Updated 6 November 2026.
Vitória Guimarães host Porto at the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 6pm UK, in the Liga Portugal. Porto have won all ten of their league games, scoring 25 goals and conceding four. Guimarães are 13th with nine points from ten and commit more fouls per game, 16.1, than any other side in the league.
Porto sit 1st on 30 points. They have conceded 0.4 goals a game, the fewest in the league, and kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches, the highest rate in the division. At the other end they average 2.5 goals, the 2nd most, and 6.8 shots on target a game, the most.
Porto have won their last three games in all competitions. Porto 4-1 Napoli in the Champions League on Wednesday followed Porto 4-0 Estoril in the league on 31 October, and before that Gil Vicente 0-1 Porto. That is nine goals scored in the three games.
Guimarães are 13th, on 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, with 10 goals for and 10 against. In their last five league games they drew 0-0 at Gil Vicente, beat Marítimo 5-0, lost 2-0 at Benfica, drew 1-1 with Moreirense and lost 2-1 at Viseu. The 5-0 win over Marítimo accounts for half of the 10 goals they have scored this season, which averages 1 a game, the 7th fewest in the league. Their latest result was the 0-0 at Gil Vicente.
Guimarães have the 6th fewest goals conceded per game and have kept a clean sheet in 40% of games, the 6th highest rate. They are also 5th most in shots on target at 4.3 a game and win the 3rd most corners at 5.5 a game. They commit 16.1 fouls a game, the most in the league, and collect 2.7 cards a game, the 4th most. Porto collect the fewest cards in the division at 1.1.
Vitória Guimarães possible starting lineup:
Furtado; Strata, Sidibé, Borevković, Mendes; Nogueira, Mukendi, Samu; Camara, Jakupovic, Silva
Porto possible starting lineup:
Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Sanusi; Rosario, Froholdt; Pepê, Veiga, Sainz; Aghehowa
Gabri Veiga has had at least one shot in all ten of Porto's league games, averaging 2.5 a game, and is 1.03 at bet365 for a shot again.
Alberto Costa plays at right-back for Porto and has had a shot in six straight games, averaging 1.5, priced at 1.57 at bet365 for another, as well as a foul in eight straight, averaging 2.4.
For Guimarães, Samu has made a tackle in all ten league games this season, averaging 2 a game. Tony Strata has a tackle in nine straight at 2.4 a game and has committed a foul in eight in a row, and left-back João Mendes has a tackle in nine straight too, at 2.1.
We back Porto to win at 55%, and bet365 have them at 1.62. Guimarães are 5.00 at midnite and the draw is 3.90 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.83 at midnite, over 2.5 goals is 1.85 at bet365 and over 1.5 is 1.29 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães win | 5.00 (midnite) | 18% |
| Draw | 3.90 (bet365) | 27% |
| Porto win | 1.62 (bet365) | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 (midnite) | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 (bet365) | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (midnite) | 73% |
Our model has Porto scoring 1.65 goals to Guimarães' 0.87, and gives Porto a 42% chance of a clean sheet. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 12.7%, though we make Porto the more likely winner at 55%, with a 0-1 away win just behind at 12.1%.
Prediction: Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Porto
Vitória Guimarães vs Porto kicks off at 18:00 UK time on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. It is a 2026/27 Liga Portugal game between 13th-placed Vitória Guimarães and league leaders Porto.
We predict Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Porto in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal, the likeliest single scoreline at 12.7%. We still make Porto the likelier winner, at a 55% chance, with the draw at 27% and Vitória Guimarães at 18%.
Porto are the favourites for the 2026/27 Liga Portugal game on 8 November 2026, with our model giving them a 55% chance of a win against 18% for Vitória Guimarães. The best price on Porto is 1.62 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 48% chance in this 2026/27 Liga Portugal match, and over 2.5 goals 46%. Porto have the fewest goals conceded in the league at 0.4 a game, and the best both-teams-to-score price is 1.83 at midnite.
Porto lead the 2026/27 Liga Portugal table in 1st on 30 points from 10 wins in 10 games, while Vitória Guimarães are 13th of 18 on 9 points from 10. Porto's goal difference is +21 and Guimarães' is level.
Gabri Veiga has had at least one shot in 10 straight Liga Portugal games in 2026/27, averaging 2.5 shots a game. He is 1.03 at bet365 to have a shot again against Vitória Guimarães.
Predicted lineups for Vitória SC vs Porto in the 2026/27 Liga Portugal on Sunday 8 November 2026: Vitória Guimarães may start Furtado; Strata, Sidibé, Borevković, Mendes; Nogueira, Mukendi, Samu; Camara, Jakupovic, Silva. Porto may start Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Sanusi; Rosario, Froholdt; Pepê, Veiga, Sainz; Aghehowa.