match sixesSixes
ground avg 15.8
Match foursFours
ground avg 27.0
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
Model vs market
best available oddsWinner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Sunrisers Leeds1.80
55.6%
-4.8%
Welsh Fire2.30
43.5%
-0.8%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
SL projected boundaries
11.2 6s
14.2 4s
Ground 6s factor 1.79x
WF projected boundaries
8 6s
15.5 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.3x
Player projections
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Sunrisers Leeds | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | B | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rickelton | 36.3 | 21 | 173 | 2.6 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 40.6 | 56.6 |
| Zak Crawley | 30.7 | 21 | 145 | 3.4 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.0 | 35.9 | 48.8 |
| Mitchell Marsh | 63.8 | 35 | 183 | 4.7 | 5.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | - | 65.6 | 93.1 |
| Harry Brook | 30.7 | 18 | 172 | 2.6 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 34.5 | 47.5 |
| Daniel Lawrence | 15.9 | 11 | 145 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 0.1 | 13 | 15.5 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 20.9 | 28.9 |
| Matthew Revis | 9.8 | 8 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 20 | 0.7 | 32 | 11.4 | 1.0 | - | - | 33.0 | 42.1 |
| Brydon Carse | 9.6 | 8 | 118 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 27 | 12.8 | 0.3 | - | - | 25.8 | 35.7 |
| Matty Potts | 8.5 | 7 | 126 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 21 | 0.8 | 34 | 11.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 27.8 | 39.4 |
| Nathan Ellis | 2.0 | 3 | 65 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.2 | 32 | 10.4 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 29.0 | 42.6 |
| Reece Topley | 5.0 | 4 | 130 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 18 | 1.0 | 31 | 11.9 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 26.1 | 38.7 |
| Abrar Ahmed | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 15 | 0.5 | 27 | 11.8 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.7 | 23.2 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (6 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Benny Howell | 8.2 | 7 | 126 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 16 | 1.0 | 24 | 9.8 | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 32.6 | 45.9 |
| Tom Lawes | 2.9 | 5 | 61 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 14 | 1.2 | 31 | 14.2 | 0.4 | - | - | 30.8 | 44.0 |
| Tom Alsop | 22.7 | 14 | 161 | 1.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | - | 24.2 | 34.2 |
| Ed Barnard | 17.6 | 14 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 27.6 | 33.4 |
| Charlie Allison | 17.6 | 14 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 20.6 | 29.3 |
| Liam Patterson-White | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 19 | 0.7 | 29 | 9.2 | 0.0 | - | - | 18.1 | 28.0 |
| Welsh Fire | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | B | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Salt | 26.1 | 19 | 139 | 2.2 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.2 | 30.1 | 42.9 |
| Matthew Short | 21.2 | 15 | 141 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 0.3 | 12 | 17.2 | 0.2 | - | - | 29.7 | 41.0 |
| Joe Root | 28.0 | 22 | 129 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 0.2 | 8 | 12.3 | 0.5 | - | - | 36.4 | 47.6 |
| Tom Kohler-Cadmore | 21.0 | 16 | 128 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 25.0 | 34.0 |
| Jordan Cox | 30.6 | 19 | 159 | 2.7 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | 0.0 | 36.9 | 49.3 |
| Rachin Ravindra | 24.8 | 14 | 184 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11 | 0.7 | 17 | 11.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 42.0 | 58.9 |
| Ben Kellaway | 14.4 | 11 | 127 | 1.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | - | 0.1 | 25.3 | 30.6 |
| Marco Jansen | 6.3 | 5 | 129 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 21 | 0.8 | 32 | 11.0 | 0.2 | - | 0.3 | 23.5 | 37.2 |
| Chris Woakes | 6.9 | 7 | 100 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 18 | 0.8 | 29 | 9.7 | 0.0 | - | 0.1 | 23.2 | 35.5 |
| Lockie Ferguson | 7.6 | 6 | 123 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 20 | 1.2 | 33 | 11.8 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 33.1 | 48.7 |
| Samuel Cook | 3.0 | 3 | 115 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 19 | 1.4 | 34 | 12.5 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 34.2 | 50.1 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (5 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Dillon Pennington | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 15 | 0.7 | 21 | 11.0 | 0.8 | - | - | 26.5 | 35.2 |
| Thomas Aspinwall | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 16 | 0.9 | 34 | 14.5 | 0.0 | - | - | 22.6 | 34.5 |
| Asa Tribe | 18.3 | 16 | 117 | 1.3 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | - | 23.4 | 29.7 |
| Jordan Clark | 3.1 | 3 | 91 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.7 | 24 | 17.6 | 0.1 | - | - | 17.5 | 26.5 |
| Jafer Chohan | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 18 | 0.4 | 34 | 13.2 | 0.3 | - | - | 15.0 | 21.8 |
Mitchell Marsh SL
63.8 runs
93.1 D11
65.6 PP
Rachin Ravindra WF
24.8 runs
58.9 D11
42.0 PP
Ryan Rickelton SL
36.3 runs
56.6 D11
40.6 PP
Samuel Cook WF
1.4 wkts
50.1 D11
34.2 PP
Jordan Cox WF
30.6 runs
49.3 D11
36.9 PP
Zak Crawley SL
30.7 runs
48.8 D11
35.9 PP
Lockie Ferguson WF
1.2 wkts
48.7 D11
33.1 PP
Joe Root WF
28.0 runs
47.6 D11
36.4 PP
Track record
56.5% model win rate across 407 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 4 hours ago
Next: Dream11
These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.