No, New Zealand have taken 7 points over their last 10 Friendly International games, 3.26 fewer than the 10.26 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
New Zealand create 0.85 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 10 Friendly International games, 8.51 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 0.49 more than that xG would expect.
New Zealand allow 1.38 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 10 Friendly International games, 13.81 in all, and have conceded 15 goals from those chances, 1.19 more than that xGA would expect.
New Zealand have taken 3.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 10 games: +0.5 goals against their xG, and -1.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.51 | 9 | +0.49 | 13.81 | 15 | -1.19 | 10.26 | 7 | -3.26 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.25 | 6 | +0.75 | 8.37 | 8 | +0.37 | 5.20 | 4 | -1.20 |
| Home | 5 | 4.38 | 7 | +2.62 | 6.00 | 8 | -2.00 | 5.55 | 6 | +0.45 |
| Away | 5 | 4.13 | 2 | -2.13 | 7.81 | 7 | +0.81 | 4.71 | 1 | -3.71 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Friendly International | Chile (H) | 4-1 | 1.50 | 0.76 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Friendly International | Finland (H) | 0-2 | 1.07 | 1.11 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 19 Nov | Friendly International | Ecuador (A) | 2-0 | 0.57 | 2.66 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 16 Nov | Friendly International | Colombia (A) | 2-1 | 1.01 | 2.05 | 0.74 | 0 | L |
| 14 Oct | Friendly International | Norway (A) | 1-1 | 1.10 | 1.79 | 0.93 | 1 | L |
| 9 Oct | Friendly International | Poland (A) | 1-0 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 1.34 | 0 | D |
| 9 Sep | Friendly International | Australia (H) | 1-3 | 1.00 | 1.16 | 1.23 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Friendly International | Australia (A) | 1-0 | 0.72 | 0.61 | 1.40 | 0 | D |
| 10 Jun | Friendly International | Ukraine (H) | 1-2 | 0.56 | 1.77 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 7 Jun | Friendly International | Ivory Coast (H) | 1-0 | 0.25 | 1.20 | 0.54 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Stamenić | midfielder | 8 | 620 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Chris Wood | attacker | 6 | 262 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Finn Surman | defender | 9 | 735 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ben Waine | attacker | 7 | 350 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ben Old | defender | 10 | 529 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Elijah Just | attacker | 8 | 622 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | attacker | 6 | 242 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jesse Randall | attacker | 5 | 169 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |