Updated 6 November 2026.
Sporting Gijón host Real Valladolid at Estadio Municipal El Molinón on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 17:30 UK. Gijón have conceded the 6th fewest goals a game in La Liga 2, while Valladolid have scored the 5th most. Gijón sit 6th on 22 points from 12 games, while Valladolid are 13th on 15 points but have scored 20 times, and they come in on the back of a 4-3 win over Leganés.
Gijón have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their games this season, the 3rd highest rate in La Liga 2. Valladolid have the 2nd most shots on target in the division, so the visitors' attack will test that record on Sunday.
Gijón are 6th in the La Liga 2 table with seven wins from 12. They have conceded 13 goals, the 6th fewest per game in the league, and scored 13, also the 6th fewest per game. Only 25% of their games have seen both teams score, the lowest rate in the division.
Last time out they won 2-0 away at Ceuta, a result that followed a 3-1 win at Guijuelo in the Copa Del Rey. Before that came a heavy 4-0 defeat at Castellón, but they had won the two league games before that, including 2-1 at home to Albacete and 1-0 at Cádiz.
Valladolid are 13th with four wins, three draws and five defeats. Their goals-for average of 1.67 per game is the 5th most in the league, and their shots on target average of 5.42 is the 2nd most. They concede plenty too, 1.58 per game, and 58% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest rate in the division.
They have won their last two. The 4-3 win over Leganés and the 1-0 win at Covadonga in the cup came after back-to-back league defeats, a 3-2 home loss to Eldense and a 2-1 loss at Granada. Before those, they beat Albacete 5-0 at home. They also pick up cards, averaging 3.42 a game, the 3rd most in the league.
Sporting Gijón possible starting lineup:
Yáñez; Rosas, Duñabeitia, Sáenz, Cuenca; Guillamón, Corredera, Otero; Campos, Sarco
Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Aceves; Alejo, Tomeo, Rubio, Clerc; Ponceau, Ojeda, Juric; Abed, Fernandez, Arnu
Adrián Arnu has had a shot on target in seven straight games, averaging 1.4 shots on target a game over the run.
Iván Alejo has made at least one tackle in 11 straight games, averaging 4.2, and committed a foul in each of the same 11, averaging 2.8. He plays at right-back for Valladolid.
For Gijón, Guille Rosas has made at least one tackle in all 12 games this season, averaging 3.4. Àlex Corredera matches that run at 12 straight, averaging 2.6 from midfield.
Gaspar Campos has had a shot in seven consecutive games, at 1.6 a game over the run. Gijón average 4.08 shots on target a game, the 8th fewest in La Liga 2.
Our model backs Gijón to win at 47.7%, and bet365 offer 2.35 on the home win. The draw is 3.20 at bet365 and Valladolid are 3.00. For goals, both teams to score is 1.83 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 2.10 there.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Gijón win | 2.35 (bet365) | 47.7% |
| Draw | 3.20 (bet365) | 27.2% |
| Valladolid win | 3.00 (bet365) | 25.1% |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 (bet365) | 50.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 (bet365) | 46.1% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 12.9%, though we make Gijón 47.7% to win against 25.1% for Valladolid. We project 1.50 goals for the hosts and 1.02 for Valladolid, and give Gijón a 36% chance of a clean sheet. A 1-0 home win is the next likeliest score at 11.5%.
Arnu has had a shot on target in seven straight games, Alejo has a foul and a tackle in 11 straight, and Rosas has made a tackle in every Gijón game this season.
Prediction: Sporting Gijón 1-1 Real Valladolid
Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid kicks off at 17:30 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal El Molinón. It is a 2026/27 La Liga 2 game in which 6th-placed Gijón are at home to 13th-placed Valladolid.
Our prediction for Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 season is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 12.9%. We make Gijón 47.7% to win, with the draw at 27.2% and Valladolid at 25.1%.
Sporting Gijón are favourites at 2.35 with bet365 to beat Real Valladolid in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 season. Our model gives them a 47.7% chance of winning, with the draw at 27.2% and Valladolid at 25.1%.
Both teams to score in Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid is 1.83 at bet365, and our model gives it a 50.3% chance in this 2026/27 La Liga 2 game. Only 25% of Gijón's games this season have seen both sides score, the lowest rate in the division.
Our model projects 2.52 goals in Sporting Gijón vs Real Valladolid in the 2026/27 La Liga 2, with over 2.5 goals given a 46.1% chance and priced at 2.10 by bet365. Valladolid's games have gone over 2.5 goals 58% of the time this season.
Sporting Gijón are 6th in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 table on 22 points from 12 games, while Real Valladolid are 13th on 15 points from 12. Gijón have won seven and Valladolid four.
Predicted lineups for Gijon vs Valladolid in the 2026/27 La Liga 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026: Sporting Gijón may start Yáñez; Rosas, Duñabeitia, Sáenz, Cuenca; Guillamón, Corredera, Otero; Campos, Sarco. Real Valladolid may start Aceves; Alejo, Tomeo, Rubio, Clerc; Ponceau, Ojeda, Juric; Abed, Fernandez, Arnu.