Updated 5 November 2026.
Fleetwood Town welcome Rochdale to Highbury Stadium on Saturday 7 November for an FA Cup 1st Round tie, kick-off 3pm UK. Fleetwood come in off a 3-1 league win over Bristol Rovers and a 1-1 draw with Arsenal in the Carabao Cup. Rochdale have not won in their last five, losing 5-0 at home to Accrington and then 4-2 at Port Vale.
Both clubs are in League Two, so there is no divisional gap between them. We make Fleetwood 49% to win in 90 minutes, against 23% for Rochdale.
Fleetwood have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last 10 league and cup games, though they have scored in each of the last five, nine goals in all. The 3-1 victory over Bristol Rovers came four days after a 1-1 draw with Arsenal in the Carabao Cup. Before that came back-to-back league defeats, 2-1 at Exeter City and 4-2 at Cheltenham, with a 2-0 home win over Rotherham just before those.
Of those five games they have lost three and drawn two. Port Vale beat them 4-2 last weekend, a week after the 5-0 home defeat to Accrington. Before that came a 2-2 draw with Grimsby, a 3-2 loss at Crewe and a 1-1 draw at Tranmere. They have conceded 15 goals across those five games.
Fleetwood Town possible starting lineup:
Lynch; Rooney, Bennett, Neal, Potter; McCann, McLean, Helm, Loupalo-Bi; Coughlan, Batty
Rochdale possible starting lineup:
Waller; Sherring, Tasker, Flint, Wilson; Gilmour, Adeeko, Middleton; Hannant, Silcott-Duberry, Brown
For Fleetwood, Jay Lynch is the goalkeeper in our possible starting lineup, behind a defence that conceded six goals in the two league defeats at Exeter and Cheltenham. Ronan Coughlan and Jake Thomas Batty are the two up front in that lineup, for a side we project to create 12.38 shots and 4.30 on target.
For Rochdale, Aden Flint is in the back line of our possible starting lineup, which has conceded 15 goals in the last five games. We project Rochdale to create 8.13 shots and 2.71 on target. Zain Silcott-Duberry is in the same lineup for a team that has scored in four of its last five, twice each against Port Vale, Crewe and Grimsby.
We make Fleetwood the favourites in 90 minutes, and they are 1.70 to win at midnite. The draw is 3.90 at midnite and Rochdale are 4.75 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.70 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.73 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood win | 1.70 (midnite) | 49% |
| Draw | 3.90 (midnite) | 28% |
| Rochdale win | 4.75 (bet365) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 (bet365) | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 44% |
We predict 1-1 after 90 minutes as the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Fleetwood the more likely winner at 49%. A 1-0 home win sits right behind at 12.5%, and we have Fleetwood scoring 1.49 goals to Rochdale's 0.94. Our model gives Fleetwood a clean sheet 39% of the time and Rochdale 23%. We project 5.22 corners for Fleetwood and 4.42 for Rochdale, and 1.40 yellow cards for Fleetwood to 1.85 for Rochdale.
Fleetwood vs Rochdale in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Highbury Stadium. Both clubs play in League Two, and we make Fleetwood 49% to win in 90 minutes.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Fleetwood vs Rochdale in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, with that score carrying a 13% chance. We still make Fleetwood the likelier winner at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Rochdale.
Fleetwood are the favourites for their 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie with Rochdale, priced at 1.70 at midnite to win in 90 minutes. Rochdale are 4.75 at bet365 and the draw is 3.90, while we give Fleetwood a 49% chance.
We give both teams to score a 48% chance in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie between Fleetwood and Rochdale. Over 2.5 goals is 44% in our model, and over 1.5 goals is 70%.
Rochdale have not won in their last five games before the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round trip to Fleetwood, losing three and drawing two while conceding 15 goals. They lost 5-0 at home to Accrington and then 4-2 at Port Vale.
Predicted lineups for Fleetwood vs Rochdale in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: Fleetwood Town may start Lynch; Rooney, Bennett, Neal, Potter; McCann, McLean, Helm, Loupalo-Bi; Coughlan, Batty. Rochdale may start Waller; Sherring, Tasker, Flint, Wilson; Gilmour, Adeeko, Middleton; Hannant, Silcott-Duberry, Brown.