Too early to say: Iran have 9 points over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games against 5.08 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Iran create 1.33 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 4.00 in all, and have scored 7 goals from those chances, 3.00 more than that xG would expect.
Iran allow 0.90 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 2.69 in all, and have conceded 2 goals from those chances, 0.69 fewer than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.00 | 7 | +3.00 | 2.69 | 2 | +0.69 | 5.08 | 9 | +3.92 |
| Home | 2 | 2.86 | 6 | +3.14 | 1.85 | 2 | -0.15 | 3.50 | 6 | +2.50 |
| Away | 1 | 1.14 | 1 | -0.14 | 0.84 | 0 | +0.84 | 1.58 | 3 | +1.42 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | United Arab Emirates (H) | 2-1 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| 19 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Hong Kong (A) | 0-1 | 1.14 | 0.84 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 14 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Palestine (H) | 4-1 | 1.66 | 0.35 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehdi Taremi | attacker | 3 | 257 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Mehdi Ghayedi | attacker | 3 | 178 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |