Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire - Preview, Predictions & H2H · The Hundred
Sunrisers Leeds
W
W
L
W
W
27th Match
The Hundred · 27th Match · Headingley
1:30 PM UTC
Sun, Aug 9 · Headingley, Leeds · Headingley
Welsh Fire
L
W
W
L
W
H2H tied 2–2
320 avg total here
63.5% boundary rate
21°C, cloudy
Marsh 6 straight runs (20+)
SLSunrisers Leeds
1:30 PM
WFWelsh Fire
The Hundred · 27th Match · Headingley
The Statz verdict
This head-to-head is level at 2–2, with the Headingley meetings split 1–1. The season batting edge is SL's, 177.5 runs per game vs 139.3, while SL's attack takes 4.8 wickets a match, the better bowling unit. They meet on a 63.5% boundary-rate ground averaging 320 total runs.
Auto-generated from Statz data · refreshes through match day
Head-to-head record
5 meetings · 2021–2025
2
2
1 no result
Pro · Win probability
51%
43%
SL
WF
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Season comparison
66.7%
66.7%
Win rate
177.5
139.3
Avg runs
163.5
137.7
Avg conceded
4.8
4.7
Avg wickets
11.7
4.7
Avg sixes
24.5
15.3
Avg boundaries
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
716 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Pro · Win probability
51%
43%
SL
WF
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Pro · Projections
Win probability, totals and 34-player projections are unlocked for you.
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
716 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Statz best bet
Mitchell Marsh Over 22.5 Runs · Player Runs Over Under @ 1.83
Model-priced edge from the Statz projections engine.
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Projection values are hidden. Pro members see exact win %, totals and every player projection.
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Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
SL
WF
Projected totalTotal
ground avg 319.5
1st innings1st inn
ground avg 167.8
Match sixesSixes
ground avg 15.8
Match foursFours
ground avg 27.0
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
Model vs market
best available oddsWinner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Sunrisers Leeds1.80
55.6%
-4.8%
Welsh Fire2.30
43.5%
-0.8%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability. Pro shows the numbers.
SL projected boundaries
11.2 6s
14.2 4s
Ground 6s factor 1.79x
WF projected boundaries
8 6s
15.5 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.3x
Player projections
expected XI · per-player output
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Sunrisers Leeds | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | B | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rickelton | 36.3 | 21 | 173 | 2.6 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 40.6 | 56.6 |
| Zak Crawley | 30.7 | 21 | 145 | 3.4 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | 0.0 | 35.9 | 48.8 |
| Mitchell Marsh | 63.8 | 35 | 183 | 4.7 | 5.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | - | 65.6 | 93.1 |
| Harry Brook | 30.7 | 18 | 172 | 2.6 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 34.5 | 47.5 |
| Daniel Lawrence | 15.9 | 11 | 145 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 0.1 | 13 | 15.5 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 20.9 | 28.9 |
| Matthew Revis | 9.8 | 8 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 20 | 0.7 | 32 | 11.4 | 1.0 | - | - | 33.0 | 42.1 |
| Brydon Carse | 9.6 | 8 | 118 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 27 | 12.8 | 0.3 | - | - | 25.8 | 35.7 |
| Matty Potts | 8.5 | 7 | 126 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 21 | 0.8 | 34 | 11.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 27.8 | 39.4 |
| Nathan Ellis | 2.0 | 3 | 65 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 18 | 1.2 | 32 | 10.4 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 29.0 | 42.6 |
| Reece Topley | 5.0 | 4 | 130 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 18 | 1.0 | 31 | 11.9 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 26.1 | 38.7 |
| Abrar Ahmed | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 15 | 0.5 | 27 | 11.8 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.7 | 23.2 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (6 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Benny Howell | 8.2 | 7 | 126 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 16 | 1.0 | 24 | 9.8 | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 32.6 | 45.9 |
| Tom Lawes | 2.9 | 5 | 61 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 14 | 1.2 | 31 | 14.2 | 0.4 | - | - | 30.8 | 44.0 |
| Tom Alsop | 22.7 | 14 | 161 | 1.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | - | 24.2 | 34.2 |
| Ed Barnard | 17.6 | 14 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 27.6 | 33.4 |
| Charlie Allison | 17.6 | 14 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 20.6 | 29.3 |
| Liam Patterson-White | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 19 | 0.7 | 29 | 9.2 | 0.0 | - | - | 18.1 | 28.0 |
| Welsh Fire | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | B | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Salt | 26.1 | 19 | 139 | 2.2 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.2 | 30.1 | 42.9 |
| Matthew Short | 21.2 | 15 | 141 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 0.3 | 12 | 17.2 | 0.2 | - | - | 29.7 | 41.0 |
| Joe Root | 28.0 | 22 | 129 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 0.2 | 8 | 12.3 | 0.5 | - | - | 36.4 | 47.6 |
| Tom Kohler-Cadmore | 21.0 | 16 | 128 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 25.0 | 34.0 |
| Jordan Cox | 30.6 | 19 | 159 | 2.7 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | 0.0 | 36.9 | 49.3 |
| Rachin Ravindra | 24.8 | 14 | 184 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11 | 0.7 | 17 | 11.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 42.0 | 58.9 |
| Ben Kellaway | 14.4 | 11 | 127 | 1.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | - | 0.1 | 25.3 | 30.6 |
| Marco Jansen | 6.3 | 5 | 129 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 21 | 0.8 | 32 | 11.0 | 0.2 | - | 0.3 | 23.5 | 37.2 |
| Chris Woakes | 6.9 | 7 | 100 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 18 | 0.8 | 29 | 9.7 | 0.0 | - | 0.1 | 23.2 | 35.5 |
| Lockie Ferguson | 7.6 | 6 | 123 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 20 | 1.2 | 33 | 11.8 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 33.1 | 48.7 |
| Samuel Cook | 3.0 | 3 | 115 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 19 | 1.4 | 34 | 12.5 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 34.2 | 50.1 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (5 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Dillon Pennington | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 15 | 0.7 | 21 | 11.0 | 0.8 | - | - | 26.5 | 35.2 |
| Thomas Aspinwall | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 16 | 0.9 | 34 | 14.5 | 0.0 | - | - | 22.6 | 34.5 |
| Asa Tribe | 18.3 | 16 | 117 | 1.3 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | - | 23.4 | 29.7 |
| Jordan Clark | 3.1 | 3 | 91 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.7 | 24 | 17.6 | 0.1 | - | - | 17.5 | 26.5 |
| Jafer Chohan | 4.9 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 18 | 0.4 | 34 | 13.2 | 0.3 | - | - | 15.0 | 21.8 |
Mitchell Marsh SL
63.8 runs
93.1 D11
65.6 PP
Rachin Ravindra WF
24.8 runs
58.9 D11
42.0 PP
Ryan Rickelton SL
36.3 runs
56.6 D11
40.6 PP
Samuel Cook WF
1.4 wkts
50.1 D11
34.2 PP
Jordan Cox WF
30.6 runs
49.3 D11
36.9 PP
Zak Crawley SL
30.7 runs
48.8 D11
35.9 PP
Lockie Ferguson WF
1.2 wkts
48.7 D11
33.1 PP
Joe Root WF
28.0 runs
47.6 D11
36.4 PP
33 players · full breakdown with Pro
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Track record
56.5% model win rate across 407 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 4 hours ago
What Pro unlocks here
✓Exact win % both scenarios
✓Projected totals, sixes & fours
✓33-player stat projections
✓Model-vs-market edges
✓Dream11 optimal teams
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These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
STATZ
SL
vs
WF
OPTIMAL
The Hundred • Sun, 9 Aug • 13:30
Projected Points
716PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
VC
R. Rickelton
58.5 pts
J. Cox
48.1 pts
Batters
Z. Crawley
50.3 pts
H. Brook
49 pts
J. Root
46.5 pts
M. Revis
42.5 pts
All-Rounders
C
M. Marsh
96.3 pts
R. Ravindra
57.9 pts
Bowlers
S. Cook
50 pts
L. Ferguson
48.4 pts
N. Ellis
42.7 pts
Built with Statz
STATZ
SL
vs
WF
AGGRESSIVE
The Hundred • Sun, 9 Aug • 13:30
Projected Points
683PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
C
R. Rickelton
58.5 pts
P. Salt
41.9 pts
Batters
H. Brook
49 pts
Z. Crawley
50.3 pts
M. Revis
42.5 pts
All-Rounders
VC
M. Marsh
96.3 pts
R. Ravindra
57.9 pts
Bowlers
S. Cook
50 pts
N. Ellis
42.7 pts
R. Topley
38.9 pts
L. Ferguson
48.4 pts
Built with Statz
Why this team
- High-scoring ground (168+ par) - top-order stacks have a tailwind; pace and spin grade similarly here.
- Toss is roughly a coin flip here (52% bat-first over last 21 games).
- Captain pick: Mitchell Marsh (96.3 pts) - 65% projection edge over the next-best pick.
- Slight SL edge (6-5) - marginally more of their players grade as fantasy-relevant; flip the balance if you back WF's XI more.
Three teams per match
Optimal: highest projected points.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Headingley, Leeds
Full ground stats →A batting ground that punishes seam. The last 21 Hundred matches here average 320 total runs with a 63.5% boundary rate and 15.8 sixes a match. Seamers concede 12.64 an over against spin's 10.98, and the toss is neutral: batting first wins 52%.
320
avg total
168
1st inn avg
15.8
sixes
52%
bat 1st wins
39.9
pp runs
Seam econ12.64
Spin econ10.98
Based on the last 21 Hundred matches at this venue. Rain-shortened matches excluded.
Last 5 matches here
Match
1st inn
2nd inn
Total
SL vs LS
04 Aug 2026
241/2 (100 balls)
204/6 (100 balls)
445
SL vs MSG
28 Jul 2026
181/3 (100 balls)
184/2 (88 balls)
365
SL vs SB
25 Jul 2026
187/5 (100 balls)
182/5 (100 balls)
369
SL vs MSG
26 Aug 2025
139/8 (100 balls)
140/3 (84 balls)
279
SL vs MIL
23 Aug 2025
198/4 (100 balls)
182/7 (100 balls)
380
SL at this ground
12
WON
9
LOST
1
NR
Avg score 21 · high 105
Top scorer Harry Brook 541
Top bowler Adil Rashid 21 wkts
Top scorer Harry Brook 541
Top bowler Adil Rashid 21 wkts
WF at this ground
1
WON
1
LOST
Avg score 19.3 · high 58
Top scorer Jonny Bairstow 86
Top bowler Riley Meredith 2 wkts
Top scorer Jonny Bairstow 86
Top bowler Riley Meredith 2 wkts
Conditions
21°C · Cloudy
Wind 5.2 km/h · 53% humidity
Ground angle · Bet Builder
Over 320.5 match runs has landed in 4 of the last 5 here.
Build this bet →
Pro · Ground factors
Six factor 1.79x · Four factor 1.3x, applied to every player projection.
Top performers in this fixture
from 4 H2H meetings
SL in form
WF in form
Pro · Player projections
Mitchell Marsh projected 66.1 runs at 183 SR.
Predicted XIs. Confirmed lineups usually land ~30 min before the toss. This page updates automatically.
Sunrisers Leeds
Last XI vs Birmingham Phoenix · 07 Aug 2026
10
Abrar Ahmed
Welsh Fire
Last XI vs Manchester Super Giants · 05 Aug 2026
3
Joe Root
11
Samuel Cook
XI consistency
SL
made 1 change for their last match.
WF
named an unchanged XI in their last 2 games.
Derived from recorded XIs; updates automatically.
When XIs confirm…
the Dream11 optimal team re-runs instantly. Get the revised pair on Telegram.
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Pro · Bench watch
Projected output for all 33 squad players if they make the XI, so you spot the upgrade early.
Who leads the Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire head-to-head record?
The head-to-head is tied at 2–2 from 5 matches.
What is Sunrisers Leeds's current form in 2026?
Sunrisers Leeds have won 4 and lost 2 from 6 matches in 2026, averaging 177.5 runs per match.
What is Welsh Fire's current form in 2026?
Welsh Fire have won 4 and lost 2 from 6 matches in 2026, averaging 139.3 runs per match.
Where is Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire being played?
Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire is being played at Headingley on 9 Aug 2026 at 19:00 IST.
Who are the top run-scorers in Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire head-to-head matches?
The top run-scorers in Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire H2H are Harry Brook (200 runs), Jonny Bairstow (142 runs), Ben Duckett (105 runs).
Who are the top wicket-takers in Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire head-to-head matches?
The top wicket-takers in Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire H2H are Adil Rashid (5 wkts), Qais Ahmad (4 wkts), Matty Potts (3 wkts).
Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Sunrisers Leeds and Welsh Fire?
The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Mitchell Marsh (324 runs), Harry Brook (264 runs), Ryan Rickelton (234 runs).
Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Sunrisers Leeds and Welsh Fire?
The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Brydon Carse (8 wkts), Nathan Ellis (8 wkts), Matty Potts (7 wkts).
Where are Sunrisers Leeds and Welsh Fire in the standings?
Sunrisers Leeds are 2nd with 16 points and Welsh Fire are 3rd with 16 points.
What is the pitch like at Headingley?
At Headingley, 63.5% of wickets fall to seam and 32.7% to spin. The average match total is 312.6 runs with a first-innings average of 164.0. There are an average of 15.2 sixes per match and teams batting first have won 52.4% of matches.
What is Sunrisers Leeds's record at Headingley?
Sunrisers Leeds have won 12 and lost 9 from 22 matches at Headingley.
What is Welsh Fire's record at Headingley?
Welsh Fire have won 1 and lost 1 from 2 matches at Headingley.
What is the weather forecast at Headingley for Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire?
The forecast at Headingley for Sunrisers Leeds vs Welsh Fire is Cloudy, 21°C, humidity 53%, wind 5.2 km/h.