Updated 30 October 2026.
İstanbul Başakşehir host Samsunspor at the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 13:00 UK. Başakşehir sit 12th on 11 points from nine games. Samsunspor are 17th of 18 with 4 points and have conceded 21 goals. We make the hosts 57% to win this Super Lig game, though 1-1 is the likeliest single score.
Başakşehir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded, and the Super Lig table has them 12th. Their last outing was a 2-0 defeat at Beşiktaş on 26 October, after a 2-1 home win over Gaziantep and a goalless draw at Konyaspor. Before that came a 4-0 home win against Gençler, and a 5-0 loss at Amed SK. They keep a clean sheet in 33% of games, the 5th highest rate in the division, and they've committed the 3rd most fouls at 14.78 a game. They score 1.33 goals a game, the 9th most in the division, concede 1.56, the 8th most, and 56% of their league games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 7th highest rate.
Samsunspor have lost seven league games in a row, having won one and drawn one of their first two. The latest was a 1-2 home defeat to Amed SK on 24 October. The run also includes a 4-1 loss at Kasımpaşa, a 3-0 home defeat to Trabzonspor, a 1-0 loss at Erzurumspor and a 5-1 home defeat to Çorum FK. They average 0.89 goals a game, the 5th fewest in the league, concede 2.33, the 2nd most, and keep a clean sheet in just 11% of matches. Only one other side has a smaller shots-on-target average than their 3.22 a game. Over 2.5 goals has also landed in 56% of their league games, the 7th highest rate.
İstanbul Başakşehir possible starting lineup:
Şengezer; Bayram, Ba, Kharebashvili, Karbownik; Kemen, Güneş; Sarı, Skov Olsen; Bozok, Shomurodov
Samsunspor possible starting lineup:
Bayazıt; Erakovic, Drapinski, Guarino, Mendes; Watt, Sekongo, Kılınç; Tómasson, Coulibaly, Bayo
Eldor Shomurodov has had at least one shot in all nine of Başakşehir's league games this season and averages 2.7 a game. He's 1.01 at bet365 to make it ten.
Umut Bozok has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.6, and is 1.02 at bet365.
For Samsunspor, Logi Tómasson has had a shot in six straight games, averaging 1.7 a game from left-back, and is 1.67 at bet365. Joe Mendes has made at least one tackle in all nine league games, averaging 1.4 a game.
We back Başakşehir to win, and Coral have the hosts at 1.83.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir win | 1.83 (Coral) | 57% |
| Draw | 3.90 (Coral) | 23% |
| Samsunspor win | 4.10 (bet365) | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 (bet365) | 60% |
Our model projects Başakşehir to score 1.98 goals against 1.12 for Samsunspor, and has 16.9 shots from the hosts to 11.2 from the visitors. On shots on target we project 5.88 for Başakşehir and 3.68 for Samsunspor. We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 10.5%, though we make Başakşehir 57% to win. 2-1 to the hosts is right behind at 9.9% and 2-0 at 8.8%. We give both teams to score a 59% chance, and Samsunspor have scored in three of their last five league games. Over 2.5 goals comes in at 60%.
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor in the 2026/27 Super Lig kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Sunday 1 November 2026 at the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu. Başakşehir are 12th on 11 points after nine games, and Samsunspor are 17th on 4 points.
We predict a 1-1 draw for İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor in the 2026/27 Super Lig on 1 November 2026, the single likeliest score at 10.5%. We still make Başakşehir 57% to win, with a 23% chance of a draw and 20% for Samsunspor.
Başakşehir are favourites against Samsunspor in the 2026/27 Super Lig on 1 November 2026, with a 57% chance of winning in our projections, against 23% for a draw and 20% for a Samsunspor win. Başakşehir are 12th and Samsunspor 17th of 18.
We give both teams to score a 59% chance in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor in the 2026/27 Super Lig on 1 November 2026, and over 2.5 goals a 60% chance. Samsunspor have conceded 21 goals in 9 league games, 2.33 a game, the 2nd most.
In İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor in the 2026/27 Super Lig on 1 November 2026, Eldor Shomurodov has had at least one shot in all 9 of Başakşehir's league games, averaging 2.7 a game, and Umut Bozok has shot in 5 straight. Both are in the possible starting lineup.
Başakşehir are 12th in the 2026/27 Super Lig on 11 points from 9 games, five places above 17th-placed Samsunspor, who have 4 points and have lost their last 7 league games, ahead of the 1 November 2026 game.
For the 13:00 UK kick-off on 1 November 2026 in the 2026/27 Super Lig, İstanbul Başakşehir's possible starting lineup against Samsunspor is Şengezer; Bayram, Ba, Kharebashvili, Karbownik; Kemen, Güneş; Sarı, Skov Olsen; Bozok, Shomurodov. Samsunspor's possible starting lineup is Bayazıt; Erakovic, Drapinski, Guarino, Mendes; Watt, Sekongo, Kılınç; Tómasson, Coulibaly, Bayo.