Updated 24 October 2026.
Athletic Club and Getafe meet at San Mamés on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 13:00 UK, with nothing between them on points. Athletic sit 13th, Getafe 15th, and both have 9 from their opening games. The difference is at the sharp end: Getafe average fewer goals a game than anyone in La Liga, and Athletic have the best clean-sheet record in the division.
Both sides also played in midweek and lost. Athletic went down 3-1 at Levante on Wednesday, while Getafe were beaten 5-2 at home by Lugano in the Europa Conference League on Thursday.
Athletic Club are 13th with 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 8, scoring 8 and conceding 9. The shape of their season is solid at the back and light in front of goal. They have kept a clean sheet in 56% of their games, the highest in La Liga, and concede 1 a game, the 3rd fewest. At the other end they score 0.89 per game, the 4th fewest.
Before the 3-1 loss at Levante, they had drawn 0-0 at Valencia and Rayo, and before that Alaves at home by the same score. They are also 4th most for corners, at 6.5 a game.
Getafe are 15th, on 9 points from 9 with 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, 5 scored and 11 conceded. Their 0.56 goals a game is the fewest in the league and they average 2.67 shots on target, the 2nd fewest. They are also the most carded side in La Liga at 4.22 a game, and the 4th most for fouls at 14.
Their recent run has been busy. They lost 3-0 at Barcelona, drew 1-1 at U Craiova in Europe, drew 1-1 at home to Rayo, then lost 5-2 at home to Lugano. Their last league win was a 1-0 over Málaga in September.
Athletic Club possible starting lineup:
Unai Simón; Areso, Paredes, Yeray, Berchiche; Ruiz de Galarreta, Gerenabarrena; Navarro, Berenguer, Canales; Williams
Getafe possible starting lineup:
Soria; Femenía, Abqar, Valou, Carvajal; Gudelj, Martín; Mojica, Terrats, Satriano; Azón
Robert Navarro has had a shot in six straight games for Athletic, averaging 1.8, and is 1.07 at Ladbrokes to make it seven. He has also had a shot on target in four of his last five, and that is 1.50 at Ladbrokes.
Left-back Yuri Berchiche has managed a shot in four of his last five, averaging 2.8, and 1+ is 1.36 at bet365.
Álex Berenguer has made at least one tackle in each of his last five games, averaging 1.8, and is 1.25 at bet365 to do it again.
For Getafe, Martín Satriano has committed a foul in nine straight games, 1.7 a game, and is 1.17 at bet365. Iván Azón has had a shot in four straight league games, 2.3 a game, and is 1.20 at bet365 to make it five.
We back Athletic Club at 1.57 with bet365. Our model gives them a 56% chance of winning, with the draw at 29% and a Getafe win at 15%. Athletic are also likelier than not to keep a clean sheet at 53%, and both teams have scored in only a third of each side's league games.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club win | 1.57 (bet365) | 56% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 29% |
| Getafe win | 6.50 (Ladbrokes) | 15% |
| Both teams to score | 2.30 (Ladbrokes) | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.30 (bet365) | 35% |
We predict 1-0 to Athletic Club, the likeliest single scoreline at 17%. 0-0 and 2-0 follow at 13% each, then 1-1 at 12%, so a draw is in play. Getafe go to San Mamés as the lowest scorers per game in the league, and the goals total points low, with Over 2.5 at 35%.
A four-leg bet builder from the player markets pairs Azón to have a shot, Berenguer to make a tackle, Navarro to have a shot on target and Berchiche to have a shot. Azón and Berenguer have cleared their lines in each of their last five games, and Navarro and Berchiche in four of their last five. The best prices are 1.20 for Azón at bet365, 1.25 for Berenguer at bet365, 1.50 for Navarro at Ladbrokes and 1.36 for Berchiche at bet365.
Kick-off at San Mamés is 13:00 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026.
We predict a 1-0 win for Athletic Club. That is the likeliest scoreline at 17%, with 0-0 and 2-0 at 13% each and 1-1 at 12%, so a draw is in play.
Athletic Club. Our model gives them a 56% chance of winning, against 29% for the draw and 15% for Getafe. They are 1.57 with bet365.
Our model gives both teams to score a 37% chance. Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 56% of their games and Getafe average fewer goals a game than any other side in La Liga.
We project 1.45 goals for Athletic Club and 0.63 for Getafe. Over 1.5 goals has a 62% chance and Over 2.5 sits at 35%.
Athletic Club are 13th with 9 points from 8 games and Getafe are 15th with 9 points from 9.
Unai Simón; Areso, Paredes, Yeray, Berchiche; Ruiz de Galarreta, Gerenabarrena; Navarro, Berenguer, Canales; Williams.