Updated 6 November 2026.
FC Köln host Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the RheinEnergieStadion on Sunday 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UK. Leverkusen are the better side on paper, 6th to Köln's 13th, but they arrive having lost their last three in all competitions, shipping four goals against Stuttgart and three at Hoffenheim. Köln have gone three without a win themselves, while Leverkusen concede 2 goals a game, the 8th most in the league.
We give Leverkusen a 48% chance of the win to Köln's 28%, with the draw at 24%, but 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline and we predict a draw.
Köln sit 13th with 9 points from 8 games, built on 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. They have drawn their last two, a 1-1 at Union Berlin on 1 November and a 0-0 at home to Schalke, after a 1-0 loss at Frankfurt. Before that came a 2-1 home win over Gladbach and, back on 19 September, a 2-1 defeat at Hamburg. They score 1.13 goals a game, the 5th fewest in the league, but both teams have scored in 75% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate in the Bundesliga.
Leverkusen are 6th on 13 points from 8, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, and they have scored 18 goals, the 3rd most in the division at 2.25 a game. They have lost their last three: 0-1 to Marseille in the Europa League on Thursday, 2-4 to Stuttgart at home, and 0-3 at Hoffenheim. Before that they won six in a row, including a 2-0 win at OFI in the Europa League.
Leverkusen have gone over 2.5 in 88% of their games, the highest rate in the league, and they win a lot of corners, 7.38 a game, the 2nd most. Köln's corner count of 6 a game is the 5th most. Both sides average 2 cards a game, the 8th most in each case.
FC Köln possible starting lineup:
Schwäbe; Sebulonsen, Schmied, Simpson-Pusey, Sosa; Krauß, Okon-Engstler; Maina, Jóhannesson, Bülter; El Mala
Bayer 04 Leverkusen possible starting lineup:
Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutiérrez; Fernández, GarcÃa; Vázquez, Maza, Moreira; Schick
Said El Mala has had three or more shots in five straight games, averaging 4.6 a game over the run. He is 1.44 at bet365 for 3+ shots.
Tom Krauß has made three or more tackles in four in a row and averages 5.3 a game over the run. 3+ tackles is 1.91 at bet365.
Jarell Quansah has made a tackle in seven straight games for Leverkusen, averaging 1.9 a game, and 1+ tackles is 1.25 at bet365.
Facundo Medina has committed a foul in five straight and made a tackle in five straight, and he has had a shot in his last three. Fouls 1+ is 1.30 at bet365.
Ibrahim Maza has fouled in five in a row and made a tackle in five in a row. Fouls 1+ is 1.36 at bet365.
Leverkusen are the favourites at 1.80 with bet365, with Köln at 4.00 and the draw at 4.20 with midnite. We give Leverkusen 48%, Köln 28% and the draw 24%. Marius Bülter has committed a foul in four straight games and is 1.73 at bet365 for fouls 1+. Patrik Schick has had a shot on target in four of his last five and is 1.25 at bet365 for another, and Miguel Gutiérrez has had a shot in four of his last five and is 1.80 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Köln win | 4.00 (bet365) | 28% |
| Draw | 4.20 (midnite) | 24% |
| Leverkusen win | 1.80 (bet365) | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 65% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 10%, though we make Leverkusen the likeliest winners at 48%, against 24% for the draw. We project 1.43 goals for Köln and 1.92 for Leverkusen, and 1-2 sits just behind at 9%. Both teams to score is 66% and over 2.5 goals 65%, with Köln keeping a clean sheet in only 15% of our simulations.
Köln vs Leverkusen in the 2026/27 Bundesliga kicks off at 14:30 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the RheinEnergieStadion. It is a Sunday afternoon fixture, with both clubs playing their ninth league game of the season.
Our prediction for Köln vs Leverkusen in the 2026/27 Bundesliga is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 10%. We still give Leverkusen a 48% chance of winning, Köln 28% and a draw 24%.
We put both teams to score in Köln vs Leverkusen at 66%, with over 2.5 goals at 65%. In the 2026/27 Bundesliga both teams have scored in 75% of Köln's games and Leverkusen have gone over 2.5 in 88% of theirs.
Before Köln vs Leverkusen, Leverkusen are 6th in the 2026/27 Bundesliga on 13 points from 8 games, ahead of 13th-placed Köln on 9 points. Leverkusen have scored 18 goals to Köln's 9, though they have lost their last three in all competitions.
Said El Mala has had 3+ shots in five straight 2026/27 Bundesliga games for Köln, averaging 4.6 a game over the run. Tom Krauß has made 3+ tackles in four in a row, averaging 5.3, ahead of Köln vs Leverkusen on 8 November.
Predicted lineups for Koln vs Leverkusen in the 2026/27 Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026: FC Köln may start Schwäbe; Sebulonsen, Schmied, Simpson-Pusey, Sosa; Krauß, Okon-Engstler; Maina, Jóhannesson, Bülter; El Mala. Bayer 04 Leverkusen may start Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutiérrez; Fernández, GarcÃa; Vázquez, Maza, Moreira; Schick.