How much xG South Africa create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 30 September 2026, after the last game
South Africa create 0.94 expected goals per game in 2026, the 6th fewest of the 19 national teams on their 2026 record and below the average of 1.16, across seven games, while Tanzania create the most with 1.97.
Thapelo Maseko and Teboho Mokoena have created the most expected goals for South Africa in 2026, 1.00 each, Thapelo Maseko in four appearances and Teboho Mokoena in five, ahead of Nkosinathi Sibisi with 0.00, across all competitions.
South Africa create more expected goals away from home, 1.17 a game in their last seven away games against 1.12 in their last nine at home.
South Africa created 1.57 expected goals away at the Czech Republic on 18 June, their most in a game in 2026, against an average of 0.80 across their six games, and their fewest was 0.07 away at Mexico on 11 June.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thapelo Maseko | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Teboho Mokoena | 9 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Siyabonga Ngezana | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thabang Matuludi | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Mobbie | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thabo Moloisane | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thabiso Monyane | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Renaldo Leaner | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashley Cupido | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mduduzi Shabalala | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thapelo Morena | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samukelo Kabini | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuko Mdunyelwa | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Themba Zwane | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nkosinathi Sibisi | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Sebelebele | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khulumani Ndamane | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bathusi Aubaas | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sipho Mbule | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohau Nkota | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Relebohile Mofokeng | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Adams | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tshepang Moremi | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iqraam Rayners | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lyle Foster | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ime Okon | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yaya Sithole | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Evidence Makgopa | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khuliso Mudau | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aubrey Modiba | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thalente Mbatha | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oswin Appollis | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronwen Williams | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | South Africa | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | Canada (H) | World Cup | 0-1 | 0.14 | 1.38 | 1.52 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | South Korea (H) | World Cup | 1-0 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 2.12 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | Czech Republic (A) | World Cup | 1-1 | 1.57 | 0.94 | 2.51 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | Mexico (A) | World Cup | 2-0 | 0.07 | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Panama (H) | Friendly International | 1-2 | 0.55 | 1.90 | 2.45 |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Panama (H) | Friendly International | 1-1 | 1.41 | 0.29 | 1.70 |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Rwanda (H) | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | 3-0 | 1.31 | 0.39 | 1.70 |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Zimbabwe (A) | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | 0-0 | 2.22 | 0.64 | 2.86 |
| 9 Sep 2025 | Nigeria (H) | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | 1-1 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 1.35 |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Lesotho (A) | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | 0-3 | 1.22 | 0.82 | 2.04 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa expected goals | Over 0.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| South Africa expected goals | Over 1.00 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| South Africa expected goals | Over 1.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| South Africa expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| South Africa expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 1.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |