No, Venezuela have taken 7 points over their last 6 Friendly International games, within 0.82 of the 7.82 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Venezuela create 1.25 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 7.52 in all, and have scored 6 goals from those chances, 1.52 fewer than that xG would expect.
Venezuela allow 1.48 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 8.88 in all, and have conceded 7 goals from those chances, 1.88 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Venezuela's results and their chances agree, within 0.8 points of xPts over 6 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 7.52 | 6 | -1.52 | 8.88 | 7 | +1.88 | 7.82 | 7 | -0.82 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.52 | 5 | -1.52 | 6.70 | 4 | +2.70 | 7.14 | 7 | -0.14 |
| Home | 3 | 4.89 | 5 | +0.11 | 2.51 | 3 | -0.49 | 5.74 | 6 | +0.26 |
| Away | 3 | 2.63 | 1 | -1.63 | 6.37 | 4 | +2.37 | 2.08 | 1 | -1.08 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Friendly International | Uzbekistan (A) | 0-0 | 0.82 | 1.16 | 1.08 | 1 | L |
| 27 Mar | Friendly International | Trinidad and Tobago (H) | 4-1 | 1.98 | 0.46 | 2.40 | 3 | W |
| 19 Nov | Friendly International | Canada (H) | 0-2 | 1.27 | 0.99 | 1.57 | 0 | W |
| 15 Nov | Friendly International | Australia (H) | 1-0 | 1.64 | 1.06 | 1.77 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Friendly International | Argentina (A) | 1-0 | 0.81 | 3.03 | 0.32 | 0 | L |
| 18 Jan | Friendly International | USA (A) | 3-1 | 1.00 | 2.18 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús RamÃrez | attacker | 3 | 170 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |