Winterthur have the biggest shortfall in the Super League: 23 points from chances worth 34.4 xPts, a gap of 11.4. At the other end, Thun have taken 75 points from an xPts figure of 56.9, 18.1 more than the underlying numbers justify.
Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basel | 19 | 29 | 35.9 | -6.9 | 21 | 19.4 | +1.6 | +8 | 16.5 | -8.5 | 30 | 36.0 | -6.0 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 19 | 43 | 40.8 | +2.2 | 25 | 27.5 | -2.5 | +18 | 13.3 | +4.7 | 32 | 33.8 | -1.8 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 19 | 33 | 35.9 | -2.9 | 23 | 24.4 | -1.4 | +10 | 11.5 | -1.5 | 33 | 32.6 | +0.4 |
| 4 | Lausanne Sport | 19 | 33 | 34.9 | -1.9 | 33 | 25.2 | +7.8 | +0 | 9.7 | -9.7 | 23 | 31.0 | -8.0 |
| 5 | Servette | 19 | 37 | 32.2 | +4.8 | 29 | 23.1 | +5.9 | +8 | 9.1 | -1.1 | 28 | 31.0 | -3.0 |
| 6 | Sion | 19 | 29 | 33.5 | -4.5 | 14 | 26.9 | -12.9 | +15 | 6.6 | +8.4 | 34 | 29.8 | +4.2 |
| 7 | Luzern | 19 | 42 | 33.2 | +8.8 | 38 | 29.1 | +8.9 | +4 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 22 | 29.0 | -7.0 |
| 8 | Thun | 19 | 45 | 38.0 | +7.0 | 29 | 40.0 | -11.0 | +16 | -2.0 | +18.0 | 38 | 26.2 | +11.8 |
| 9 | Zürich | 19 | 29 | 32.3 | -3.3 | 36 | 32.5 | +3.5 | -7 | -0.2 | -6.8 | 22 | 25.0 | -3.0 |
| 10 | Lugano | 18 | 35 | 26.1 | +8.9 | 17 | 27.2 | -10.2 | +18 | -1.1 | +19.1 | 39 | 23.6 | +15.4 |
| 11 | Grasshopper | 19 | 26 | 22.6 | +3.4 | 34 | 31.7 | +2.3 | -8 | -9.0 | +1.0 | 17 | 20.9 | -3.9 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 19 | 23 | 28.0 | -5.0 | 43 | 37.2 | +5.8 | -20 | -9.2 | -10.8 | 14 | 20.7 | -6.7 |
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette | 19 | 34 | 29.0 | +5.0 | 34 | 23.0 | +11.0 | +0 | 6.0 | -6.0 | 25 | 30.8 | -5.8 |
| 2 | Thun | 19 | 35 | 32.3 | +2.7 | 23 | 25.7 | -2.7 | +12 | 6.7 | +5.3 | 37 | 30.7 | +6.3 |
| 3 | Sion | 19 | 34 | 31.7 | +2.3 | 26 | 25.2 | +0.8 | +8 | 6.5 | +1.5 | 29 | 30.0 | -1.0 |
| 4 | Lugano | 19 | 23 | 30.6 | -7.6 | 22 | 26.7 | -4.7 | +1 | 3.9 | -2.9 | 28 | 28.6 | -0.6 |
| 5 | Luzern | 19 | 34 | 33.1 | +0.9 | 28 | 30.6 | -2.6 | +6 | 2.5 | +3.5 | 31 | 28.1 | +2.9 |
| 6 | St. Gallen | 18 | 36 | 34.7 | +1.3 | 23 | 32.8 | -9.8 | +13 | 1.9 | +11.1 | 34 | 26.4 | +7.6 |
| 7 | Young Boys | 19 | 37 | 31.0 | +6.0 | 44 | 35.6 | +8.4 | -7 | -4.6 | -2.4 | 23 | 22.8 | +0.2 |
| 8 | Basel | 19 | 26 | 32.9 | -6.9 | 37 | 43.5 | -6.5 | -11 | -10.6 | -0.4 | 26 | 21.6 | +4.4 |
| 9 | Lausanne Sport | 19 | 20 | 22.5 | -2.5 | 34 | 33.1 | +0.9 | -14 | -10.6 | -3.4 | 19 | 20.0 | -1.0 |
| 10 | Grasshopper | 19 | 22 | 24.0 | -2.0 | 40 | 35.9 | +4.1 | -18 | -11.9 | -6.1 | 16 | 19.8 | -3.8 |
| 11 | Zürich | 19 | 20 | 21.5 | -1.5 | 36 | 34.0 | +2.0 | -16 | -12.5 | -3.5 | 16 | 19.2 | -3.2 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 19 | 21 | 20.9 | +0.1 | 57 | 47.4 | +9.6 | -36 | -26.4 | -9.6 | 9 | 13.6 | -4.6 |
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette | 5 | 14 | 10.3 | +3.7 | 6 | 2.8 | +3.2 | +8 | 7.4 | +0.6 | 13 | 11.3 | +1.7 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 5 | 15 | 15.6 | -0.6 | 9 | 10.0 | -1.0 | +6 | 5.6 | +0.4 | 7 | 9.2 | -2.2 |
| 3 | Luzern | 5 | 12 | 9.2 | +2.8 | 5 | 6.4 | -1.4 | +7 | 2.8 | +4.2 | 13 | 8.6 | +4.4 |
| 4 | Lugano | 5 | 9 | 10.9 | -1.9 | 4 | 8.6 | -4.6 | +5 | 2.3 | +2.7 | 10 | 8.1 | +1.9 |
| 5 | Basel | 5 | 4 | 7.4 | -3.4 | 13 | 7.1 | +5.9 | -9 | 0.3 | -9.3 | 3 | 7.6 | -4.6 |
| 6 | St. Gallen | 5 | 8 | 9.9 | -1.9 | 7 | 9.5 | -2.5 | +1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 10 | 7.1 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Lausanne Sport | 5 | 6 | 6.4 | -0.4 | 10 | 6.4 | +3.6 | -4 | 0.0 | -4.0 | 3 | 6.8 | -3.8 |
| 8 | Sion | 5 | 12 | 7.9 | +4.1 | 5 | 8.9 | -3.9 | +7 | -1.1 | +8.1 | 11 | 6.3 | +4.7 |
| 9 | Zürich | 5 | 4 | 6.1 | -2.1 | 9 | 8.3 | +0.7 | -5 | -2.2 | -2.8 | 4 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 10 | Grasshopper | 5 | 8 | 4.9 | +3.1 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.2 | -1 | -2.8 | +1.8 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| 11 | Winterthur | 5 | 9 | 6.2 | +2.8 | 14 | 11.4 | +2.6 | -5 | -5.2 | +0.2 | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 12 | Thun | 5 | 5 | 6.3 | -1.3 | 15 | 13.9 | +1.1 | -10 | -7.5 | -2.5 | 1 | 3.5 | -2.5 |
Servette overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Super League in 2025/2026, with 71 goals from chances worth 61.2 xG, a gap of 9.8. Luzern and Thun were next on 9.7.
Basel underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Super League in 2025/2026, with 55 goals from chances worth 68.8 xG, a shortfall of 13.8. Winterthur were next on 4.9.
Thun were the luckiest side in the Super League in 2025/2026, with 75 points from performances worth 56.9 xPts, 18.1 more than their chances deserved. Lugano were next on 14.8.
Winterthur were the unluckiest side in the Super League in 2025/2026, with 23 points from performances worth 34.4 xPts, 11.4 short of what they deserved. Lausanne Sport were next on 9.0.
Servette would be top of the Super League in 2025/2026 on expected points, with 61.8 xPts from 61.2 xG created and 46.1 conceded across 38 matches. Sion were next on 59.8.
Young Boys created the most xG in the Super League in 2025/2026, 71.8 from 38 matches, 1.9 a game against a competition average of 1.6. St. Gallen were next on 70.6.
Grasshopper created the least xG in the Super League in 2025/2026, 46.6 from 38 matches, 1.2 a game against a competition average of 1.6. Winterthur were next on 48.9.
Winterthur conceded the most xG in the Super League in 2025/2026, 84.6 from 38 matches, 2.2 a game against a competition average of 1.6. Grasshopper were next on 67.5.
Servette conceded the least xG in the Super League in 2025/2026, 46.1 from 38 matches, 1.2 a game against a competition average of 1.6. Sion were next on 52.0.
Super League teams averaged 1.62 xG a game in 2025/2026, from the 227 matches played, and scored 1.64 goals a game from it. That is up from 1.49 xG a game in 2024/2025.
Super League teams created more xG at home in 2025/2026, 1.73 a game against 1.52 away, a home advantage of +0.22, against +0.42 in 2024/2025.
The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette | 38 | 71 | 61.2 | +9.8 | 63 | 46.1 | +16.9 | +8 | 15.1 | -7.1 | 53 | 61.8 | -8.8 |
| 2 | Sion | 38 | 63 | 65.1 | -2.1 | 40 | 52.0 | -12.0 | +23 | 13.1 | +9.9 | 63 | 59.8 | +3.2 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 37 | 69 | 70.6 | -1.6 | 46 | 57.2 | -11.2 | +23 | 13.3 | +9.7 | 67 | 59.0 | +8.0 |
| 4 | Basel | 38 | 55 | 68.8 | -13.8 | 58 | 62.9 | -4.9 | -3 | 5.9 | -8.9 | 56 | 57.6 | -1.6 |
| 5 | Luzern | 38 | 76 | 66.3 | +9.7 | 66 | 59.7 | +6.3 | +10 | 6.6 | +3.4 | 53 | 57.1 | -4.1 |
| 6 | Thun | 38 | 80 | 70.3 | +9.7 | 52 | 65.7 | -13.7 | +28 | 4.6 | +23.4 | 75 | 56.9 | +18.1 |
| 7 | Young Boys | 38 | 80 | 71.8 | +8.2 | 69 | 63.1 | +5.9 | +11 | 8.6 | +2.4 | 55 | 56.6 | -1.6 |
| 8 | Lugano | 37 | 58 | 56.7 | +1.3 | 39 | 53.9 | -14.9 | +19 | 2.8 | +16.2 | 67 | 52.2 | +14.8 |
| 9 | Lausanne Sport | 38 | 53 | 57.4 | -4.4 | 67 | 58.3 | +8.7 | -14 | -0.9 | -13.1 | 42 | 51.0 | -9.0 |
| 10 | Zürich | 38 | 49 | 53.8 | -4.8 | 72 | 66.6 | +5.4 | -23 | -12.7 | -10.3 | 38 | 44.2 | -6.2 |
| 11 | Grasshopper | 38 | 48 | 46.6 | +1.4 | 74 | 67.5 | +6.5 | -26 | -20.9 | -5.1 | 33 | 40.7 | -7.7 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 38 | 44 | 48.9 | -4.9 | 100 | 84.6 | +15.4 | -56 | -35.6 | -20.4 | 23 | 34.4 | -11.4 |