Updated 5 November 2026.
Alverca host Casa Pia at the Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 18:00 UK. It pairs a mid-table Liga Portugal side with one that has scored five goals in ten league games. Alverca sit 10th on 11 points, Casa Pia 17th on 7. Alverca score 1.3 goals a game, Casa Pia 0.5.
In our match projection, Alverca are 52% to win, with the draw at 28% and Casa Pia at 20%.
Alverca are 10th in the Liga Portugal table with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, and a goal difference of -1 (13 for, 14 against). They lost their last two, 1-0 at Benfica and 0-1 at home to Arouca, but before that they won three in a row, including a 4-1 win at Famalicão and a 1-0 home win over Rio Ave. They score 1.3 a game, the 8th most in the league, and both teams have scored in 60% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate. They are also among the most foul-prone sides, with 14.1 a game, the 3rd most.
Casa Pia are 17th with 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats, and have scored just 5 times while conceding 19. Their 0.5 goals a game is the 2nd fewest, and their 2.7 shots on target a game is the fewest in the division. Only 20% of their games have seen both teams score, the lowest figure in the league. They have lost three of their last five league games, including 0-2 against Sporting last time out, 0-1 against Santa Clara and 1-4 against Porto, with a 2-0 win at Estrela and a 2-1 win at Estoril in between. Both of their league wins this season have come away from home.
We expect Alverca to have the better of the shooting, with 13.9 shots and 4.4 on target against 9.5 and 3.0 for Casa Pia.
Alverca possible starting lineup:
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira; Touaizi, Sergi Gómez Solà , Bojang, Isaac James; Kamon Gui, Chissumba Rodrigues; Figueiredo, Ian Luccas, Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira; Camara
Casa Pia possible starting lineup:
Sequeira; Geraldes, Pedro Rosas, David Sousa, Kaly; Seba Pérez, Ofori; Salah El Boukammiri, João Rego, Pauwels; Henrique Araújo
David Sousa has committed at least one foul in all 10 of Casa Pia's league games, averaging 1.4 a game. He is 1.25 at midnite to make it 11.
João Rego has had at least one shot in five straight games (2.4 a game, 1.22 at bet365), at least one foul in five straight (1.13 at midnite) and a tackle in seven in a row at 2.6 a game.
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira has made a tackle in eight straight league games, averaging 2.6 a game.
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui has made a tackle in seven straight league games, averaging 3.4 a game over the run.
Figueiredo has had a shot in five straight games (1.05 at bet365) and a foul in five straight (1.22 at midnite).
Alverca are 1.75 at Ladbrokes to win, with the draw at 3.80 at bet365 and Casa Pia at 4.60 at Ladbrokes. Both teams to score is 1.91 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Alverca win | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 28% |
| Casa Pia win | 4.60 (Ladbrokes) | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 (bet365) | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 43% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, with a 1-0 home win close behind, though across all scorelines we make Alverca 52% to win. We give Alverca a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, against 21% for Casa Pia.
Alverca vs Casa Pia in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal kicks off at 18:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca. Alverca are 10th with 11 points from 10 games, and Casa Pia are 17th with 7 points.
Our 2026/27 Liga Portugal prediction for Alverca vs Casa Pia is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%. We still make Alverca 52% likely to win, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Casa Pia.
Alverca are favourites against Casa Pia at 1.75 with Ladbrokes in this 2026/27 Liga Portugal game, and we give them a 52% chance of winning. Casa Pia are 4.60 at Ladbrokes, with the draw at 3.80 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 47% chance in Alverca vs Casa Pia in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal, priced at 1.91 at bet365. Both teams have scored in 60% of Alverca's league games, against only 20% of Casa Pia's.
Alverca are 10th of 18 in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal with 11 points from 10 games, while Casa Pia are 17th with 7 points. Casa Pia have scored just 5 goals in those 10 matches.
Predicted lineups for Alverca vs Casa Pia in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal on Saturday 7 November 2026: Alverca may start Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira; Touaizi, Sergi Gómez Solà , Bojang, Isaac James; Kamon Gui, Chissumba Rodrigues; Figueiredo, Ian Luccas, Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira; Camara. Casa Pia may start Sequeira; Geraldes, Pedro Rosas, David Sousa, Kaly; Seba Pérez, Ofori; Salah El Boukammiri, João Rego, Pauwels; Henrique Araújo.