No, Canada have taken 17 points over their last 10 Friendly International games, within 1.44 of the 15.56 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Canada create 1.37 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 10 Friendly International games, 13.68 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 1.68 fewer than that xG would expect.
Canada allow 0.96 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 10 Friendly International games, 9.56 in all, and have conceded 5 goals from those chances, 4.56 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Canada's results and their chances agree, within 1.4 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.68 | 12 | -1.68 | 9.56 | 5 | +4.56 | 15.56 | 17 | +1.44 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.67 | 4 | -0.67 | 3.62 | 2 | +1.62 | 7.00 | 7 | 0.00 |
| Home | 7 | 9.95 | 6 | -3.95 | 6.33 | 5 | +1.33 | 11.16 | 8 | -3.16 |
| Away | 3 | 3.73 | 6 | +2.27 | 3.23 | 0 | +3.23 | 4.40 | 9 | +4.60 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apr | Friendly International | Tunisia (H) | 0-0 | 0.77 | 0.63 | 1.44 | 1 | D |
| 28 Mar | Friendly International | Iceland (H) | 2-2 | 2.33 | 0.47 | 2.53 | 1 | W |
| 19 Nov | Friendly International | Venezuela (A) | 0-2 | 0.99 | 1.27 | 1.15 | 3 | L |
| 14 Nov | Friendly International | Ecuador (H) | 0-0 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 1.33 | 1 | D |
| 15 Oct | Friendly International | Colombia (H) | 0-0 | 0.10 | 0.84 | 0.55 | 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Friendly International | Australia (H) | 0-1 | 2.61 | 0.71 | 2.48 | 0 | W |
| 9 Sep | Friendly International | Wales (A) | 0-1 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 1.36 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Friendly International | Romania (A) | 0-3 | 1.80 | 1.04 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| 11 Jun | Friendly International | Ivory Coast (H) | 0-0 | 0.71 | 1.01 | 1.08 | 1 | L |
| 7 Jun | Friendly International | Ukraine (H) | 4-2 | 2.95 | 2.26 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan David | attacker | 10 | 770 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Promise David | attacker | 5 | 120 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Ismaël Koné | midfielder | 8 | 663 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ali Ahmed | midfielder | 8 | 456 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Derek Cornelius | defender | 9 | 603 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Tajon Buchanan | attacker | 9 | 669 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Niko Sigur | midfielder | 10 | 841 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |