Updated 6 November 2026.
Sturm Graz welcome Salzburg to the Merkur Arena on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 16:00 UK, with the visitors still unbeaten in the Austrian Bundesliga. Salzburg have won 8 and drawn 3 of their 11 league games and have conceded just 6 goals, the fewest in the division.
The hosts are 4th, eight points behind, and come into the game after a week in which they dropped points in both competitions.
Salzburg sit 2nd in the Austrian Bundesliga table on 27 points from 11 games, with 29 goals scored and 6 conceded. They average 2.64 goals a game, the 2nd most, and have kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches, the 2nd highest rate. They lead the league in shots on target at 7.73 a game, and in corners at 7.36. Both teams have scored in 55% of their games, the 4th highest rate, and 64% have gone over 2.5 goals, also the 4th highest.
Salzburg beat Lustenau 5-1 in the league on 1 November and won 3-1 at LASK Linz a week earlier, but lost 2-0 at Anderlecht in the Europa League on Thursday.
Sturm Graz are 4th on 19 points, with 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats, and 19 goals for and 13 against. They have the 3rd fewest goals against per game and the 4th highest clean sheet rate at 27%. Both teams have scored in 64% of their games, the 3rd highest rate, though only 45% have gone over 2.5 goals, the lowest in the league. They have not won in their last three: a 2-2 home draw with Ried, a 1-1 draw at Górnik and, on Thursday, a 3-2 home defeat to Celje in the Europa League. Before that came a 1-0 win over Marseille and a 6-1 win over Grazer AK.
Sturm Graz commit 11.18 fouls a game, the 4th most in the league, and pick up 2.45 cards a game, the 3rd most. Salzburg commit the fewest fouls, at 7.45 a game, and collect the fewest cards, at 1.00 a game.
Sturm Graz possible starting lineup:
Helac; Quarshie, Malic, Koller, Heil; Gorenc Stankovic, Weinhandl, Hödl; Seidl, Matoshi, Beganovic
Salzburg possible starting lineup:
Zawieschitzky; Lainer, Drexler, Zabransky, Krätzig; Barry, Mazurek, Baidoo; Diakité, Vertessen, Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic has had at least one shot in nine straight games for Salzburg, averaging 3 a game over that run.
Jürgen Heil has made at least one tackle in nine consecutive games for Sturm Graz, averaging 2 a game.
Tim Drexler has a tackle in each of his last seven games, also at 2 a game, and anchors a Salzburg back line that has conceded 6 league goals all season.
Valmir Matoshi has committed a foul in seven straight games, averaging 1.0, and made a tackle in six straight, averaging 1.7.
Paul Koller has had a shot in six straight games from centre-back, averaging 1.5.
We back Salzburg to win at 2.10 with bet365, a 44% chance in our model. Sturm Graz are 3.00 and the draw is 4.00.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz win | 3.00 | 32% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 24% |
| Salzburg win | 2.10 | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 63% |
Our prediction is Sturm Graz 1-1 Salzburg, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make Salzburg more likely to win overall. 1-2 is next at 9%, then 2-1 at 8%. We have 1.48 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.75 for Salzburg, with both teams scoring at 64%.
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg in the 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga kicks off at 16:00 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the Merkur Arena. Sturm Graz are 4th on 19 points from 11 games, and Salzburg are 2nd on 27.
Our prediction for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg in the 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga is a 1-1 draw, which has an 11% chance as the likeliest single scoreline, though Salzburg are the likeliest winners at 44%.
Salzburg are favourites to win at Sturm Graz in the 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga, at 2.10 with bet365 and a 44% chance in our model, against 32% for Sturm Graz and 24% for the draw.
We give both teams to score a 64% chance in Sturm Graz vs Salzburg in the 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga on 8 November 2026, with over 2.5 goals at 63%, and projected goals of 1.48 for Sturm Graz and 1.75 for Salzburg.
Salzburg are 2nd in the 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga on 27 points from 11 games and unbeaten, while Sturm Graz are 4th on 19 points from 11 games, eight points behind.
Haris Tabakovic has had at least 1 shot in 9 straight 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga games for Salzburg, averaging 3 shots a game over that run, ahead of the trip to Sturm Graz on 8 November 2026.
Predicted lineups for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg in the 2026/27 Austrian Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026: Sturm Graz may start Helac; Quarshie, Malic, Koller, Heil; Gorenc Stankovic, Weinhandl, Hödl; Seidl, Matoshi, Beganovic. Salzburg may start Zawieschitzky; Lainer, Drexler, Zabransky, Krätzig; Barry, Mazurek, Baidoo; Diakité, Vertessen, Tabakovic.