Updated 5 November 2026.
Málaga host Racing Santander at Estadio La Rosaleda on Saturday 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UK. Málaga are bottom and have yet to win in La Liga after 11 games, while Racing are 16th and have conceded more goals than any other side.
Málaga have conceded 1.91 a game, the 4th most in La Liga, and Racing 2.64, the most. We make both teams to score a 66% chance.
Málaga sit 20th of 20 in the La Liga table on 5 points from 11 games, with no wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 8 and let in 21, and at 0.73 goals a game they have the 3rd fewest in the league. Their last five were a 1-1 draw with Espanyol, a 2-5 home defeat to Sociedad, a 1-1 draw at Alaves, a 3-0 Copa del Rey win at Sporting Alcázar and a 2-1 loss at Betis last Saturday.
Racing are 16th on 11 points from 11, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. Their goals for and against are 15 and 29, and the 2.64 they concede per game is the most in La Liga. They have not kept a clean sheet in La Liga this season. Their most recent league game was a 0-3 home defeat to Real Madrid, which followed a 2-1 win over Espanyol and a 2-0 defeat at Osasuna. In between they won 2-0 at Ribadesella in the Copa del Rey.
82% of Racing's games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest rate in the league, against 36% for Málaga, the 4th lowest. Both teams have scored in 64% of each side's games, the 5th highest rate in the division.
Málaga possible starting lineup:
Herrero; Puga, Galilea, Enríquez, Recio; Dotor, Garrido, Aznou; Larrubia, Lorenzo, Niño
Racing Santander possible starting lineup:
Agirrezabala; Ramón, Felipe, Belocian, Salinas; Prati, Martín, Luque; Vicente, Canales, Zabiri
Adrián Niño has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 2.1 a game. Niño has also had a shot on target in four straight, and he is 1.25 at bet365 for a shot on target here.
Carlos Dotor has committed a foul in seven consecutive games and averages 1.7 a game. Dotor is 1.25 at bet365 to make it eight.
Yassir Zabiri has had a shot in nine straight games, averaging 2.8. Zabiri is 1.03 at midnite for a shot.
Matteo Prati has made two or more tackles in four straight games, averaging 3 a game. Prati is 1.50 at bet365 for two or more tackles.
Adam Aznou has made two or more tackles in four straight games, averaging 2.3. Aznou is 1.20 at bet365 to do it again.
We back Málaga, giving them a 45% chance of winning at home against 31% for Racing and 24% for the draw. Málaga are 2.40 at Ladbrokes, the draw is 3.60 at bet365 and Racing are 2.88 at bet365. For goals, both teams to score is 1.57 at midnite and over 1.5 goals is 1.22 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga win | 2.40 (Ladbrokes) | 45% |
| Draw | 3.60 (bet365) | 24% |
| Racing Santander win | 2.88 (bet365) | 31% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (midnite) | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 64% |
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, which is the single likeliest score at 11%, though we make Málaga the likelier winner at 45%. We project 1.81 goals for Málaga and 1.49 for Racing, and 2-1 to Málaga is next at 9%.
A builder from the player markets: Dotor to commit a foul at 1.25, Niño to have a shot on target at 1.25 and Prati to make two tackles at 1.50, all at bet365. Dotor has fouled in seven straight games and Prati has made two or more tackles in four straight.
Málaga vs Racing Santander in La Liga 2026/27 kicks off at 13:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio La Rosaleda. Málaga are 20th with 5 points from 11 games and Racing Santander 16th with 11, and we make Málaga 45% to win.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Málaga vs Racing Santander in La Liga 2026/27, the likeliest score at 11%. We make Málaga the likelier winner at 45%, against 31% for Racing Santander and 24% for the draw.
Málaga are the favourites in Málaga vs Racing Santander in La Liga 2026/27, and we give them a 45% chance of winning and the draw 24%. Ladbrokes have Málaga at 2.40, against 2.88 for Racing Santander at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 66% chance in Málaga vs Racing Santander in La Liga 2026/27, and 64% for over 2.5 goals. Racing Santander have conceded 2.64 goals a game, the most in La Liga.
Málaga are 20th of 20 on 5 points from 11 games, and Racing Santander are 16th on 11 points from 11 games in the La Liga 2026/27 table. Málaga have yet to win this season.
Adrián Niño has had a shot in 7 straight games and a shot on target in 4 straight for Málaga going into Málaga vs Racing Santander in La Liga 2026/27. He is averaging 2.1 shots a game over the run.
Predicted lineups for Málaga vs Racing in the 2026/27 La Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026: Málaga may start Herrero; Puga, Galilea, Enríquez, Recio; Dotor, Garrido, Aznou; Larrubia, Lorenzo, Niño. Racing Santander may start Agirrezabala; Ramón, Felipe, Belocian, Salinas; Prati, Martín, Luque; Vicente, Canales, Zabiri.